Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Spurs	80%	93	110	120.9	91	82.5
	28	Magic	20%	82	85	94.4	90	100.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	34.6	26	62%	12	4	1	5	2	3	2	10	8-9	89%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	32.6	7	58%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	29.6	20	71%	3	7	0	0	4	2	0	3	5-6	83%	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	20.6	4	40%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	19.9	8	57%	2	0	0	2	0	3	1	1	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	29.3	7	58%	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	20.9	18	82%	7	0	0	2	3	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	15.2	6	75%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	14.3	4	40%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-5	40%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	11.8	3	38%	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	7.9	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	3.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	62%	45	25	4	10	13	0	7	38	25-36	69%	32-53	60%	7-18	39%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	34.6	26	62%	12	4	1	5	2	3	2	10	8-9	89%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 34	32.6	7	58%	4	3	1	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	29.6	20	71%	3	7	0	0	4	2	0	3	5-6	83%	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	20.6	4	40%	3	4	0	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	19.9	8	57%	2	0	0	2	0	3	1	1	0-2	0%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	29.3	7	58%	5	4	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	20.9	18	82%	7	0	0	2	3	3	1	6	3-4	75%	3-4	75%	3-5	60%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	15.2	6	75%	3	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	14.3	4	40%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-5	40%	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	11.8	3	38%	2	0	2	0	0	0	1	1	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	7.9	7	88%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-3	67%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	3.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	62%	45	25	4	10	13	0	7	38	25-36	69%	32-53	60%	7-18	39%

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28 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 27	41.4	11	46%	1	1	1	0	4	3	0	1	3-3	100%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Dwight Howard F · 6'11" 265 · 20	37.8	13	31%	15	1	2	1	2	3	5	10	5-6	83%	4-18	22%	0-0	-
DeShawn Stevenson G · 6'5" 218 · 25	37.6	15	54%	7	2	1	0	0	3	1	6	3-4	75%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 24	36.1	20	56%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	3-3	100%	7-15	47%	1-2	50%
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 30	23.0	6	50%	4	1	2	0	2	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Travis Diener G · 6'1" 175 · 24	19.5	9	90%	1	2	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Pat Garrity F · 6'9" 238 · 29	18.1	7	70%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Kelvin Cato C · 6'11" 275 · 31	10.8	2	33%	4	0	1	0	1	5	0	4	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stacey Augmon F-G · 6'8" 213 · 37	9.8	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Terence Morris F · 6'9" 221 · 27	2.9	2	33%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Bo Outlaw F · 6'8" 220 · 35	2.9	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Mario Kasun C · 7'1" 260 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steve Francis #3 · G · 6'3" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Keyon Dooling #5 · G · 6'3" 195 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Grant Hill #33 · F · 6'8" 225 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	44%	38	11	8	2	13	0	11	27	20-22	91%	25-73	34%	5-11	45%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.24 61.8%

ORL

0.89 44.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

16

21

76%

ORL

13

32

41%

Midrange

SAS

16

32

50%

ORL

12

41

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

7

10.5

18

39%

58%

ORL

5

7.5

11

45%

68%

Free Throws

SAS

25

36

69%

ORL

20

22

91%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	26	62%	13.0 / 21
T. Parker	20	71%	10.0 / 14
R. Horry	18	82%	9.0 / 11
R. Nesterovic	8	57%	4.0 / 7
B. Bowen	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Finley	7	58%	3.5 / 6
B. Udrih	7	88%	3.5 / 4
N. Mohammed	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Ginobili	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Barry	4	40%	2.0 / 5
N. Van Exel	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Nelson	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Stevenson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
D. Howard	13	31%	6.5 / 21
H. Turkoglu	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Diener	9	90%	4.5 / 5
P. Garrity	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Battie	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Cato	2	33%	1.0 / 3
T. Morris	2	33%	1.0 / 3
S. Augmon	0	-	0.0 / 4
B. Outlaw	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 11 106.6	SAS 120.9 +26.4 ORL 94.4
Pace	23 88.8 27 88.1	SAS 82.5 ORL 100.4 +17.9
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 7 16.6	SAS 17.5 ORL 14.3 −3.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 9 49.6%	SAS 59.9% +21.2% ORL 38.7%
TO %	14 14.8% 25 16.2%	SAS 13.0% ORL 13.0%
ORB %	20 26.0% 9 28.5%	SAS 20.6% ORL 22.4% +1.8%
FTrt	27 29.8 4 36.9	SAS 50.7 +24.5 ORL 26.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 28 51.4%	SAS 64.1% +27.4% ORL 36.7%
STL %	21 7.4% 24 7.3%	SAS 4.4% ORL 8.9% +4.5%
BLK %	9 8.4% 17 7.2%	SAS 13.7% +9.9% ORL 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 10 52.5%	SAS 61.8% +17.5% ORL 44.3%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 12 57.7%	SAS 76.2% +35.6% ORL 40.6%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 11 41.0%	SAS 50.0% +20.7% ORL 29.3%
3P %	2 38.5% 6 37.6%	SAS 38.9% ORL 45.5% +6.6%
FT %	28 70.2% 20 73.0%	SAS 69.4% ORL 90.9% +21.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 2 39.9%	SAS 29.6% ORL 38.1% +8.5%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 24 47.2%	SAS 45.1% −3.7% ORL 48.8%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 30 12.9%	SAS 25.4% +12.3% ORL 13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	110	85
Rebounds	45	38
Assists	25	11
Steals	4	8
Blocks	10	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (1)	27 (1)
Field Goals	39-71	30-84
At-the-Rim FG	16-21	13-32
Midrange FG	16-32	12-41
2-Point FG	32-53	25-73
3-Point FG	7-18	5-11
Free Throws	25-36	20-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg