Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Kings	30%	93	89	97.8	91	95.9
	3	Spurs	70%	100	90	100.0	90	85.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	43.3	13	43%	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	7	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	41.6	11	37%	11	1	1	0	2	2	4	7	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	41.0	25	74%	7	3	1	0	2	4	1	6	1-3	33%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	40.8	13	46%	13	6	1	2	2	4	4	9	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	40.6	21	50%	2	6	2	0	3	2	1	1	1-3	33%	7-15	47%	2-5	40%

Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	17.4	4	33%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	14.2	2	20%	6	0	1	2	2	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Sampson #31 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	46	20	6	4	13	0	12	34	8-16	50%	36-73	49%	3-13	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	43.3	13	43%	7	2	0	0	1	1	0	7	2-2	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Bonzi Wells G · 6'5" 210 · 29	41.6	11	37%	11	1	1	0	2	2	4	7	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	0-3	0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	41.0	25	74%	7	3	1	0	2	4	1	6	1-3	33%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	40.8	13	46%	13	6	1	2	2	4	4	9	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	40.6	21	50%	2	6	2	0	3	2	1	1	1-3	33%	7-15	47%	2-5	40%

Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	17.4	4	33%	0	2	0	0	1	2	0	0	2-4	50%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas C-F · 6'7" 245 · 28	14.2	2	20%	6	0	1	2	2	3	2	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	1.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Sampson #31 · F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	47%	46	20	6	4	13	0	12	34	8-16	50%	36-73	49%	3-13	23%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	38.3	9	45%	9	1	0	1	1	2	0	9	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	37.7	25	66%	6	12	2	0	1	3	1	5	3-6	50%	11-16	69%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	37.4	24	44%	14	1	2	4	5	2	6	8	4-6	67%	10-24	42%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	35.8	16	67%	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	5-9	56%	2-3	67%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	26.4	3	38%	6	2	0	0	3	5	3	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	23.4	6	75%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	21.8	3	30%	2	0	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-5	20%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	10.4	3	50%	1	1	0	1	0	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	8.8	1	13%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	49%	43	17	6	7	12	0	10	33	12-19	63%	30-61	49%	6-18	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

0.94 46.8%

SAS

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

11

21

52%

SAS

18

25

72%

Midrange

SAC

25

52

48%

SAS

12

36

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

3

4.5

13

23%

35%

SAS

6

9.0

18

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAC

8

16

50%

SAS

12

19

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Abdur-Rahim	25	74%	12.5 / 17
M. Bibby	21	50%	10.5 / 21
P. Stojakovic	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Miller	13	46%	6.5 / 14
B. Wells	11	37%	5.5 / 15
J. Hart	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Thomas	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	25	66%	12.5 / 19
T. Duncan	24	44%	12.0 / 27
M. Finley	16	67%	8.0 / 12
B. Bowen	9	45%	4.5 / 10
R. Horry	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Nesterovic	3	38%	1.5 / 4
B. Barry	3	30%	1.5 / 5
N. Van Exel	3	50%	1.5 / 3
N. Mohammed	1	13%	0.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 106.2 10 107.1	SAC 97.8 SAS 100.0 +2.2
Pace	9 92.4 23 88.8	SAC 95.9 +10.3 SAS 85.6
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.3 4 16.9	SAC 15.0 −1.8 SAS 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 49.2% 3 51.3%	SAC 47.1% SAS 49.4% +2.3%
TO %	17 15.0% 14 14.8%	SAC 12.3% −1.5% SAS 13.8%
ORB %	26 25.4% 20 26.0%	SAC 26.7% +4.0% SAS 22.7%
FTrt	16 33.4 27 29.8	SAC 18.6 SAS 24.1 +5.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 61.8% 17 57.4%	SAC 51.3% +4.1% SAS 47.2%
STL %	13 8.0% 21 7.4%	SAC 6.6% SAS 6.7% +0.1%
BLK %	28 5.5% 9 8.4%	SAC 6.6% SAS 9.6% +3.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 52.9% 7 53.1%	SAC 46.8% SAS 48.9% +2.1%
Rim FG%	4 60.4% 3 61.7%	SAC 52.4% SAS 72.0% +19.6%
Mid FG%	14 40.0% 21 39.0%	SAC 48.1% +14.8% SAS 33.3%
3P %	16 35.1% 2 38.5%	SAC 23.1% SAS 33.3% +10.2%
FT %	5 78.4% 28 70.2%	SAC 50.0% SAS 63.2% +13.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 32.1% 14 36.7%	SAC 24.4% SAS 31.6% +7.2%
Mid Att. %	21 46.3% 9 41.8%	SAC 60.5% SAS 45.6% −14.9%
3P Att. %	14 21.7% 15 21.5%	SAC 15.1% SAS 22.8% +7.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	SAS
Possessions	91	90
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	89	90
Rebounds	46	43
Assists	20	17
Steals	6	6
Blocks	4	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	12 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	33 (1)
Field Goals	39-86	36-79
At-the-Rim FG	11-21	18-25
Midrange FG	25-52	12-36
2-Point FG	36-73	30-61
3-Point FG	3-13	6-18
Free Throws	8-16	12-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg