Final Win Prob. pScore
2628%84
76
1472%91
74
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
91.68378.3
HOU logo Rockets
90.28287.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL76
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUHead 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)76
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUSUB: Swift FOR Alston76
71
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 6 Short 2)76
71
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound75
71
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 275
99.9%
71
0.1%
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUHead P.FOUL (P2.PN)75
71
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUAlston P.FOUL (P3.T3)75
71
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
99.5%
71
0.5%
Q4 - 0:12.0HOUMISS Alston Layup75
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0HOUSUB: Head FOR Howard75
71
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLNelson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)75
97.0%
71
3.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)75
95.9%
71
4.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Yao 5' Jump Hook Shot75
94.7%
71
5.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)75
71
Q4 - 0:51.0ORLNelson Driving Layup (10 PTS)75
89.1%
71
10.9%
Q4 - 1:08ORLMagic Rebound73
78.3%
71
21.7%
Q4 - 1:08HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
74.8%
71
25.2%
Q4 - 1:14HOUSUB: Howard FOR Swift73
71
Q4 - 1:14HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)73
71
Q4 - 1:14ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Francis 5 AST)73
64.5%
71
35.5%
Q4 - 1:29HOUAnderson Foul Turnover (P2.T12)70
38.1%
71
61.9%
Q4 - 1:29HOUAnderson OFF.Foul (P3)70
71
Q4 - 1:45ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Francis 4 AST)70
25.4%
71
74.6%
Q4 - 2:06HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q4 - 2:06HOUAlston 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)67
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q4 - 2:09HOUMISS Alston Layup67
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q4 - 2:18ORLFrancis Violation:Kicked Ball67
69
Q4 - 2:39ORLHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)67
16.8%
69
83.2%
Q4 - 2:58HOUAlston 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)65
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q4 - 3:19ORLNelson 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q4 - 3:39HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)63
15.6%
67
84.4%
Q4 - 3:39HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)63
16.3%
66
83.7%
Q4 - 3:39ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Battie63
65
Q4 - 3:39ORLSUB: Cato FOR Turkoglu63
65
Q4 - 3:39HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)63
65
Q4 - 3:39ORLBattie P.FOUL (P6.PN)63
65
Q4 - 3:59ORLBarry STEAL (2 STL)63
20.4%
65
79.6%
Q4 - 4:08HOUAlston P.FOUL (P2.T2)63
65
Q4 - 4:28HOUYao Layup (17 PTS) (Alston 9 AST)63
27.9%
65
72.1%
Q4 - 4:40HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
35.8%
63
64.2%
Q4 - 4:42ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q4 - 4:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)63
46.0%
63
54.0%
Q4 - 4:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q4 - 5:16HOUYao Layup (15 PTS)63
44.3%
63
55.7%
Q4 - 5:17HOUYao REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q4 - 5:18HOUMISS Swift 13' Jump Shot63
58.4%
61
41.6%
Q4 - 5:33ORLFrancis 17' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)63
52.4%
61
47.6%
Q4 - 5:47HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Head61
61
Q4 - 5:4761
61
Q4 - 5:47ORLMagic Rebound61
44.4%
61
55.6%
Q4 - 5:48HOUMISS Barry 15' Jump Shot61
41.7%
61
58.3%
Q4 - 6:07HOUROCKETS Rebound61
35.0%
61
65.0%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
37.3%
61
62.7%
Q4 - 6:19HOUHead Violation:Jump Ball61
61
Q4 - 6:19HOUJump Ball Alston vs. Francis: Tip to61
61
Q4 - 6:19ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Morris61
61
Q4 - 6:29ORLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
42.6%
61
57.4%
Q4 - 6:30HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot61
40.3%
61
59.7%
Q4 - 6:47ORLFrancis Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)61
35.1%
61
64.9%
Q4 - 6:47HOUSUB: Alston FOR Wesley60
61
Q4 - 6:47HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo60
61
Q4 - 6:47ORLFrancis Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)60
33.9%
61
66.1%
Q4 - 6:47ORLSUB: Howard FOR Kasun59
61
Q4 - 6:47HOUWesley S.FOUL (P4.T1)59
61
Q4 - 6:49ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q4 - 6:51HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q4 - 7:02ORLSwift STEAL (2 STL)59
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMagic Rebound59
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q4 - 7:21HOUMISS Wesley 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
26.7%
61
73.3%
Q4 - 7:34HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
22.8%
61
77.2%
Q4 - 7:35ORLMISS Battie 6' Jump Shot59
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q4 - 7:36ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q4 - 7:38ORLMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)59
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q4 - 7:39ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q4 - 7:41ORLMISS Francis 16' Jump Shot59
24.5%
61
75.5%
Q4 - 8:01HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)59
28.3%
61
71.7%
Q4 - 8:01HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
28.9%
60
71.1%
Q4 - 8:01ORLKasun S.FOUL (P2.T4)59
59
Q4 - 8:17ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)59
34.1%
59
65.9%
Q4 - 8:33ORLMagic Rebound57
28.3%
59
71.7%
Q4 - 8:34HOUMISS Head 20' Jump Shot57
26.7%
59
73.3%
Q4 - 8:50ORLFrancis 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)57
23.5%
59
76.5%
Q4 - 9:06HOUBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
19.8%
59
80.2%
Q4 - 9:06HOUBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
20.3%
58
79.7%
Q4 - 9:06ORLMorris S.FOUL (P2.T3)55
57
Q4 - 9:22ORLSUB: Francis FOR Stevenson55
57
Q4 - 9:22ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)55
57
Q4 - 9:22ORLBattie P.FOUL (P5.T2)55
57
Q4 - 9:26HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot55
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q4 - 9:43HOUBarry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)55
28.5%
57
71.5%
Q4 - 9:50ORLWesley STEAL (1 STL)55
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q4 - 10:11HOUBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wesley 1 AST)55
28.4%
57
71.6%
Q4 - 10:15HOUWesley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
38.5%
54
61.5%
Q4 - 10:17ORLMISS Battie 15' Jump Shot55
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q4 - 10:34ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
44.0%
54
56.0%
Q4 - 10:35HOUMISS Swift 6' Jump Shot55
42.3%
54
57.7%
Q4 - 10:54ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)55
38.6%
54
61.4%
Q4 - 10:54ORLMagic Rebound55
44.0%
54
56.0%
Q4 - 10:54ORLSwift BLOCK (2 BLK)55
40.2%
54
59.8%
Q4 - 11:19ORLSUB: Battie FOR Howard55
54
Q4 - 11:19HOUHead Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T10)55
42.8%
54
57.2%
Q4 - 11:30ORLHead STEAL (1 STL)55
38.0%
54
62.0%
Q4 - 11:46HOUSwift Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
42.9%
54
57.1%
Q4 - 11:46HOUSwift Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)55
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q4 - 11:46ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T1)55
52
Q4 - 12:0055
52
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL55
48.5%
52
51.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound55
53.6%
52
46.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Stevenson 19' Jump Shot55
50.1%
52
49.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: Morris FOR Francis55
52
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound55
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLYao BLOCK (4 BLK)55
48.9%
52
51.1%
Q3 - 0:20.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
52.0%
52
48.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot55
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
47.6%
52
52.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
48.9%
52
51.1%
Q3 - 0:51.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
52.1%
52
47.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMISS Wesley 3PT Jump Shot55
50.7%
52
49.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
47.6%
52
52.4%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot55
47.7%
52
52.3%
Q3 - 1:23ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
50.9%
52
49.1%
Q3 - 1:25HOUMISS Yao Free Throw 2 of 255
50.3%
52
49.7%
Q3 - 1:25HOUSUB: Barry FOR Anderson55
52
Q3 - 1:25HOUSUB: Head FOR Alston55
52
Q3 - 1:25HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
46.9%
52
53.1%
Q3 - 1:25ORLKasun S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
51
Q3 - 1:38ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
51.4%
51
48.6%
Q3 - 1:38ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
50.0%
51
50.0%
Q3 - 1:38HOUHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
51
Q3 - 1:46ORLKasun REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
46.0%
51
54.0%
Q3 - 1:48HOUMISS Alston 13' Jump Shot53
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q3 - 2:03HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
40.2%
51
59.8%
Q3 - 2:05ORLMISS Francis 15' Jump Shot53
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q3 - 2:27ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q3 - 2:29HOUMISS Wesley 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
43.5%
51
56.5%
Q3 - 2:38HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q3 - 2:40ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot53
41.7%
51
58.3%
Q3 - 2:53HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
44.9%
51
55.1%
Q3 - 2:53HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)53
45.8%
50
54.2%
Q3 - 2:53ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)53
49
Q3 - 2:53ORLFrancis S.FOUL (P1.T3)53
49
Q3 - 3:11ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
47.8%
49
52.2%
Q3 - 3:11HOUSUB: Wesley FOR Bowen52
49
Q3 - 3:11ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
46.4%
49
53.6%
Q3 - 3:11ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Turkoglu51
49
Q3 - 3:11ORLSUB: Kasun FOR Cato51
49
Q3 - 3:11HOUYao P.FOUL (P3.PN)51
49
Q3 - 3:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
43.7%
49
56.3%
Q3 - 3:34HOUMISS Yao 11' Jump Shot51
42.3%
49
57.7%
Q3 - 3:38HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q3 - 3:40HOUMISS Anderson 15' Jump Shot51
42.3%
49
57.7%
Q3 - 3:52HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q3 - 3:54ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot51
40.5%
49
59.5%
Q3 - 4:16HOUAlston 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q3 - 4:32ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T10)51
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q3 - 4:32ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P1)51
47
Q3 - 4:51ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
51.9%
47
48.1%
Q3 - 4:52HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot51
50.4%
47
49.6%
Q3 - 5:04ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)51
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q3 - 5:30HOUAlston 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)49
42.0%
47
58.0%
Q3 - 5:48ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)49
45.6%
45
54.4%
Q3 - 6:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)46
37.0%
45
63.0%
Q3 - 6:05ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 146
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q3 - 6:05HOUYao S.FOUL (P2.T4)46
45
Q3 - 6:05ORLFrancis Driving Layup (17 PTS)46
45
Q3 - 6:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)44
29.9%
45
70.1%
Q3 - 6:16HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Alston )43
45
Q3 - 6:27ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
26.6%
45
73.4%
Q3 - 6:29HOUMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot43
25.6%
45
74.4%
Q3 - 6:49HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
23.4%
45
76.6%
Q3 - 6:52ORLMISS Francis 19' Jump Shot43
24.3%
45
75.7%
Q3 - 7:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)43
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q3 - 7:03HOUROCKETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Yao )42
45
Q3 - 7:17HOUAlston Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P4.T9)42
23.3%
45
76.7%
Q3 - 7:26ORLCato Foul Turnover (P1.T9)42
20.6%
45
79.4%
Q3 - 7:26ORLCato OFF.Foul (P2)42
45
Q3 - 7:45HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 8 AST)42
23.3%
45
76.7%
Q3 - 8:02ORLAnderson STEAL (1 STL)42
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q3 - 8:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q3 - 8:07HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q3 - 8:22HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot42
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q3 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
29.1%
43
70.9%
Q3 - 8:35HOUMISS Howard Layup42
28.1%
43
71.9%
Q3 - 8:49ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
25.9%
43
74.1%
Q3 - 8:49ORLStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
24.9%
43
75.1%
Q3 - 8:49HOUYao S.FOUL (P1.T3)40
43
Q3 - 9:05HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)40
43
Q3 - 9:12HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)40
23.1%
43
76.9%
Q3 - 9:20HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q3 - 9:21ORLMISS Stevenson 21' Jump Shot40
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q3 - 9:34HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)40
28.8%
41
71.2%
Q3 - 9:37HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
25.8%
41
74.2%
Q3 - 9:40ORLAlston BLOCK (1 BLK)40
26.7%
41
73.3%
Q3 - 9:48HOUBowen P.FOUL (P2.T2)40
41
Q3 - 9:51HOUHoward P.FOUL (P1.T1)40
41
Q3 - 10:07HOUBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)40
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q3 - 10:13HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
25.6%
41
74.4%
Q3 - 10:15ORLMISS Francis 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
26.4%
41
73.6%
Q3 - 10:35HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)40
28.4%
41
71.6%
Q3 - 10:48ORLSUB: Cato FOR Battie40
39
Q3 - 10:48ORLBattie P.FOUL (P4.T2)40
39
Q3 - 10:56HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)40
34.6%
39
65.4%
Q3 - 10:58ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot40
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q3 - 11:00ORLMISS Francis 13' Jump Shot40
32.4%
39
67.6%
Q3 - 11:18HOUAnderson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)40
34.1%
39
65.9%
Q3 - 11:26ORLBattie P.FOUL (P3.T1)40
39
Q3 - 11:41ORLStevenson Driving Layup (7 PTS)40
30.9%
39
69.1%
Q3 - 12:0038
39
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL38
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Swift Layup38
27.3%
39
72.7%
Q2 - 0:14.0ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)38
25.7%
39
74.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUYao Layup (10 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)36
22.6%
39
77.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLStevenson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
25.6%
37
74.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
22.6%
37
77.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Yao Layup34
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 1:18HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 1:19ORLMISS Francis Free Throw 1 of 134
21.1%
37
78.9%
Q2 - 1:19ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Howard34
37
Q2 - 1:19HOUAnderson S.FOUL (P2.PN)34
37
Q2 - 1:19ORLFrancis Driving Layup (13 PTS)34
37
Q2 - 1:24ORLStevenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 1:26ORLMISS Francis 3PT Jump Shot32
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 1:46HOUSwift 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)32
18.3%
37
81.7%
Q2 - 2:03HOUBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 2:05ORLMISS Stevenson 17' Jump Shot32
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 2:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
22.6%
35
77.4%
Q2 - 2:20HOUMISS Alston 8' Jump Shot32
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 2:28HOUROCKETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)32
35
Q2 - 2:32ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
35
Q2 - 2:42HOUYao REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 2:44HOUMISS Anderson Layup32
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 3:01ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 3:01ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Morris31
35
Q2 - 3:01ORLMagic Rebound31
35
Q2 - 3:01ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 231
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 3:01HOUSwift L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)31
35
Q2 - 3:01ORLMagic Rebound31
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 3:02HOUMISS Yao 7' Hook Shot31
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 3:15HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 3:16ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 231
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 3:16HOUSUB: Anderson FOR Head31
35
Q2 - 3:16HOUSUB: Alston FOR Wesley31
35
Q2 - 3:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
19.6%
35
80.4%
Q2 - 3:16HOUWesley S.FOUL (P3.T4)30
35
Q2 - 3:25HOUHead P.FOUL (P1.T3)30
35
Q2 - 3:40ORLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 3:41HOUMISS Swift Layup30
17.9%
35
82.1%
Q2 - 3:52HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 3:54ORLMISS Francis 18' Jump Shot30
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 3:58ORLSUB: Battie FOR Garrity30
35
Q2 - 3:58ORLMagic Rebound30
18.5%
35
81.5%
Q2 - 3:58ORLSwift BLOCK (1 BLK)30
17.1%
35
82.9%
Q2 - 4:20HOUBarry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Head 2 AST)30
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 4:35HOUROCKETS Rebound30
22.2%
32
77.8%
Q2 - 4:36ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot30
22.9%
32
77.1%
Q2 - 4:55HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
24.5%
32
75.5%
Q2 - 4:55HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
25.1%
31
74.9%
Q2 - 4:55ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T4)30
30
Q2 - 5:02ORLHoward 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Francis 3 AST)30
26.7%
30
73.3%
Q2 - 5:18HOUYao Dunk (8 PTS) (Swift 1 AST)28
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q2 - 5:20HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q2 - 5:22HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
28.3%
28
71.7%
Q2 - 5:39ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Francis 2 AST)28
26.7%
28
73.3%
Q2 - 5:47HOUWesley L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)25
28
Q2 - 5:48ORLMagic Rebound25
22.2%
28
77.8%
Q2 - 5:49ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot25
20.9%
28
79.1%
Q2 - 6:10HOUSwift 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)25
22.5%
28
77.5%
Q2 - 6:15ORLMorris P.FOUL (P1.T3)25
26
Q2 - 6:22ORLBarry STEAL (1 STL)25
24.2%
26
75.8%
Q2 - 6:34HOUHead Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
26.8%
26
73.2%
Q2 - 6:39ORLSUB: Howard FOR Cato25
24
Q2 - 6:39ORLSUB: Francis FOR Nelson25
24
Q2 - 6:39ORLCato P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
24
Q2 - 6:51HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
28.7%
24
71.3%
Q2 - 6:52ORLMISS Nelson 11' Jump Shot25
29.6%
24
70.4%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMagic Rebound25
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 7:04HOUMISS Swift 16' Jump Shot25
30.1%
24
69.9%
Q2 - 7:15ORLSwift STEAL (1 STL)25
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 7:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
30.9%
24
69.1%
Q2 - 7:26HOUMISS Yao 8' Jump Shot25
30.2%
24
69.8%
Q2 - 7:29HOUSUB: Yao FOR Mutombo25
24
Q2 - 7:29HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)25
24
Q2 - 7:48ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q2 - 7:56ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
31.0%
24
69.0%
Q2 - 7:57ORLMISS Morris 17' Jump Shot25
29.2%
24
70.8%
Q2 - 8:13HOUSwift 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Head 1 AST)25
30.5%
24
69.5%
Q2 - 8:32HOUSwift Violation:Defensive Goaltending25
22
Q2 - 8:32ORLCato 5' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)25
33.0%
22
67.0%
Q2 - 8:5223
22
Q2 - 8:52HOUHead Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q2 - 9:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Morris 19' Jump Shot23
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q2 - 9:20ORLMorris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q2 - 9:22HOUMISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q2 - 9:36ORLCato Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q2 - 9:36ORLMagic Rebound22
22
Q2 - 9:36ORLMISS Cato Free Throw 1 of 222
27.4%
22
72.6%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMutombo S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
22
Q2 - 9:39ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Garrity 16' Jump Shot22
26.4%
22
73.6%
Q2 - 9:57HOUMutombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
27.9%
22
72.1%
Q2 - 9:57HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
28.5%
21
71.5%
Q2 - 9:57HOUSUB: Head FOR Alston22
20
Q2 - 9:57ORLSUB: Stevenson FOR Francis22
20
Q2 - 9:57ORLSUB: Morris FOR Turkoglu22
20
Q2 - 9:57ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
20
Q2 - 10:19ORLFrancis Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
30.0%
20
70.0%
Q2 - 10:21ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
27.9%
20
72.1%
Q2 - 10:23HOUMISS Barry Layup20
27.2%
20
72.8%
Q2 - 10:44ORLFrancis 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
25.8%
20
74.2%
Q2 - 10:48ORLCato REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q2 - 10:49ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot18
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q2 - 11:04ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q2 - 11:06HOUMISS Swift 7' Jump Shot18
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q2 - 11:17HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q2 - 11:19HOUMISS Wesley 16' Jump Shot18
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q2 - 11:40HOUSwift REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q2 - 11:42ORLMISS Francis 20' Jump Shot18
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q2 - 12:0018
20
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound18
24.0%
20
76.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Francis 28' 3PT Jump Shot18
22.7%
20
77.3%
Q1 - 0:04.0ORLCato REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 0:06.0HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot18
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLHoward STEAL (1 STL)18
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
23.5%
20
76.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.2%
20
77.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)18
22.6%
20
77.4%
Q1 - 1:11HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)18
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:34ORLTurkoglu Layup (4 PTS)18
25.7%
18
74.3%
Q1 - 1:46ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Stevenson16
18
Q1 - 1:46HOUWesley P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
18
Q1 - 2:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 2:03HOUMISS Alston Layup16
23.1%
18
76.9%
Q1 - 2:31ORLFrancis 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)16
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 2:42HOUSUB: Wesley FOR Bowen14
18
Q1 - 2:42HOUSUB: Mutombo FOR Yao14
18
Q1 - 2:42ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
18
Q1 - 2:42HOUAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
18
Q1 - 2:44HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 2:55HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.2%
18
80.8%
Q1 - 2:57ORLMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot14
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 3:22HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)14
20.4%
18
79.6%
Q1 - 3:33ORLSUB: Cato FOR Battie14
16
Q1 - 3:33ORLStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)14
21.9%
16
78.1%
Q1 - 3:51HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)14
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 4:02ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)14
25.0%
14
75.0%
Q1 - 4:19HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 4:31HOUROCKETS Rebound12
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 4:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot12
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 4:43ORLMagic Rebound12
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 4:44ORLYao BLOCK (3 BLK)12
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 4:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
23.7%
14
76.3%
Q1 - 4:50HOUMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot12
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 4:56HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
22.3%
14
77.7%
Q1 - 4:58ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot12
22.7%
14
77.3%
Q1 - 5:19ORLMagic Rebound12
14
Q1 - 5:19HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Howard: Tip to Battie12
24.0%
14
76.0%
Q1 - 5:19HOUMISS Yao Layup12
23.5%
14
76.5%
Q1 - 5:26ORLBattie P.FOUL (P2.T4)12
14
Q1 - 5:31ORLStevenson P.FOUL (P1.T3)12
14
Q1 - 5:43ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)12
22.5%
14
77.5%
Q1 - 5:59HOUBowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)12
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 6:10HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.4%
11
73.6%
Q1 - 6:12ORLYao BLOCK (2 BLK)12
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 6:22HOUYao Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)12
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 6:40ORLStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
26.5%
11
73.5%
Q1 - 6:40ORLMagic Rebound11
11
Q1 - 6:40ORLMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 211
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 6:40HOUAlston S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
11
Q1 - 6:47HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
26.6%
11
73.4%
Q1 - 7:03HOUBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
24.9%
11
75.1%
Q1 - 7:04HOUMISS Yao Layup11
25.9%
11
74.1%
Q1 - 7:12HOUROCKETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
11
Q1 - 7:18ORLBowen STEAL (1 STL)11
25.0%
11
75.0%
Q1 - 7:26ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.4%
11
73.6%
Q1 - 7:27HOUMISS Yao Layup11
26.0%
11
74.0%
Q1 - 7:40ORLFrancis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)11
25.1%
11
74.9%
Q1 - 7:58HOUAnderson 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
24.2%
11
75.8%
Q1 - 8:11ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)9
25.2%
9
74.8%
Q1 - 8:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:22ORLBattie P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
9
Q1 - 8:22HOUMISS Yao 20' Jump Shot7
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:30HOUYao REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 8:32ORLMISS Stevenson 18' Jump Shot7
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:47HOUAnderson 17' Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
24.4%
9
75.6%
Q1 - 8:58HOUAnderson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
25.5%
7
74.5%
Q1 - 8:58ORLMagic T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Howard )7
6
Q1 - 9:10ORLFrancis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battie 1 AST)7
26.5%
6
73.5%
Q1 - 9:14HOUBowen P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
6
Q1 - 9:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
24.8%
6
75.2%
Q1 - 9:21HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 9:38ORLHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Francis 1 AST)4
24.3%
6
75.7%
Q1 - 9:51ORLFrancis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 9:53HOUMISS Howard 23' Jump Shot2
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 10:05ORLStevenson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
23.7%
6
76.3%
Q1 - 10:23HOUYao Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
23.8%
6
76.2%
Q1 - 10:23HOUYao Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
23.9%
5
76.1%
Q1 - 10:23ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
4
Q1 - 10:39HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.7%
4
75.3%
Q1 - 10:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
24.9%
4
75.1%
Q1 - 11:00HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)0
25.7%
4
74.3%
Q1 - 11:11HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:13ORLYao BLOCK (1 BLK)0
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 11:22ORLMISS Battie 19' Jump Shot0
26.7%
2
73.3%
Q1 - 11:40HOUYao 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Yao vs. Howard: Tip to Howard0
27.9%
0
72.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLHOU
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.86 43.2%
HOU
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
10
19
53%
HOU
7
20
35%
Midrange
ORL
13
42
31%
HOU
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
HOU
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
15
22
68%
HOU
18
19
95%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Francis2750%13.5 / 27
D. Stevenson1243%6.0 / 14
D. Howard1250%6.0 / 12
J. Nelson1071%5.0 / 7
H. Turkoglu945%4.5 / 10
K. Cato375%1.5 / 2
P. Garrity350%1.5 / 3
T. Battie0-0.0 / 5
T. Morris0-0.0 / 2
M. Kasun0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Yao1747%8.5 / 18
J. Howard1255%6.0 / 11
J. Barry1063%5.0 / 8
R. Alston833%4.0 / 12
S. Swift840%4.0 / 10
D. Anderson750%3.5 / 7
L. Head770%3.5 / 5
R. Bowen375%1.5 / 2
D. Mutombo2100%1.0 / 1
D. Wesley0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
68
+17
-15
85
HOU
70
+7
-12
77
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.86 43.2%
HOU
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
101.4
ORL 91.6 +1.3
HOU 90.2
Pace
88.1
88.2
ORL 78.3
HOU 87.3 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.6
16.1
ORL 18.4
HOU 16.5 −1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.6%
47.1%
ORL 41.2% +1.2%
HOU 40.0%
TO %
16.2%
15.4%
ORL 16.1%
HOU 13.3% −2.8%
ORB %
28.6%
25.5%
ORL 25.6% +7.2%
HOU 18.4%
FTrt
36.9
31.7
ORL 29.7 +2.6
HOU 27.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
51.4%
58.3%
ORL 39.3%
HOU 65.4% +26.1%
STL %
7.3%
8.1%
ORL 4.8%
HOU 11.0% +6.2%
BLK %
7.2%
6.6%
ORL 13.0%
HOU 14.8% +1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
50.3%
ORL 43.2%
HOU 46.8% +3.6%
Rim FG%
57.7%
56.1%
ORL 52.6% +17.6%
HOU 35.0%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.3%
ORL 31.0%
HOU 44.1% +13.1%
3P %
37.6%
33.2%
ORL 38.5% +13.5%
HOU 25.0%
FT %
73.0%
75.9%
ORL 68.2%
HOU 94.7% +26.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
32.1%
ORL 25.7%
HOU 28.6% +2.9%
Mid Att. %
47.2%
45.3%
ORL 56.8%
HOU 48.6% −8.2%
3P Att. %
12.9%
22.6%
ORL 17.6%
HOU 22.9% +5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLHOU
Possessions8382
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points7674
Rebounds4136
Assists1117
Steals49
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (7)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (7)29 (3)
Field Goals28-7426-70
At-the-Rim FG10-197-20
Midrange FG13-4215-34
2-Point FG23-6122-54
3-Point FG5-134-16
Free Throws15-2218-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 210 · 29
42.0
27
50%
3
5
1
0
2
1
0
3
2-4
50%
11-20
55%
1-6
17%
G · 6'5" 218 · 25
38.5
12
43%
4
1
0
0
3
1
1
3
6-8
75%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 265 · 20
36.8
12
50%
11
1
0
2
2
3
3
8
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 27
28.6
9
45%
7
1
2
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
21.3
0
0%
3
1
0
2
0
6
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 24
22.3
10
71%
6
2
0
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
C · 6'11" 275 · 31
20.2
3
75%
2
0
0
2
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 221 · 27
12.7
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 260 · 26
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 29
8.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
#5 · G · 6'3" 195 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
76
43%
41
11
4
7
15
0
10
31
15-22
68%
23-61
38%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.