FinalWin Prob.pScore
843%95
89
957%97
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
93.79597.2
LAC logo LAC
104.29592.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAC
Q4 - 0:00.0LAC89
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0LACCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0LACJump Ball Brand vs. Mourning: Tip to Williams87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIABrand STEAL (1 STL)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:01MIAHeat Rebound87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14LACBrand 16' Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Cassell 13 AST)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS)87
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 1:33LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T11)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)84
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:07LACBrand Driving Dunk (35 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)83
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:14LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:27LACMISS Mobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:36LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
0.2%
95
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:52LACCLIPPERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)83
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 2:52LACCLIPPERS Rebound83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:52LACMISS Brand 18' Jump Shot83
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 3:15LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 3:17MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 3:36LACMobley Driving Layup (12 PTS)83
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 282
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)82
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 4:03MIABrand BLOCK (6 BLK)82
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 4:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)82
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 4:18LACMISS Brand 19' Jump Shot82
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 4:35LACEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Mourning Layup82
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 4:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)82
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 4:43MIAMISS Walker Tip Shot82
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot82
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q4 - 5:06LACMobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ross 2 AST)82
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)82
4.4%
90
95.6%
Q4 - 5:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 5:50LACMISS Wilcox 7' Hook Shot80
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 6:05LACCLIPPERS Rebound80
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 6:29MIAHeat Rebound80
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q4 - 6:29LACMISS Wilcox 15' Jump Shot80
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)80
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 6:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q4 - 6:59LACMISS Ross 23' Jump Shot80
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)80
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 7:22LACMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)77
2.5%
90
97.5%
Q4 - 7:23LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 7:25MIABrand BLOCK (5 BLK)77
2.0%
90
98.0%
Q4 - 7:48LACBrand 14' Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)77
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 8:01LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)77
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot77
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 8:33LACRoss 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)77
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 8:46LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot77
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 9:04LACWilcox Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Brand 3 AST)77
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 9:17LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
11.3%
84
88.7%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Posey 7' Jump Shot77
12.0%
84
88.0%
Q4 - 9:38LACBrand 9' Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)77
14.0%
84
86.0%
Q4 - 9:56MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)77
17.0%
82
83.0%
Q4 - 10:17LACBrand 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Eisley 3 AST)75
15.0%
82
85.0%
Q4 - 10:24LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)75
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Walker 5' Driving Hook Shot75
19.0%
80
81.0%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
21.7%
80
78.3%
Q4 - 10:43LACMISS Eisley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
20.5%
80
79.5%
Q4 - 11:04LACRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
18.8%
80
81.2%
Q4 - 11:06MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot75
19.8%
80
80.2%
Q4 - 11:24LACBrand 17' Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
22.4%
80
77.6%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T11)75
26.2%
78
73.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0LAC75
30.8%
78
69.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound75
26.2%
78
73.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0LACMISS Maggette 7' Jump Shot75
30.0%
78
70.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
27.1%
78
72.9%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot75
28.4%
78
71.6%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
31.3%
78
68.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 275
30.7%
78
69.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 1 of 275
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)75
27.1%
78
72.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Walker Layup74
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
27.0%
78
73.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0LACMISS Maggette 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
25.8%
78
74.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
23.2%
78
76.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
24.3%
78
75.7%
Q3 - 1:10LACMaggette 7' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cassell 12 AST)74
27.8%
78
72.2%
Q3 - 1:29MIAPayton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)74
31.7%
76
68.3%
Q3 - 1:40LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
24.0%
76
76.0%
Q3 - 1:40LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
24.5%
75
75.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
27.6%
74
72.4%
Q3 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)70
27.0%
74
73.0%
Q3 - 2:01LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
24.5%
74
75.5%
Q3 - 2:01LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)69
24.9%
73
75.1%
Q3 - 2:12LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)69
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot69
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q3 - 2:38LACCassell Layup (18 PTS) (Maggette 2 AST)69
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
35.8%
70
64.2%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 268
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 2:54MIAHeat Rebound68
36.2%
70
63.8%
Q3 - 2:54LACMISS Mobley 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
34.7%
70
65.3%
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Driving Layup (18 PTS)68
32.2%
70
67.8%
Q3 - 3:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)66
28.6%
70
71.4%
Q3 - 3:16LACMISS Brand Driving Layup66
27.4%
70
72.6%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)66
24.8%
70
75.2%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
18.9%
70
81.1%
Q3 - 3:46LACMISS Cassell 7' Jump Shot63
18.0%
70
82.0%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWade Foul Turnover (P5.T10)63
16.1%
70
83.9%
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
19.5%
70
80.5%
Q3 - 4:15LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 3 of 363
19.1%
70
80.9%
Q3 - 4:15LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)63
17.3%
70
82.7%
Q3 - 4:15LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)63
17.6%
69
82.4%
Q3 - 4:29LACBrand REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 4:31LACMISS Kaman Free Throw 2 of 263
25.0%
68
75.0%
Q3 - 4:31LACKaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)63
23.2%
68
76.8%
Q3 - 4:41MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)63
25.0%
67
75.0%
Q3 - 4:57LACCassell 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Brand 2 AST)61
22.4%
67
77.6%
Q3 - 5:12LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
25.7%
65
74.3%
Q3 - 5:14MIABrand BLOCK (4 BLK)61
26.8%
65
73.2%
Q3 - 5:34LACCassell 19' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Brand 1 AST)61
29.2%
65
70.8%
Q3 - 5:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
32.5%
63
67.5%
Q3 - 5:41MIAPosey Tip Shot (9 PTS)61
32.5%
63
67.5%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot59
26.7%
63
73.3%
Q3 - 6:04LACBrand 13' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Cassell 11 AST)59
29.5%
63
70.5%
Q3 - 6:22MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS)59
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 6:44LACBrand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cassell 10 AST)57
29.5%
61
70.5%
Q3 - 7:02LACCLIPPERS Rebound57
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
33.7%
59
66.3%
Q3 - 7:19MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
36.6%
59
63.4%
Q3 - 7:21LACMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot57
35.3%
59
64.7%
Q3 - 7:36MIAMourning Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)57
32.5%
59
67.5%
Q3 - 7:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
29.7%
59
70.3%
Q3 - 7:48LACMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot55
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 7:58LACCLIPPERS Rebound55
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 7:59LACMISS Maggette Driving Dunk55
28.6%
59
71.4%
Q3 - 8:04MIACassell STEAL (1 STL)55
26.6%
59
73.4%
Q3 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
30.0%
59
70.0%
Q3 - 8:09LACMISS Maggette 13' Jump Shot55
28.9%
59
71.1%
Q3 - 8:24MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)55
26.5%
59
73.5%
Q3 - 8:24MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)54
26.1%
59
73.9%
Q3 - 8:27LACBrand Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)53
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 8:45LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
21.0%
59
79.0%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
21.9%
59
78.1%
Q3 - 9:07LACMobley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cassell 9 AST)53
24.1%
59
75.9%
Q3 - 9:16LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot53
30.8%
56
69.2%
Q3 - 9:31MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q3 - 9:33LACMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot53
32.0%
56
68.0%
Q3 - 9:44MIAWade 17' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)53
29.8%
56
70.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
26.9%
56
73.1%
Q3 - 9:52LACMISS Brand 19' Jump Shot51
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q3 - 10:07LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
24.3%
56
75.7%
Q3 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot51
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q3 - 10:27LACMaggette Foul Turnover (P2.T7)51
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q3 - 10:29LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
24.3%
56
75.7%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup51
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q3 - 11:00LACBrand 5' Driving Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Cassell 8 AST)51
27.3%
56
72.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)51
30.3%
54
69.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)50
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q3 - 11:38LACKaman 4' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)49
27.5%
54
72.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
30.2%
52
69.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
33.4%
52
66.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 31' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.2%
52
68.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
33.2%
52
66.8%
Q2 - 0:05.0LACMISS Cassell Free Throw 1 of 249
33.6%
51
66.4%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAAnderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)49
34.1%
51
65.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0LACMISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot46
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)46
25.8%
51
74.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound46
27.6%
51
72.4%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade 30' 3PT Jump Shot46
26.3%
51
73.7%
Q2 - 1:03LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)46
27.8%
51
72.2%
Q2 - 1:03LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)46
28.4%
50
71.6%
Q2 - 1:03LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
31.8%
49
68.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot46
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound46
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 1:07MIABrand BLOCK (3 BLK)46
32.2%
49
67.8%
Q2 - 1:25LACKaman Layup (6 PTS) (Cassell 7 AST)46
33.2%
49
66.8%
Q2 - 1:32LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
37.6%
47
62.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIABrand BLOCK (2 BLK)46
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 1:52LACCassell 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS)46
39.2%
47
60.8%
Q2 - 2:06MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)46
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
36.8%
45
63.2%
Q2 - 2:15LACMISS Brand 15' Jump Shot43
36.0%
45
64.0%
Q2 - 2:28MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)43
34.2%
45
65.8%
Q2 - 2:46LACKaman Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
31.2%
45
68.8%
Q2 - 2:46LACKaman Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 2:54MIAMourning Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)41
34.2%
43
65.8%
Q2 - 3:14LACBrand 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Cassell 6 AST)39
31.7%
43
68.3%
Q2 - 3:33MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 3:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)39
37.1%
41
62.9%
Q2 - 3:39LACMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot39
36.2%
41
63.8%
Q2 - 3:52MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)39
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 4:06LACCassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)39
36.9%
41
63.1%
Q2 - 4:13LACBrand REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
42.5%
38
57.5%
Q2 - 4:16LACMISS Kaman 5' Jump Shot39
44.4%
38
55.6%
Q2 - 4:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)39
42.5%
38
57.5%
Q2 - 4:46LACBrand 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
45.3%
38
54.7%
Q2 - 5:16MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)39
47.9%
36
52.1%
Q2 - 5:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 5:33LACMISS Wilcox 5' Jump Shot36
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 5:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
39.6%
36
60.4%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)36
42.5%
36
57.5%
Q2 - 5:56LACMISS Brand 10' Jump Shot36
41.6%
36
58.4%
Q2 - 6:03LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 236
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 6:21LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)35
40.0%
36
60.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAWade Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)35
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 6:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 6:42LACMISS Ross 22' Jump Shot33
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 6:46LACRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)33
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 6:48LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 6:48LACMISS Wilcox Tip Shot33
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 6:50LACMISS Kaman 6' Hook Shot33
33.9%
36
66.1%
Q2 - 7:08LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
32.5%
36
67.5%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 233
32.8%
36
67.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 233
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 7:27LACRoss 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Eisley 2 AST)33
35.0%
36
65.0%
Q2 - 7:32LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
37.2%
34
62.8%
Q2 - 7:36MIAKaman BLOCK (2 BLK)33
38.0%
34
62.0%
Q2 - 7:54LACMobley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)33
39.9%
34
60.1%
Q2 - 8:02LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
37.0%
34
63.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 233
37.4%
34
62.6%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 233
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 8:17LACMaggette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)33
39.8%
34
60.2%
Q2 - 8:30MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)33
37.0%
34
63.0%
Q2 - 8:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q2 - 8:51LACMISS Maggette Free Throw 2 of 230
32.3%
34
67.7%
Q2 - 8:51LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 8:53LACEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
32.4%
33
67.6%
Q2 - 8:55MIAMISS Posey 4' Jump Shot30
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q2 - 9:14LACMaggette Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
35.0%
33
65.0%
Q2 - 9:14LACMaggette Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
35.3%
32
64.7%
Q2 - 9:16MIAEisley STEAL (1 STL)30
37.0%
31
63.0%
Q2 - 9:36LACKaman 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 9:51LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
41.8%
29
58.2%
Q2 - 9:53MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 130
42.2%
29
57.8%
Q2 - 10:05LACBrand 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)28
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 10:12LACEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
41.8%
27
58.2%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot28
42.6%
27
57.4%
Q2 - 10:27LACBrand Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)28
44.5%
27
55.5%
Q2 - 10:27LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)28
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q2 - 10:34LACEisley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
46.7%
25
53.3%
Q2 - 10:38MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot28
47.5%
25
52.5%
Q2 - 10:55LACEisley 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
49.5%
25
50.5%
Q2 - 11:18LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
51.2%
23
48.8%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot28
52.0%
23
48.0%
Q2 - 11:44LACBrand 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Eisley 1 AST)28
53.7%
23
46.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAC28
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
52.9%
21
47.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
51.7%
21
48.3%
Q1 - 0:35.0LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
52.9%
21
47.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0LACCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)26
53.2%
20
46.8%
Q1 - 0:38.0LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
55.8%
19
44.2%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot26
56.4%
19
43.6%
Q1 - 0:56.0LACWilcox Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)26
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q1 - 1:05LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
60.4%
17
39.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
60.9%
17
39.1%
Q1 - 1:26LACCassell 19' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 1:32LACRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup26
65.3%
15
34.7%
Q1 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
66.4%
15
33.6%
Q1 - 1:39LACMISS Ross Layup26
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 1:40LACRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 1:42LACMISS Ross Layup26
65.9%
15
34.1%
Q1 - 1:56MIAPosey Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)26
64.8%
15
35.2%
Q1 - 2:00LACBrand Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
62.1%
15
37.9%
Q1 - 2:04LACWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.1%
15
39.9%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 2:32LACBrand 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)24
62.2%
15
37.8%
Q1 - 2:39LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
64.5%
13
35.5%
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Wade Dunk24
65.1%
13
34.9%
Q1 - 2:48LACMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)24
66.5%
13
33.5%
Q1 - 3:01MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)24
63.2%
13
36.8%
Q1 - 3:21LACBrand 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)21
59.3%
13
40.7%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMourning Tip Shot (4 PTS)21
61.2%
11
38.8%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup19
57.6%
11
42.4%
Q1 - 3:59LACMobley Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)19
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 4:05LACBrand REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
60.5%
9
39.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot19
61.3%
9
38.7%
Q1 - 4:27LACMobley 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
63.1%
9
36.9%
Q1 - 4:54MIAWilliams Driving Layup (5 PTS)19
64.7%
7
35.3%
Q1 - 5:12LACMaggette 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)17
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 5:19LACCLIPPERS Rebound17
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 5:19LACMISS Maggette 17' Jump Shot17
65.0%
5
35.0%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)17
63.5%
5
36.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
61.8%
5
38.2%
Q1 - 5:57LACMISS Kaman 6' Jump Shot15
61.2%
5
38.8%
Q1 - 6:15MIAAnderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
58.6%
5
41.4%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
56.7%
5
43.3%
Q1 - 6:25LACMISS Maggette 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
56.1%
5
43.9%
Q1 - 6:35MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
54.7%
5
45.3%
Q1 - 6:45MIAHaslem Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)11
52.7%
5
47.3%
Q1 - 7:02LACCassell 22' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
49.9%
5
50.1%
Q1 - 7:07LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
51.6%
3
48.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
52.3%
3
47.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 7:19LACMISS Mobley 7' Jump Shot10
53.1%
3
46.9%
Q1 - 7:30MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 7:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 7:32LACMISS Cassell 16' Jump Shot10
53.2%
3
46.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
51.7%
3
48.3%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
50.0%
3
50.0%
Q1 - 7:52LACMISS Maggette Layup8
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 7:53LACMaggette REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 7:56LACMISS Maggette Layup8
49.4%
3
50.6%
Q1 - 8:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
48.0%
3
52.0%
Q1 - 8:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 27
47.6%
3
52.4%
Q1 - 8:21LACKaman Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
48.2%
3
51.8%
Q1 - 8:38LACCLIPPERS Rebound7
46.1%
3
53.9%
Q1 - 8:38MIABrand BLOCK (1 BLK)7
46.7%
3
53.3%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
48.1%
3
51.9%
Q1 - 8:54LACMISS Brand Free Throw 2 of 27
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 8:54LACBrand Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
46.7%
3
53.3%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
47.6%
2
52.4%
Q1 - 9:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 9:19LACMISS Brand 10' Jump Shot5
45.5%
2
54.5%
Q1 - 9:35MIAHaslem 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)5
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 9:53LACBrand 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Maggette 1 AST)3
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIAHeat Rebound0
40.4%
0
59.6%
Q1 - 10:50LACMISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot0
39.8%
0
60.2%
Q1 - 10:55LACKaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 10:57MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot0
39.0%
0
61.0%
Q1 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:20LACMISS Mobley 15' Jump Shot0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
38.6%
0
61.4%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHeat Rebound0
40.2%
0
59.8%
Q1 - 11:36MIAKaman BLOCK (1 BLK)0
39.1%
0
60.9%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Kaman vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem0
40.2%
0
59.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
LAC
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
34
50%
LAC
9
18
50%
Midrange
MIA
9
27
33%
LAC
26
51
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
LAC
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
16
25
64%
LAC
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2952%14.5 / 28
A. Mourning1757%8.5 / 15
J. Williams1757%8.5 / 15
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
J. Posey956%4.5 / 8
S. Anderson563%2.5 / 4
G. Payton350%1.5 / 3
A. Walker0-0.0 / 10
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Brand3771%18.5 / 26
S. Cassell1869%9.0 / 13
C. Maggette1334%6.5 / 19
C. Mobley1260%6.0 / 10
C. Kaman956%4.5 / 8
Q. Ross433%2.0 / 6
C. Wilcox433%2.0 / 6
H. Eisley250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+11
-11
95
LAC
83
+10
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.94 46.8%
LAC
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
105.0
MIA 93.7 +10.5
LAC 104.2
Pace
92.2
92.1
MIA 97.2 +4.4
LAC 92.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.6
MIA 14.8 +0.7
LAC 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
48.7%
MIA 44.5%
LAC 51.3% +6.8%
TO %
15.0%
14.9%
MIA 12.3% +0.5%
LAC 12.8%
ORB %
26.8%
25.5%
MIA 13.3%
LAC 16.2% +2.9%
FTrt
36.3
33.2
MIA 30.5
LAC 35.1 +4.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
57.1%
MIA 60.6%
LAC 71.1% +10.5%
STL %
6.9%
7.0%
MIA 8.4% +4.2%
LAC 4.2%
BLK %
8.5%
9.5%
MIA 10.1%
LAC 13.1% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.4%
MIA 46.8%
LAC 52.7% +5.9%
Rim FG%
64.2%
58.2%
MIA 50.0%
LAC 50.0%
Mid FG%
38.9%
43.2%
MIA 33.3%
LAC 51.0% +17.7%
3P %
34.5%
34.4%
MIA 33.3%
LAC 37.5% +4.2%
FT %
70.0%
79.1%
MIA 64.0%
LAC 74.1% +10.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
29.3%
MIA 41.5% +18.1%
LAC 23.4%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
57.6%
MIA 32.9% +33.3%
LAC 66.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
13.1%
MIA 25.6% +15.2%
LAC 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.74 and 2.74.
Game TotalsMIALAC
Possessions9595
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points8999
Rebounds3745
Assists2027
Steals84
Blocks78
Turnovers (Team)11 (2)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)39 (3)
Field Goals33-8238-77
At-the-Rim FG17-349-18
Midrange FG9-2726-51
2-Point FG26-6135-69
3-Point FG7-213-8
Free Throws16-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
42.1
29
52%
6
4
4
1
5
4
0
6
5-7
71%
12-23
52%
0-2
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
41.1
17
57%
12
1
2
4
1
2
3
9
3-10
30%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
39.6
17
57%
1
9
0
1
3
1
0
1
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
4-8
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
36.7
9
56%
7
1
0
0
0
3
0
7
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
29.1
9
56%
6
1
1
1
1
5
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
18.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-6
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
18.1
3
50%
0
2
1
0
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
12.0
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
G · 6'3" 188 · 23
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
37
20
8
7
11
0
6
31
16-25
64%
26-61
43%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.