Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nuggets	63%	98	107	116.3	92	92.4
	28	Hawks	37%	93	110	118.3	93	76.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	48.1	37	53%	11	4	3	0	6	4	3	8	19-24	79%	9-22	41%	0-2	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	45.2	5	50%	15	3	0	0	2	5	7	8	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	44.8	20	56%	6	9	0	0	2	0	0	6	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 26	35.7	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.3	11	110%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	30.5	12	43%	1	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	25.4	7	39%	4	2	2	1	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Left Knee Tendinitis
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	\| DND - Strained Groin
Marcus Camby C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	\| DND - Sprained Rt Finger
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Earl Boykins #11 · G · 5'5" 133 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	46	22	8	1	12	0	16	30	26-34	76%	33-67	49%	5-16	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	48.1	37	53%	11	4	3	0	6	4	3	8	19-24	79%	9-22	41%	0-2	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	45.2	5	50%	15	3	0	0	2	5	7	8	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	44.8	20	56%	6	9	0	0	2	0	0	6	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 26	35.7	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.3	11	110%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	30.5	12	43%	1	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	25.4	7	39%	4	2	2	1	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	\| DND - Left Knee Tendinitis
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	\| DND - Strained Groin
Marcus Camby C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	\| DND - Sprained Rt Finger
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Earl Boykins #11 · G · 5'5" 133 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	46	22	8	1	12	0	16	30	26-34	76%	33-67	49%	5-16	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

28 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 24	50.0	30	54%	5	9	1	0	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	6-15	40%	5-11	45%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 26	48.4	14	44%	10	2	0	0	3	4	3	7	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 22	35.3	15	54%	13	2	2	1	2	3	8	5	7-7	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 20	30.9	19	56%	7	5	0	1	2	5	4	3	1-1	100%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 24	9.2	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 29	33.7	17	71%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	5-6	83%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22	21.5	8	50%	3	1	1	1	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 19	20.0	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 23	11.5	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
John Thomas C · 6'9" 265 · 30	2.9	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Edwards C · 7'0" 275 · 24	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Esteban Batista F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Donta Smith #15 · G · 6'7" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Delk #00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	110	51%	47	25	5	3	10	0	19	28	17-19	89%	30-75	40%	11-21	52%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.0%

ATL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

23

39

59%

ATL

21

42

50%

Midrange

DEN

10

28

36%

ATL

9

33

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

5

7.5

16

31%

47%

ATL

11

16.5

21

52%

79%

Free Throws

DEN

26

34

76%

ATL

17

19

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	37	53%	18.5 / 35
A. Miller	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Johnson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
E. Watson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
E. Najera	11	110%	5.5 / 5
L. Kleiza	7	39%	3.5 / 9
F. Elson	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	30	54%	15.0 / 28
J. Smith	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Lue	17	71%	8.5 / 12
Z. Pachulia	15	54%	7.5 / 14
A. Harrington	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Childress	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Stoudamire	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Thomas	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Ivey	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 105.6 12 106.6	DEN 116.3 ATL 118.3 +2.0
Pace	2 93.9 18 90.3	DEN 92.4 +15.7 ATL 76.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.7 15 15.8	DEN 15.6 −3.2 ATL 18.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 48.8% 20 48.6%	DEN 48.8% +0.4% ATL 48.4%
TO %	19 15.1% 27 16.5%	DEN 10.9% ATL 9.5% −1.4%
ORB %	16 26.8% 3 31.4%	DEN 36.4% ATL 38.8% +2.4%
FTrt	10 34.7 13 34.0	DEN 41.0 +21.2 ATL 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.4% 20 55.2%	DEN 57.9% ATL 61.0% +3.1%
STL %	2 8.9% 16 7.8%	DEN 8.7% +3.3% ATL 5.4%
BLK %	7 8.8% 15 7.5%	DEN 1.3% ATL 4.5% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.3% 20 51.8%	DEN 53.0% +1.6% ATL 51.4%
Rim FG%	5 59.2% 23 55.8%	DEN 59.0% +9.0% ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%	15 39.7% 18 39.3%	DEN 35.7% +8.4% ATL 27.3%
3P %	30 32.5% 11 36.7%	DEN 31.3% ATL 52.4% +21.1%
FT %	16 74.4% 14 75.0%	DEN 76.5% ATL 89.5% +13.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 38.8% 7 39.3%	DEN 47.0% +3.2% ATL 43.8%
Mid Att. %	17 45.1% 13 43.0%	DEN 33.7% −0.6% ATL 34.4%
3P Att. %	23 16.1% 20 17.8%	DEN 19.3% ATL 21.9% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	ATL
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	23.9	29.1
Points	107	110
Rebounds	46	47
Assists	22	25
Steals	8	5
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (0)	19 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (7)	28 (3)
Field Goals	38-83	41-96
At-the-Rim FG	23-39	21-42
Midrange FG	10-28	9-33
2-Point FG	33-67	30-75
3-Point FG	5-16	11-21
Free Throws	26-34	17-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg