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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Heat35%95107
5Cavaliers65%100115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.9
39.3
40.6
33
60%
4
7
2
2
1
2
1
3
11-13
85%
11-20
9-19
55%
48%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 28.9
33.5
27.3
13
81%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
3-5
60%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.4
27.9
34.5
9
56%
5
6
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 33.8
27.1
27.5
10
44%
6
1
0
0
0
4
2
4
0-3
0%
5-10
7-12
50%
55%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.5
21.1
27.3
3
28%
5
0
1
1
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.3
27.0
24.1
10
46%
7
7
0
1
1
2
3
4
1-2
50%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
1-6
17%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 35.9
20.8
19.6
14
49%
6
0
1
0
3
3
3
3
2-5
40%
6-12
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
19.4
12.3
6
150%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
2-2
100%
Gerald Fitch
G · 6'3" 188 · 23.3
13.2
12.9
9
64%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
44%
1-2
50%
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.0
10.8
9.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.8
2.5
0
0-1
46%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.5
2.5
0
0-1
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.0
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
46.4
42.9
41
79%
5
10
1
2
0
4
0
5
15-16
94%
10-15
9-17
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
42.7
35.7
20
51%
5
6
2
2
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
6-12
5-11
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.5
29.8
24.4
11
51%
5
2
0
0
3
0
1
4
1-2
50%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
23.9
29.3
7
79%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
8.0
31.9
2
53%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-1
5-9
100%
50%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
38.9
27.0
25
70%
13
3
1
1
1
3
2
11
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
5-11
45%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.3
31.5
24.4
9
46%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
2-7
29%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.0
18.9
10.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
14.9
0
1-3
44%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.6
4.6
0
0-1
41%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
2.5
0
0-1
44%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.6
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.2
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.