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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 13, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks13%91100
3Cavaliers87%10594
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.5
39.6
37.7
18
55%
9
6
1
1
1
4
3
6
8-10
80%
5-10
6-12
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.8
38.8
34.8
20
53%
5
3
2
1
0
3
0
5
6-9
67%
7-14
6-13
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.0
27.0
16.8
12
63%
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3
6-8
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.8
21.7
31.0
7
33%
8
2
1
1
1
2
6
2
3-4
75%
2-9
4-9
22%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.0
13.7
15.8
4
50%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.5
33.9
29.5
11
45%
8
1
1
1
0
0
5
3
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
49%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.6
29.5
23.4
19
67%
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
5-7
71%
7-10
3-6
70%
45%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.5
21.6
22.2
4
50%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.2
14.2
14.4
5
42%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.3
6.3
0
1-1
45%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.4
5.1
0
1-1
46%
John Thomas
C · 6'9" 265 · 30.3
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 31.9
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
45.1
42.0
39
65%
10
6
2
2
0
6
0
10
10-16
63%
10-17
9-18
59%
52%
3-6
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
41.5
36.3
16
40%
3
4
2
2
1
4
1
2
2-4
50%
7-17
5-11
41%
47%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
35.5
28.0
12
47%
11
0
1
1
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-1
0%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.0
26.2
8.0
4
40%
5
0
0
0
2
1
5
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
25.9
29.4
3
39%
5
6
1
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.3
24.4
20.4
6
50%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
2-4
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
22.4
29.3
8
67%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
2-5
40%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.6
10.0
6.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.6
5.0
0.6
3
104%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
46%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
3.9
2.3
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.5
30.2
1
5-11
50%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.8
1.2
0
0-0
56%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.