Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Heat	41%	98	98	104.3	94	85.4
	7	Kings	59%	101	87	92.6	94	104.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 30	42.0	20	67%	2	8	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 24	34.9	27	54%	5	7	1	1	3	5	1	4	5-6	83%	11-22	50%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 29	34.5	9	64%	4	0	1	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 36	34.3	12	67%	6	0	0	7	4	3	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 25	33.1	12	60%	8	1	2	0	2	3	3	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Antoine Walker F · 6'9" 245 · 29	23.5	11	79%	4	3	0	2	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Gary Payton G · 6'4" 190 · 37	19.1	5	42%	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	4	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Shandon Anderson G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	13.5	2	33%	4	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 28	5.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wayne Simien F · 6'9" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Fitch #4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Earl Barron #30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal #32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	57%	40	23	7	12	18	0	7	33	15-18	83%	25-53	47%	11-21	52%

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10 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 30	42.0	20	67%	2	8	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	4-8	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 24	34.9	27	54%	5	7	1	1	3	5	1	4	5-6	83%	11-22	50%	0-0	-
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 29	34.5	9	64%	4	0	1	1	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-7	43%
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 36	34.3	12	67%	6	0	0	7	4	3	2	4	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 25	33.1	12	60%	8	1	2	0	2	3	3	5	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Antoine Walker F · 6'9" 245 · 29	23.5	11	79%	4	3	0	2	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	3-4	75%
Gary Payton G · 6'4" 190 · 37	19.1	5	42%	5	4	0	0	0	1	1	4	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Shandon Anderson G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	13.5	2	33%	4	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 28	5.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wayne Simien F · 6'9" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Fitch #4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Earl Barron #30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Shaquille O'Neal #32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	57%	40	23	7	12	18	0	7	33	15-18	83%	25-53	47%	11-21	52%

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7 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	40.5	18	53%	15	5	1	0	4	4	1	14	4-4	100%	7-12	58%	0-3	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 28	40.2	11	32%	4	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	3-3	100%	1-9	11%	2-7	29%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	39.5	16	50%	1	9	0	0	2	4	1	0	1-3	33%	6-10	60%	1-5	20%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	37.5	16	57%	5	2	4	3	4	4	1	4	2-3	67%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	33.2	14	54%	3	3	0	0	0	3	1	2	4-4	100%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	22.3	8	57%	6	2	0	1	2	2	3	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	15.4	4	40%	2	2	2	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	11.3	0	0%	0	2	1	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Sampson #31 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	47%	36	28	8	5	14	0	8	28	14-17	82%	32-68	47%	3-15	20%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.14 57.0%

SAC

0.95 47.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

13

21

62%

SAC

15

35

43%

Midrange

MIA

12

32

38%

SAC

17

33

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

21

52%

79%

SAC

3

4.5

15

20%

30%

Free Throws

MIA

15

18

83%

SAC

14

17

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	27	54%	13.5 / 25
J. Williams	20	67%	10.0 / 15
A. Mourning	12	67%	6.0 / 9
U. Haslem	12	60%	6.0 / 10
A. Walker	11	79%	5.5 / 7
J. Posey	9	64%	4.5 / 7
G. Payton	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Anderson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Miller	18	53%	9.0 / 17
M. Bibby	16	50%	8.0 / 16
B. Wells	16	57%	8.0 / 14
S. Abdur-Rahim	14	54%	7.0 / 13
P. Stojakovic	11	32%	5.5 / 17
K. Thomas	8	57%	4.0 / 7
F. Garcia	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Hart	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 108.0 14 106.2	MIA 104.3 +11.7 SAC 92.6
Pace	10 92.2 9 92.4	MIA 85.4 SAC 104.5 +19.1
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.9 22 15.3	MIA 16.9 SAC 13.8 −3.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 51.7% 12 49.2%	MIA 56.1% +12.1% SAC 44.0%
TO %	16 15.0% 17 15.0%	MIA 19.6% SAC 13.4% −6.2%
ORB %	17 26.7% 26 25.4%	MIA 20.0% +0.5% SAC 19.5%
FTrt	6 36.3 16 33.4	MIA 24.3 +3.8 SAC 20.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	19 55.7% 6 61.8%	MIA 63.9% SAC 80.0% +16.1%
STL %	29 6.9% 13 8.0%	MIA 7.4% SAC 8.5% +1.1%
BLK %	8 8.5% 28 5.5%	MIA 17.6% +8.2% SAC 9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 53.9% 8 52.9%	MIA 57.0% +9.7% SAC 47.3%
Rim FG%	1 64.2% 4 60.4%	MIA 61.9% +19.0% SAC 42.9%
Mid FG%	22 38.9% 14 40.0%	MIA 37.5% SAC 51.5% +14.0%
3P %	20 34.5% 16 35.1%	MIA 52.4% +32.4% SAC 20.0%
FT %	29 70.0% 5 78.4%	MIA 83.3% +0.9% SAC 82.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.3% 26 32.1%	MIA 28.4% SAC 42.2% +13.8%
Mid Att. %	4 38.0% 21 46.3%	MIA 43.2% SAC 39.8% −3.5%
3P Att. %	10 22.7% 14 21.7%	MIA 28.4% +10.3% SAC 18.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	94	94
Possession Minutes	26.4	21.6
Points	98	87
Rebounds	40	36
Assists	23	28
Steals	7	8
Blocks	12	5
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (5)	28 (1)
Field Goals	36-74	35-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-21	15-35
Midrange FG	12-32	17-33
2-Point FG	25-53	32-68
3-Point FG	11-21	3-15
Free Throws	15-18	14-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg