FinalWin Prob.pScore
1367%97
96
2933%91
74
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.38786.6
ATL logo ATL
85.18787.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL96
100%
74
0%
Q4 - 0:25.0ATLThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0ATLEdwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLMISS Ivey Layup96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:02MIAIvey STEAL (1 STL)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13ATLIvey 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Edwards 1 AST)96
99.9%
74
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)96
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38ATLMISS Ivey 11' Jump Shot94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHaslem Dunk (9 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)94
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 1:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00ATLMISS Thomas Layup92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)92
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35ATLChildress Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:54ATLHAWKS Rebound89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17ATLMISS Ivey 14' Jump Shot89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:40MIAWilliams 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 3:51ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
99.8%
72
0.2%
Q4 - 3:51ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 3:59ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)87
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Anderson Free Throw 1 of 187
99.9%
70
0.1%
Q4 - 4:04MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:05ATLMISS Childress Layup85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:38MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMISS Johnson Layup85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:00MIAHaslem Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 5:14ATLPachulia Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)83
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 5:30ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)83
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 283
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 5:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)83
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 5:38MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 5:40ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot82
99.1%
70
0.9%
Q4 - 5:57MIAWalker 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)82
98.9%
70
1.1%
Q4 - 6:13MIAHeat Rebound80
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 6:15ATLMISS Childress Layup80
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 6:38ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 6:58ATLHarrington Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)80
98.0%
70
2.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
98.0%
68
2.0%
Q4 - 7:07MIAAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
97.8%
68
2.2%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
97.4%
68
2.6%
Q4 - 7:33ATLMISS Pachulia 13' Jump Shot78
97.2%
68
2.8%
Q4 - 7:44MIAPayton 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)78
96.6%
68
3.4%
Q4 - 7:58ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)76
95.7%
68
4.3%
Q4 - 7:58ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
96.7%
67
3.3%
Q4 - 7:58ATLJohnson Layup (12 PTS)76
96.7%
67
3.3%
Q4 - 7:58ATLMISS Johnson Layup76
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q4 - 8:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
96.7%
65
3.3%
Q4 - 8:05MIAMISS Anderson 3PT Jump Shot76
97.0%
65
3.0%
Q4 - 8:27MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
97.5%
65
2.5%
Q4 - 8:29ATLMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot76
97.3%
65
2.7%
Q4 - 8:51MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
96.8%
65
3.2%
Q4 - 8:51MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
96.6%
65
3.4%
Q4 - 9:00ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)74
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q4 - 9:27MIAAnderson Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)74
94.2%
65
5.8%
Q4 - 9:47ATLPachulia 9' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Harrington 4 AST)72
92.8%
65
7.2%
Q4 - 10:05ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
93.4%
63
6.6%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
93.9%
63
6.1%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)72
94.8%
63
5.2%
Q4 - 10:27ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 2 of 272
94.6%
63
5.4%
Q4 - 10:27ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)72
93.5%
63
6.5%
Q4 - 10:27ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)72
95.1%
62
4.9%
Q4 - 10:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)72
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q4 - 10:32ATLMISS Stoudamire 14' Jump Shot72
96.4%
61
3.6%
Q4 - 10:48MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
95.8%
61
4.2%
Q4 - 11:18ATLStoudamire Dunk (4 PTS)70
94.1%
61
5.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAStoudamire STEAL (3 STL)70
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
96.1%
59
3.9%
Q4 - 11:39ATLMISS Harrington Layup70
95.9%
59
4.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
95.2%
59
4.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
95.7%
59
4.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0ATLHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
95.9%
58
4.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 0:10.0ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot70
96.9%
57
3.1%
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
96.5%
57
3.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade Layup70
96.7%
57
3.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson Dunk (9 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)70
97.1%
57
2.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
97.6%
55
2.4%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
97.8%
55
2.2%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLHarrington 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
98.1%
55
1.9%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)70
98.2%
53
1.8%
Q3 - 1:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)69
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 1:44ATLHarrington 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)68
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 1:59ATLHAWKS Rebound68
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 1:59MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot68
98.3%
51
1.7%
Q3 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
98.2%
51
1.8%
Q3 - 2:13ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot68
98.1%
51
1.9%
Q3 - 2:38MIAWade Dunk (18 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)68
97.9%
51
2.1%
Q3 - 2:43MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
97.5%
51
2.5%
Q3 - 2:45ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
97.3%
51
2.7%
Q3 - 3:00MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)66
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 3:32ATLPachulia Dunk (15 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)63
95.3%
51
4.7%
Q3 - 3:50MIAWade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)63
96.0%
49
4.0%
Q3 - 4:16ATLPachulia 11' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS)61
95.1%
49
4.9%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
95.7%
47
4.3%
Q3 - 4:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
95.1%
47
4.9%
Q3 - 4:56ATLPachulia Layup (11 PTS)59
95.1%
47
4.9%
Q3 - 4:58ATLMISS Johnson Layup59
96.3%
45
3.7%
Q3 - 5:18MIAMourning Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)59
95.4%
45
4.6%
Q3 - 5:23ATLStoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)57
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 5:28ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
93.7%
45
6.3%
Q3 - 5:30MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)57
94.0%
45
6.0%
Q3 - 5:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 5:51ATLMISS Stoudamire 19' Jump Shot57
94.4%
45
5.6%
Q3 - 5:59ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
93.7%
45
6.3%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
94.0%
45
6.0%
Q3 - 6:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
94.3%
45
5.7%
Q3 - 6:17ATLMISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot57
94.0%
45
6.0%
Q3 - 6:30MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)57
93.3%
45
6.7%
Q3 - 6:48ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)55
92.4%
45
7.6%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
93.4%
43
6.6%
Q3 - 7:19ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
91.9%
43
8.1%
Q3 - 7:19ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
92.1%
42
7.9%
Q3 - 7:40MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
92.8%
41
7.2%
Q3 - 7:58ATLIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)50
90.7%
41
9.3%
Q3 - 8:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)50
88.9%
41
11.1%
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Wade Layup50
89.4%
41
10.6%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
89.4%
41
10.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)50
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q3 - 8:46ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 250
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q3 - 8:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
89.4%
41
10.6%
Q3 - 8:55ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical50
90.3%
40
9.7%
Q3 - 9:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
90.1%
40
9.9%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
90.5%
40
9.5%
Q3 - 9:31ATLPachulia Layup (8 PTS)50
91.4%
40
8.6%
Q3 - 9:44ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
92.5%
38
7.5%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 150
92.6%
38
7.4%
Q3 - 10:06ATLPachulia Driving Layup (6 PTS)48
91.3%
38
8.7%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)48
92.3%
36
7.7%
Q3 - 10:51ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)46
91.3%
36
8.7%
Q3 - 10:51ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS)46
91.3%
36
8.7%
Q3 - 10:53ATLMISS Harrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
93.0%
34
7.0%
Q3 - 11:19MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)46
92.2%
34
7.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Mourning 3' Jump Shot43
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q3 - 11:33MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot43
89.1%
34
10.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA43
90.0%
34
10.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLChildress Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)43
89.4%
34
10.6%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMourning Alley Oop Layup (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)43
88.5%
34
11.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)41
86.7%
34
13.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
88.5%
32
11.5%
Q2 - 1:00MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot41
88.8%
32
11.2%
Q2 - 1:16ATLChildress Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
89.0%
32
11.0%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 6' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
90.7%
30
9.3%
Q2 - 1:40ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)39
89.0%
30
11.0%
Q2 - 1:40ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)39
89.3%
29
10.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)39
90.7%
28
9.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
91.3%
28
8.7%
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot39
90.9%
28
9.1%
Q2 - 2:19ATLHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
91.1%
28
8.9%
Q2 - 2:19ATLMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 239
91.4%
27
8.6%
Q2 - 2:22ATLHAWKS Rebound39
91.2%
27
8.8%
Q2 - 2:22ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot39
91.8%
27
8.2%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)39
91.2%
27
8.8%
Q2 - 2:54ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)37
90.1%
27
9.9%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T9)37
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)37
91.8%
25
8.2%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
91.5%
25
8.5%
Q2 - 3:41MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 3:41MIAAnderson Layup (4 PTS)37
90.7%
25
9.3%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade Layup35
88.9%
25
11.1%
Q2 - 4:05ATLPachulia 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
89.5%
25
10.5%
Q2 - 4:20MIAPayton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
90.5%
23
9.5%
Q2 - 4:47ATLSmith 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)32
88.3%
23
11.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)32
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q2 - 5:07ATLIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)32
90.4%
21
9.6%
Q2 - 5:16ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
89.3%
21
10.7%
Q2 - 5:16ATLHAWKS Rebound32
90.3%
20
9.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Wade Layup32
90.7%
20
9.3%
Q2 - 5:25MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
91.4%
20
8.6%
Q2 - 5:27ATLMISS Smith Layup32
91.1%
20
8.9%
Q2 - 5:28ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
90.4%
20
9.6%
Q2 - 5:30ATLMISS Pachulia 8' Jump Shot32
91.1%
20
8.9%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
90.4%
20
9.6%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
89.4%
20
10.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot30
88.6%
20
11.4%
Q2 - 6:26ATLSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)30
89.3%
20
10.7%
Q2 - 6:47MIAAnderson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
90.1%
18
9.9%
Q2 - 7:08ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)28
88.8%
18
11.2%
Q2 - 7:17ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)28
89.8%
16
10.2%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot28
90.1%
16
9.9%
Q2 - 7:30MIAHeat Rebound28
90.8%
16
9.2%
Q2 - 7:31ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
90.5%
16
9.5%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning Dunk (8 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)28
89.8%
16
10.2%
Q2 - 8:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
88.6%
16
11.4%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 226
88.5%
16
11.5%
Q2 - 8:12ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 226
87.8%
16
12.2%
Q2 - 8:19MIAStoudamire STEAL (2 STL)26
87.4%
16
12.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
88.6%
16
11.4%
Q2 - 8:29ATLMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot26
88.3%
16
11.7%
Q2 - 8:49ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
87.4%
16
12.6%
Q2 - 8:49ATLMISS Stoudamire 8' Jump Shot26
88.3%
16
11.7%
Q2 - 9:08MIAPayton 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
87.2%
16
12.8%
Q2 - 9:33ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)24
86.2%
16
13.8%
Q2 - 9:40ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade Layup24
87.6%
14
12.4%
Q2 - 9:55MIAHeat Rebound24
88.4%
14
11.6%
Q2 - 9:56ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup24
88.0%
14
12.0%
Q2 - 9:59ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q2 - 10:01MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot24
87.3%
14
12.7%
Q2 - 10:09ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
88.1%
14
11.9%
Q2 - 10:17MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)24
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
88.1%
14
11.9%
Q2 - 10:20ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot24
87.7%
14
12.3%
Q2 - 10:40MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
86.9%
14
13.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
85.9%
14
14.1%
Q2 - 10:54ATLMISS Harrington 10' Jump Shot22
85.5%
14
14.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMourning Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)22
84.4%
14
15.6%
Q2 - 11:32ATLStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)20
83.1%
14
16.9%
Q2 - 11:50MIAPayton 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
84.4%
12
15.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL18
83.1%
12
16.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAStoudamire STEAL (1 STL)18
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLHarrington 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)18
82.7%
12
17.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
84.3%
10
15.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
85.2%
10
14.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
85.0%
10
15.0%
Q1 - 1:07MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)18
84.3%
10
15.7%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Williams Free Throw Technical15
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 1:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
81.3%
10
18.7%
Q1 - 1:26ATLMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot15
80.9%
10
19.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)15
80.1%
10
19.9%
Q1 - 1:51MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 1:53ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot13
77.8%
10
22.2%
Q1 - 2:12MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)13
77.1%
10
22.9%
Q1 - 2:29ATLIvey 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)11
75.3%
10
24.7%
Q1 - 2:52MIAHaslem Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
77.1%
8
22.9%
Q1 - 2:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
78.6%
8
21.4%
Q1 - 2:57ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot11
78.1%
8
21.9%
Q1 - 3:17MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
76.8%
8
23.2%
Q1 - 3:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:23ATLMISS Harrington 9' Jump Shot9
74.8%
8
25.2%
Q1 - 3:46MIAEdwards STEAL (1 STL)9
73.5%
8
26.5%
Q1 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
75.4%
8
24.6%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot9
74.1%
8
25.9%
Q1 - 4:26ATLIvey Layup (4 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)9
75.7%
8
24.3%
Q1 - 4:35ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 4:37ATLMISS Harrington 11' Jump Shot9
78.2%
6
21.8%
Q1 - 4:42ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)9
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 4:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot9
77.5%
6
22.5%
Q1 - 4:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
78.7%
6
21.3%
Q1 - 4:57ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot9
78.2%
6
21.8%
Q1 - 5:11MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
77.1%
6
22.9%
Q1 - 5:27ATLIvey 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 5:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot6
76.1%
4
23.9%
Q1 - 5:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 5:51ATLMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot6
76.7%
4
23.3%
Q1 - 6:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)6
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 6:32ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)6
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 6:46ATLHAWKS Rebound6
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot6
75.9%
4
24.1%
Q1 - 6:58MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
77.0%
4
23.0%
Q1 - 7:00ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot6
76.5%
4
23.5%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMourning 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 7:37MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 7:39ATLMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot4
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 7:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 7:48MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)4
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 8:05ATLHarrington Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 8:08ATLHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 8:10ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 8:16ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot4
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 8:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot4
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 8:43MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)4
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 8:48MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 8:50ATLMISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot4
74.3%
4
25.7%
Q1 - 8:59ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 9:01MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot4
73.5%
4
26.5%
Q1 - 9:13ATLHarrington Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
74.8%
4
25.2%
Q1 - 9:40MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
73.0%
4
27.0%
Q1 - 9:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.9%
4
28.1%
Q1 - 9:49ATLMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot2
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS)2
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 10:22ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 10:31ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
66.8%
4
33.2%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot0
67.3%
4
32.7%
Q1 - 10:49ATLHarrington 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
68.6%
4
31.4%
Q1 - 11:10ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
70.3%
2
29.7%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot0
70.8%
2
29.2%
Q1 - 11:31ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS)0
71.7%
2
28.3%
Q1 - 11:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
73.3%
0
26.7%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot0
74.2%
0
25.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Mourning: Tip to Ivey0
73.3%
0
26.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
ATL
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
26
69%
ATL
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
32
50%
ATL
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
ATL
7
0%
Free Throws
MIA
10
14
71%
ATL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2170%10.5 / 15
D. Wade2042%10.0 / 24
A. Mourning1464%7.0 / 11
G. Payton13108%6.5 / 6
S. Anderson1083%5.0 / 6
U. Haslem975%4.5 / 6
A. Walker643%3.0 / 7
J. Posey338%1.5 / 4
W. Simien0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
Z. Pachulia1753%8.5 / 16
A. Harrington1647%8.0 / 17
J. Johnson1341%6.5 / 16
J. Smith1063%5.0 / 8
R. Ivey844%4.0 / 9
J. Childress660%3.0 / 5
S. Stoudamire425%2.0 / 8
M. Williams0-0.0 / 4
J. Thomas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+7
-11
83
ATL
75
+11
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.16 57.8%
ATL
0.85 42.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
106.6
MIA 110.3
ATL 85.1 +25.3
Pace
92.2
90.3
MIA 86.6
ATL 87.4 +0.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.8
MIA 16.6
ATL 16.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.6%
MIA 57.3% +17.3%
ATL 40.0%
TO %
15.0%
16.5%
MIA 12.9% +0.5%
ATL 13.4%
ORB %
26.8%
31.5%
MIA 20.6%
ATL 22.7% +2.1%
FTrt
36.3
34.0
MIA 18.7
ATL 26.7 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
55.2%
MIA 60.0% +6.7%
ATL 53.3%
STL %
6.9%
7.8%
MIA 8.0% +2.3%
ATL 5.7%
BLK %
8.5%
7.5%
MIA 4.4% +1.0%
ATL 3.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
51.8%
MIA 57.8% +15.3%
ATL 42.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
55.8%
MIA 69.2% +12.1%
ATL 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.3%
MIA 50.0% +15.0%
ATL 35.0%
3P %
34.5%
36.7%
MIA 35.3% +35.3%
ATL 0.0%
FT %
70.0%
75.0%
MIA 71.4% +1.4%
ATL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
39.3%
MIA 34.7%
ATL 37.3% +2.7%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
43.0%
MIA 42.7% +10.7%
ATL 53.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.8%
MIA 22.7% +13.3%
ATL 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points9674
Rebounds4137
Assists2416
Steals75
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)27 (4)
Field Goals40-7530-75
At-the-Rim FG18-2616-28
Midrange FG16-3214-40
2-Point FG34-5830-68
3-Point FG6-170-7
Free Throws10-1414-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
37.1
20
42%
4
6
5
0
2
2
1
3
4-5
80%
8-22
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
36.8
21
70%
3
9
1
0
3
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
67%
4-9
44%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
33.3
14
64%
12
0
1
1
0
4
3
9
0-0
-
7-11
64%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
32.5
9
75%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
27.3
3
38%
3
3
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
28.8
6
43%
6
3
0
0
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
22.9
13
108%
3
2
0
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-4
100%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
16.9
10
83%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
1.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
58%
41
24
7
3
11
0
7
34
10-14
71%
34-58
59%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.