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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 4, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Cavaliers27%9276
1Spurs73%99102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.8
36.6
35.1
20
52%
6
4
0
2
1
3
0
6
6-7
86%
7-13
6-14
54%
46%
0-3
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.4
30.9
26.8
9
38%
9
1
1
1
0
0
5
4
1-2
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
45%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
28.5
31.6
11
46%
1
2
0
2
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
4-11
4-10
36%
43%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
25.5
28.2
14
48%
8
0
3
1
1
2
5
3
4-6
67%
5-12
5-10
42%
46%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
21.4
18.7
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
0-1
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.2
26.0
25.7
8
36%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
2-8
25%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
25.2
22.6
5
43%
10
0
0
1
2
2
1
9
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
12.0
19.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.5
9.9
7.8
1
17%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-1
0%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
9.5
5.7
2
35%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.9
7.4
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.5
7.0
5.4
6
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.6
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
29.1
33.6
18
56%
2
8
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
9-16
6-13
56%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.4
28.4
22.4
12
87%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
3-3
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.5
28.3
35.6
21
60%
10
2
1
1
1
2
2
8
1-1
100%
10-17
8-16
59%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.3
22.3
29.5
10
56%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
21.8
11.1
8
67%
6
1
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 33.8
20.9
17.0
6
100%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 32.7
19.6
27.5
3
25%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
18.1
10.2
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
17.9
18.7
6
60%
6
1
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.2
15.9
23.3
9
64%
7
1
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.2
11.9
11.4
2
41%
2
0
0
0
3
3
0
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.3
5.8
5.7
3
80%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.