Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Spurs	40%	90	92	104.5	88	93.1
	3	Mavericks	60%	93	90	98.9	91	86.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	40.2	30	58%	4	5	1	0	2	5	1	3	4-7	57%	13-22	59%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	38.3	13	41%	14	2	0	1	2	1	3	11	5-8	63%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	38.1	7	39%	5	1	0	1	0	4	0	5	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	34.9	15	50%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	24.3	6	75%	7	0	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	17.9	10	56%	5	1	0	1	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	16.2	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	15.2	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.9	6	75%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	45	14	4	3	10	0	8	37	19-29	66%	32-64	50%	3-11	27%

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4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	40.2	30	58%	4	5	1	0	2	5	1	3	4-7	57%	13-22	59%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	38.3	13	41%	14	2	0	1	2	1	3	11	5-8	63%	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	38.1	7	39%	5	1	0	1	0	4	0	5	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	34.9	15	50%	3	2	2	0	2	3	0	3	4-6	67%	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	24.3	6	75%	7	0	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	17.9	10	56%	5	1	0	1	0	3	1	4	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	16.2	5	83%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	15.2	0	0%	3	0	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.9	6	75%	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	45	14	4	3	10	0	8	37	19-29	66%	32-64	50%	3-11	27%

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3 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marquis Daniels F · 6'6" 200 · 25	43.1	24	46%	8	3	1	0	2	4	3	5	8-12	67%	8-20	40%	0-1	0%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 27	41.6	14	44%	9	6	0	0	0	4	1	8	7-8	88%	2-12	17%	1-1	100%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	37.7	18	60%	2	0	2	0	1	3	1	1	0-0	-	6-10	60%	2-5	40%
Erick Dampier C · 6'11" 265 · 30	27.8	7	58%	7	1	0	2	1	2	3	4	1-4	25%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Darrell Armstrong G · 6'1" 180 · 37	2.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-

Keith Van Horn F · 6'10" 245 · 30	34.7	12	50%	3	0	1	0	3	4	0	3	7-8	88%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 23	26.2	7	32%	5	4	1	0	1	2	2	3	1-3	33%	3-10	30%	0-0	-
DeSagana Diop C · 7'0" 280 · 24	16.8	8	80%	9	0	1	1	1	3	4	5	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Adrian Griffin G-F · 6'5" 230 · 31	9.6	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rawle Marshall G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DJ Mbenga C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jerry Stackhouse #42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pavel Podkolzin #24 · C · 7'5" 260 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh Howard #5 · F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	47%	46	14	6	3	10	0	14	32	24-35	69%	27-66	41%	4-11	36%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	DAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.02 51.1%

DAL

0.94 46.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

12

20

60%

DAL

15

22

68%

Midrange

SAS

20

44

45%

DAL

12

44

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

3

4.5

11

27%

41%

DAL

4

6.0

11

36%

55%

Free Throws

SAS

19

29

66%

DAL

24

35

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	30	58%	15.0 / 26
M. Finley	15	50%	7.5 / 15
T. Duncan	13	41%	6.5 / 16
N. Mohammed	10	56%	5.0 / 9
B. Bowen	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Nesterovic	6	75%	3.0 / 4
N. Van Exel	6	75%	3.0 / 4
B. Barry	5	83%	2.5 / 3
R. Horry	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Daniels	24	46%	12.0 / 26
J. Terry	18	60%	9.0 / 15
D. Nowitzki	14	44%	7.0 / 16
K. Van Horn	12	50%	6.0 / 12
D. Diop	8	80%	4.0 / 5
E. Dampier	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Harris	7	32%	3.5 / 11
D. Armstrong	0	-	0.0 / 0
A. Griffin	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 2 111.3	SAS 104.5 +5.6 DAL 98.9
Pace	23 88.8 25 88.2	SAS 93.1 +6.8 DAL 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 5 16.9	SAS 15.5 −1.2 DAL 16.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 10 49.5%	SAS 48.7% +5.8% DAL 42.9%
TO %	14 14.8% 8 14.4%	SAS 10.2% −0.4% DAL 10.6%
ORB %	20 26.0% 2 31.8%	SAS 20.0% DAL 27.5% +7.5%
FTrt	27 29.8 5 36.4	SAS 38.7 DAL 45.5 +6.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 30 50.0%	SAS 40.0% DAL 45.2% +5.2%
STL %	21 7.4% 9 8.1%	SAS 4.5% DAL 6.6% +2.1%
BLK %	9 8.4% 3 9.4%	SAS 4.5% DAL 4.7% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 6 53.3%	SAS 51.1% +4.2% DAL 46.9%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 24 55.4%	SAS 60.0% DAL 68.2% +8.2%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 2 43.4%	SAS 45.5% +18.2% DAL 27.3%
3P %	2 38.5% 9 37.4%	SAS 27.3% DAL 36.4% +9.1%
FT %	28 70.2% 6 78.3%	SAS 65.5% DAL 68.6% +3.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 22 32.5%	SAS 26.7% DAL 28.6% +1.9%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 28 50.0%	SAS 58.7% DAL 57.1% −1.5%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 21 17.5%	SAS 14.7% +0.4% DAL 14.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	DAL
Possessions	88	91
Possession Minutes	22.7	25.3
Points	92	90
Rebounds	45	46
Assists	14	14
Steals	4	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	14 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	32 (1)
Field Goals	35-75	31-77
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	15-22
Midrange FG	20-44	12-44
2-Point FG	32-64	27-66
3-Point FG	3-11	4-11
Free Throws	19-29	24-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg