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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 9, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Lakers44%9493
21Bulls56%9680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
37.4
34.9
23
48%
9
8
1
1
0
4
1
8
5-7
71%
9-20
9-18
45%
46%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
34.0
34.9
19
80%
7
4
0
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
6-9
4-9
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.5
30.9
30.6
13
60%
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
3-7
43%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.4
29.5
24.1
10
56%
7
1
0
0
2
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
26.1
22.7
16
73%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.7
26.0
23.5
0
0%
5
7
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
0-4
2-5
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.8
25.9
25.1
3
21%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
39%
1-5
20%
Laron Profit
G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28.3
12.8
12.0
6
75%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.3
10.0
15.1
3
50%
3
0
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.1
7.4
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.1
3.7
0
0-1
41%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 23.8
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 26.7
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.9
43.6
24.5
26
68%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
9-14
2-6
64%
43%
1-3
33%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 23.1
33.6
23.7
22
60%
12
1
0
1
4
1
3
9
4-5
80%
9-16
4-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 23.2
28.1
19.5
1
17%
5
2
2
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 23.3
23.1
34.7
2
25%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 26.0
18.1
25.8
4
29%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
32.2
33.3
14
44%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
1-4
25%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.1
28.5
16.8
8
34%
4
3
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
0-4
0%
Eddie Basden
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.8
16.6
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
8.5
7.5
3
39%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 27.8
7.7
24.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 35.2
4.7
0
0-1
46%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.7
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.