Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	29	Hawks	11%	86	79	92.9	85	82.9
	1	Spurs	89%	102	103	121.2	85	87.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 24	37.5	12	43%	3	1	0	0	2	3	2	1	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 26	34.7	23	48%	9	1	0	0	5	2	5	4	1-4	25%	8-19	42%	2-3	67%
Josh Childress F · 6'8" 210 · 22	27.2	2	25%	6	1	1	0	2	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 29	22.7	7	58%	2	1	0	0	2	3	2	0	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 22	21.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	3	2	2	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 19	24.6	4	40%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	4-6	67%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
John Edwards C · 7'0" 275 · 24	23.1	8	67%	7	0	0	2	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 23	23.1	11	61%	3	1	1	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 20	21.3	5	28%	3	0	1	5	0	2	2	1	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 24	5.0	1	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Esteban Batista F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Donta Smith G · 6'7" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Delk #00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	45%	39	8	3	8	18	0	18	21	16-24	67%	27-67	40%	3-6	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

29 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 24	37.5	12	43%	3	1	0	0	2	3	2	1	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-2	0%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 26	34.7	23	48%	9	1	0	0	5	2	5	4	1-4	25%	8-19	42%	2-3	67%
Josh Childress F · 6'8" 210 · 22	27.2	2	25%	6	1	1	0	2	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 29	22.7	7	58%	2	1	0	0	2	3	2	0	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 22	21.0	6	60%	2	1	0	0	3	2	2	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 19	24.6	4	40%	4	1	0	1	0	1	2	2	4-6	67%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
John Edwards C · 7'0" 275 · 24	23.1	8	67%	7	0	0	2	0	2	3	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 23	23.1	11	61%	3	1	1	0	4	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-1	100%
Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 20	21.3	5	28%	3	0	1	5	0	2	2	1	3-4	75%	1-7	14%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 24	5.0	1	25%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Esteban Batista F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Donta Smith G · 6'7" 215 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tony Delk #00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	45%	39	8	3	8	18	0	18	21	16-24	67%	27-67	40%	3-6	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 23	36.0	18	60%	3	8	3	0	0	2	1	2	4-8	50%	7-11	64%	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	34.3	6	50%	2	1	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	30.3	23	77%	7	3	0	1	2	2	4	3	1-2	50%	11-14	79%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	28.6	24	80%	3	2	5	1	1	1	0	3	5-5	100%	8-11	73%	1-2	50%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 29	10.0	4	67%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	20.7	8	44%	8	0	0	1	1	4	3	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	20.1	6	60%	2	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Melvin Sanders G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25	18.4	5	31%	5	0	1	0	2	1	1	4	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	16.6	0	0%	3	0	1	3	1	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	9.7	2	33%	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	9.1	5	36%	2	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	6.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Michael Finley #4 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brent Barry #17 · G · 6'7" 210 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	54%	40	22	11	6	9	0	16	24	12-19	63%	41-75	55%	3-9	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.90 44.9%

SAS

1.08 54.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

17

33

52%

SAS

23

40

57%

Midrange

ATL

10

34

29%

SAS

18

35

51%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

3

4.5

6

50%

75%

SAS

3

4.5

9

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

16

24

67%

SAS

12

19

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Harrington	23	48%	11.5 / 24
J. Johnson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
S. Stoudamire	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Edwards	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Lue	7	58%	3.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Smith	5	28%	2.5 / 9
M. Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Childress	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Ivey	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ginobili	24	80%	12.0 / 15
T. Duncan	23	77%	11.5 / 15
T. Parker	18	60%	9.0 / 15
F. Oberto	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Bowen	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Van Exel	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Sanders	5	31%	2.5 / 8
B. Udrih	5	36%	2.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Marks	2	33%	1.0 / 3
N. Mohammed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Horry	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 106.6 10 107.1	ATL 92.9 SAS 121.2 +28.2
Pace	18 90.3 23 88.8	ATL 82.9 SAS 87.2 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	15 15.8 4 16.9	ATL 17.4 SAS 16.5 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	20 48.6% 3 51.3%	ATL 43.2% SAS 54.2% +11.0%
TO %	27 16.5% 14 14.8%	ATL 18.5% SAS 10.6% −7.9%
ORB %	3 31.5% 20 26.1%	ATL 42.9% SAS 43.2% +0.3%
FTrt	13 34.0 27 29.8	ATL 32.9 +10.3 SAS 22.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 55.2% 17 57.4%	ATL 26.7% SAS 50.0% +23.3%
STL %	16 7.8% 21 7.4%	ATL 3.5% SAS 12.9% +9.4%
BLK %	15 7.5% 9 8.4%	ATL 10.7% +1.7% SAS 9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 51.8% 7 53.1%	ATL 44.9% SAS 54.2% +9.3%
Rim FG%	23 55.8% 3 61.7%	ATL 51.5% SAS 57.5% +6.0%
Mid FG%	18 39.3% 21 39.0%	ATL 29.4% SAS 51.4% +22.0%
3P %	11 36.7% 2 38.5%	ATL 50.0% +16.7% SAS 33.3%
FT %	14 75.0% 28 70.2%	ATL 66.7% +3.5% SAS 63.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 39.3% 14 36.7%	ATL 45.2% SAS 47.6% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	13 43.0% 9 41.8%	ATL 46.6% SAS 41.7% −4.9%
3P Att. %	20 17.8% 15 21.5%	ATL 8.2% SAS 10.7% +2.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	SAS
Possessions	85	85
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	79	103
Rebounds	39	40
Assists	8	22
Steals	3	11
Blocks	8	6
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (3)	16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	21 (3)	24 (1)
Field Goals	30-73	44-84
At-the-Rim FG	17-33	23-40
Midrange FG	10-34	18-35
2-Point FG	27-67	41-75
3-Point FG	3-6	3-9
Free Throws	16-24	12-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg