Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	20	Bucks	27%	97	90	96.8	93	93.1
	11	Warriors	73%	105	87	94.6	92	91.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 23	39.4	9	38%	4	13	0	0	5	3	1	3	5-6	83%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 26	36.9	27	64%	2	2	1	0	3	2	1	1	6-6	100%	6-15	40%	3-4	75%
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 25	34.4	20	59%	11	2	2	0	2	4	2	9	5-7	71%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Joe Smith F · 6'10" 225 · 30	31.5	9	45%	13	1	0	0	2	5	4	9	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 27	27.9	7	44%	9	1	1	1	1	3	0	9	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 23	20.0	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Toni Kukoc F · 6'11" 235 · 37	16.3	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 21	15.8	9	35%	11	1	1	0	1	1	7	4	1-2	50%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Jiri Welsch F · 6'7" 208 · 26	12.9	5	63%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Charlie Bell G · 6'3" 200 · 27	5.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dan Gadzuric C · 6'11" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Davis #5 · F · 6'8" 235 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Reece Gaines #34 · G · 6'6" 205 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ersan Ilyasova #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	58	23	5	1	15	0	17	41	19-25	76%	28-74	38%	5-10	50%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 23	39.4	9	38%	4	13	0	0	5	3	1	3	5-6	83%	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 26	36.9	27	64%	2	2	1	0	3	2	1	1	6-6	100%	6-15	40%	3-4	75%
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 25	34.4	20	59%	11	2	2	0	2	4	2	9	5-7	71%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Joe Smith F · 6'10" 225 · 30	31.5	9	45%	13	1	0	0	2	5	4	9	1-2	50%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 27	27.9	7	44%	9	1	1	1	1	3	0	9	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 23	20.0	0	0%	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Toni Kukoc F · 6'11" 235 · 37	16.3	2	20%	1	1	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 21	15.8	9	35%	11	1	1	0	1	1	7	4	1-2	50%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Jiri Welsch F · 6'7" 208 · 26	12.9	5	63%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-1	100%
Charlie Bell G · 6'3" 200 · 27	5.1	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dan Gadzuric C · 6'11" 240 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 38	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Davis #5 · F · 6'8" 235 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Reece Gaines #34 · G · 6'6" 205 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ersan Ilyasova #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	46%	58	23	5	1	15	0	17	41	19-25	76%	28-74	38%	5-10	50%

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11 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Richardson G · 6'6" 225 · 25	40.0	21	55%	8	2	2	0	2	2	1	7	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	1-7	14%
Troy Murphy F · 6'11" 245 · 26	36.7	14	70%	10	1	0	2	1	3	2	8	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	2-3	67%
Baron Davis G · 6'3" 212 · 27	34.4	11	25%	6	7	4	0	2	2	3	3	1-3	33%	2-12	17%	2-9	22%
Mike Dunleavy F · 6'9" 230 · 25	26.5	3	21%	3	3	1	2	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Adonal Foyle C · 6'10" 270 · 31	24.5	2	25%	4	0	0	5	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Mickael Pietrus F · 6'6" 215 · 24	31.2	18	69%	4	2	3	1	2	4	1	3	4-8	50%	4-4	100%	2-5	40%
Derek Fisher G · 6'1" 210 · 31	25.2	14	64%	2	6	0	0	1	6	0	2	6-6	100%	1-4	25%	2-4	50%
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 20	8.5	1	50%	3	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zarko Cabarkapa F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24	6.1	1	13%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Calbert Cheaney G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34	3.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Taft F · 6'10" 261 · 21	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Aaron Miles G · 6'1" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Monta Ellis #8 · G · 6'3" 185 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ike Diogu #9 · F · 6'9" 250 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	46%	42	21	10	10	11	0	9	33	20-29	69%	20-50	40%	9-29	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.93 46.4%

GSW

0.92 45.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

17

44

39%

GSW

13

21

62%

Midrange

MIL

11

30

37%

GSW

7

29

24%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

5

7.5

10

50%

75%

GSW

9

13.5

29

31%

47%

Free Throws

MIL

19

25

76%

GSW

20

29

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Redd	27	64%	13.5 / 21
B. Simmons	20	59%	10.0 / 17
T. Ford	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Smith	9	45%	4.5 / 10
A. Bogut	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Magloire	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Welsch	5	63%	2.5 / 4
T. Kukoc	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Bell	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Richardson	21	55%	10.5 / 19
M. Pietrus	18	69%	9.0 / 13
T. Murphy	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Fisher	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Davis	11	25%	5.5 / 22
M. Dunleavy	3	21%	1.5 / 7
A. Foyle	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Cheaney	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Biedrins	1	50%	0.5 / 1
Z. Cabarkapa	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 105.9 20 104.6	MIL 96.8 +2.2 GSW 94.6
Pace	14 91.6 3 93.5	MIL 93.1 +1.3 GSW 91.9
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.6 25 15.0	MIL 15.5 −0.2 GSW 15.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 49.2% 24 47.9%	MIL 42.3% GSW 42.4% +0.1%
TO %	20 15.2% 9 14.5%	MIL 13.6% GSW 10.7% −2.9%
ORB %	11 27.3% 14 26.9%	MIL 34.0% +16.0% GSW 18.0%
FTrt	20 32.2 19 32.3	MIL 29.8 GSW 36.7 +6.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 59.4% 16 57.6%	MIL 69.7% GSW 72.4% +2.7%
STL %	14 7.9% 15 7.8%	MIL 5.4% GSW 10.9% +5.5%
BLK %	29 5.4% 21 6.7%	MIL 2.0% GSW 13.5% +11.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 52.0% 25 50.9%	MIL 46.4% +0.6% GSW 45.8%
Rim FG%	27 54.9% 20 56.5%	MIL 38.6% GSW 61.9% +23.3%
Mid FG%	16 39.6% 30 36.7%	MIL 36.7% +12.6% GSW 24.1%
3P %	4 38.0% 22 34.1%	MIL 50.0% +19.0% GSW 31.0%
FT %	18 73.8% 26 71.8%	MIL 76.0% +7.0% GSW 69.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 39.7% 13 36.9%	MIL 52.4% +25.8% GSW 26.6%
Mid Att. %	5 40.0% 2 36.1%	MIL 35.7% −1.0% GSW 36.7%
3P Att. %	18 20.3% 2 27.0%	MIL 11.9% GSW 36.7% +24.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	GSW
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	24.0	24.0
Points	90	87
Rebounds	58	42
Assists	23	21
Steals	5	10
Blocks	1	10
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (1)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	41 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	33-84	29-79
At-the-Rim FG	17-44	13-21
Midrange FG	11-30	7-29
2-Point FG	28-74	20-50
3-Point FG	5-10	9-29
Free Throws	19-25	20-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg