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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 7, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Cavaliers67%103105
28Raptors33%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
36.5
36.9
27
61%
3
6
1
2
2
1
0
3
9-12
75%
9-15
7-15
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.8
35.5
30.8
16
48%
5
2
3
2
0
3
0
5
6-8
75%
5-11
5-11
45%
45%
0-2
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.5
31.6
25.5
6
75%
2
3
0
1
0
4
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
42%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.4
29.1
30.7
15
74%
8
2
1
1
2
1
4
4
5-5
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
28.5
31.2
12
77%
10
0
0
1
1
4
2
8
4-4
100%
4-6
6-12
67%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.2
26.4
25.5
10
61%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
23.8
23.4
12
55%
11
1
2
1
0
0
4
7
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
14.1
10.3
5
42%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.9
11.3
13.3
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.5
2.1
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.0
1.2
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.5
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.1
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 21.6
42.7
35.0
26
68%
12
3
2
1
0
1
5
7
4-5
80%
11-17
5-11
65%
46%
0-0
-
Jalen Rose
G-F · 6'8" 215 · 32.8
36.1
32.6
14
42%
4
2
0
1
1
1
2
2
6-11
55%
4-11
5-11
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.4
33.9
25.0
17
67%
4
6
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
6-7
3-7
86%
45%
0-3
0%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.4
16.3
9.5
0
0%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
14.6
17.6
4
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
34.4
30.3
15
54%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-12
3-6
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
17.5
31.4
0
0%
0
7
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.2
17.1
26.7
8
45%
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
0-2
0%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
10.8
2.0
5
64%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 25.6
6.0
12.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.2
5.7
7.1
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.3
4.9
13.0
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.3
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.