Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Kings47%104104
15SuperSonics53%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 29.6
40.4
32.7
16
66%
8
8
1
1
0
3
2
6
2-5
40%
7-10
4-8
70%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.5
39.3
34.0
25
64%
3
3
1
1
0
5
0
3
7-8
88%
6-10
5-10
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 28.4
38.9
37.3
25
87%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
6-8
75%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
38.9
30.1
13
50%
11
5
2
2
0
3
2
9
1-2
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
35.5
32.4
16
74%
4
8
3
1
1
4
2
2
2-2
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
51%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28.3
20.0
15.6
9
78%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 22.8
14.8
16.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 27.6
12.1
13.7
0
0%
4
1
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.5
9.1
0
1-2
51%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
7.4
0
1-2
48%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
3.9
0
0-1
49%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.4
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.3
41.6
38.7
28
61%
4
7
1
1
0
3
1
3
5-7
71%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
5-13
38%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
39.8
37.7
14
50%
5
1
3
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
2-6
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
35.5
30.3
13
61%
9
0
3
1
1
1
3
6
5-6
83%
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
33.5
33.5
10
42%
1
13
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 29.7
15.8
5.7
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.0
30.3
19.7
17
65%
6
4
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
3-7
43%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 25.9
15.0
13.6
10
83%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Mateen Cleaves
G · 6'2" 210 · 28.2
14.5
12.7
4
40%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 30.7
14.1
19.3
8
80%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.5
8.5
0
1-2
45%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 30.0
4.1
0
0-1
49%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 20.0
2.2
0
0-0
51%
Rick Brunson
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.4
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.