Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, December 18, 2005

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	16	Nuggets	63%	98	107
	28	Hawks	37%	93	110

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Nuggets	116.3	92	92.4
Hawks	118.3	93	76.7

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-12

ATL

+20

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.0%

ATL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL
OT1 - 0:00.0	ATL		107 0%	110 100%
OT1 - 0:03.0	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Smith	107	110
OT1 - 0:03.0	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 7 Short 2)	107	110
OT1 - 0:03.0	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (37 PTS)	107 0.8%	110 99.2%
OT1 - 0:03.0	ATL	SUB: Pachulia FOR Childress	106	110
OT1 - 0:03.0	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)	106 0.6%	110 99.4%
OT1 - 0:03.0	ATL	Johnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)	105	110
OT1 - 0:05.0	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Pachulia	105	110
OT1 - 0:05.0	DEN	SUB: Johnson FOR Elson	105	110
OT1 - 0:05.0	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.8 Short 0)	105	110
OT1 - 0:05.0	ATL	Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)	105 0.1%	110 99.9%
OT1 - 0:27.0	DEN	Pachulia STEAL (2 STL)	105 13.0%	107 87.0%
OT1 - 0:42.0	ATL	Smith 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)	105 32.3%	107 67.7%
OT1 - 1:01	DEN	Najera Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	105 51.5%	105 48.5%
OT1 - 1:01	DEN	Najera Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	104 47.4%	105 52.6%
OT1 - 1:01	ATL	Pachulia S.FOUL (P3.T1)	103	105
OT1 - 1:14	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.7 Short 0)	103	105
OT1 - 1:14	ATL	Smith Layup (17 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)	103 39.3%	105 60.7%
OT1 - 1:23	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)	103 52.8%	103 47.2%
OT1 - 1:24	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	103 57.6%	103 42.4%
OT1 - 1:40	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	103 66.7%	103 33.3%
OT1 - 1:41	DEN	MISS Anthony 25' 3PT Jump Shot	103 57.3%	103 42.7%
OT1 - 2:11	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)	103 67.3%	103 32.7%
OT1 - 2:27	ATL	Lue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	103 82.1%	100 17.9%
OT1 - 2:29	DEN	MISS Miller 15' Jump Shot	103 85.1%	100 14.9%
OT1 - 2:48	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	103 90.4%	100 9.6%
OT1 - 2:48	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	103 91.4%	99 8.6%
OT1 - 2:48	DEN	Elson S.FOUL (P5.T3)	103	98
OT1 - 2:48	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)	103 92.6%	98 7.4%
OT1 - 2:48	ATL	MISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot	103 95.4%	98 4.6%
OT1 - 2:57	DEN	Anthony P.FOUL (P4.T2)	103	98
OT1 - 2:57	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)	103 91.9%	98 8.1%
OT1 - 2:57	ATL	MISS Lue 14' Jump Shot	103 94.4%	98 5.6%
OT1 - 3:21	DEN	Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)	103 91.9%	98 8.1%
OT1 - 3:43	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	100 80.5%	98 19.5%
OT1 - 3:43	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	100 78.5%	98 21.5%
OT1 - 4:10	DEN	Miller 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)	100 73.5%	98 26.5%
OT1 - 4:28	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	98 66.0%	98 34.0%
OT1 - 4:28	ATL	MISS Smith 21' Jump Shot	98 63.0%	98 37.0%
OT1 - 4:42	DEN	Najera P.FOUL (P4.T1)	98	98
OT1 - 5:00	ATL	Jump Ball Smith vs. Elson: Tip to Harrington	98 55.9%	98 44.1%
OT1 - 5:00			98	98
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN		98	98
Q4 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	98 53.2%	98 46.8%
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL	MISS Childress 40' 3PT Jump Shot	98 51.3%	98 48.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0	DEN	Childress STEAL (1 STL)	98 43.4%	98 56.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Pachulia	98	98
Q4 - 0:04.0	DEN	SUB: Johnson FOR Elson	98	98
Q4 - 0:04.0	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)	98	98
Q4 - 0:04.0	ATL	Johnson 3' Running Jump Shot (27 PTS)	98 61.4%	98 38.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0	DEN	SUB: Elson FOR Johnson	98	96
Q4 - 0:13.0	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 2)	98	96
Q4 - 0:14.0	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)	98 84.9%	96 15.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2	98 87.1%	96 12.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0	DEN	SUB: Johnson FOR Elson	98	96
Q4 - 0:14.0	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)	98 93.2%	96 6.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0	ATL	Harrington P.FOUL (P4.PN)	97	96
Q4 - 0:14.0	ATL	Smith Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)	97 88.6%	96 11.4%
Q4 - 0:14.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	97 66.1%	96 33.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	97 67.9%	96 32.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	97 84.2%	96 15.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot	97 84.6%	96 15.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0	DEN	Miller Running Layup (18 PTS)	97 67.4%	96 32.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	95	96
Q4 - 0:49.0	ATL	Smith P.FOUL (P5.T2)	95	96
Q4 - 1:00	ATL	Smith Driving Layup (15 PTS)	95 52.2%	96 47.8%
Q4 - 1:19	DEN	Najera Layup (9 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)	95 66.4%	94 33.6%
Q4 - 1:21	DEN	Watson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	93 54.3%	94 45.7%
Q4 - 1:23	DEN	MISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 43.5%	94 56.5%
Q4 - 1:46	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	93 54.2%	94 45.8%
Q4 - 1:46	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	93 57.3%	93 42.7%
Q4 - 1:46	DEN	Elson S.FOUL (P4.PN)	93	92
Q4 - 2:02	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)	93	92
Q4 - 2:02	DEN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	93 63.2%	92 36.8%
Q4 - 2:04	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	93 77.0%	92 23.0%
Q4 - 2:06	ATL	MISS Lue 5' Jump Shot	93 73.3%	92 26.7%
Q4 - 2:32	DEN	SUB: Watson FOR Johnson	93	92
Q4 - 2:32	DEN	Anthony Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T9)	93 62.6%	92 37.4%
Q4 - 2:41	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	93 77.6%	92 22.4%
Q4 - 2:43	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 73.5%	92 26.5%
Q4 - 3:01	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	93 64.2%	92 35.8%
Q4 - 3:03	DEN	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	93 68.4%	92 31.6%
Q4 - 3:20	ATL	Harrington Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)	93 76.9%	92 23.1%
Q4 - 3:36	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	93 79.9%	90 20.1%
Q4 - 3:37	DEN	MISS Johnson 6' Jump Shot	93 81.8%	90 18.2%
Q4 - 4:00	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	93 86.1%	90 13.9%
Q4 - 4:00	ATL	Smith Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)	93 86.1%	90 13.9%
Q4 - 4:02	ATL	MISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 92.2%	88 7.8%
Q4 - 4:22	DEN	Anthony Dunk (34 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)	93 90.0%	88 10.0%
Q4 - 4:47	ATL	Harrington Driving Layup (12 PTS)	91 86.3%	88 13.7%
Q4 - 5:01	ATL	SUB: Harrington FOR Childress	91	86
Q4 - 5:01	DEN	SUB: Najera FOR Kleiza	91	86
Q4 - 5:01	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)	91	86
Q4 - 5:07	DEN	Miller 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	91 87.5%	86 12.5%
Q4 - 5:28	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)	89 83.7%	86 16.3%
Q4 - 5:29	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	89 82.2%	86 17.8%
Q4 - 5:36	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	89 78.3%	86 21.7%
Q4 - 5:37	ATL	MISS Childress 18' Jump Shot	89 82.2%	86 17.8%
Q4 - 5:58	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)	89 78.4%	86 21.6%
Q4 - 6:00	DEN	MISS Anthony 17' Jump Shot	89 80.2%	86 19.8%
Q4 - 6:20	DEN	SUB: Miller FOR Watson	89	86
Q4 - 6:20	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	89	86
Q4 - 6:22	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)	89 82.5%	86 17.5%
Q4 - 6:24	DEN	MISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	89 79.1%	86 20.9%
Q4 - 6:42	ATL	Smith Dunk (11 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)	89 82.5%	86 17.5%
Q4 - 6:44	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	89 86.3%	84 13.7%
Q4 - 6:46	DEN	MISS Watson 17' Jump Shot	89 87.5%	84 12.5%
Q4 - 6:58	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	89 89.7%	84 10.3%
Q4 - 6:58	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Harrington	89	83
Q4 - 6:58	DEN	Anthony S.FOUL (P3.T4)	89	83
Q4 - 6:58	ATL	Pachulia Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)	89	83
Q4 - 7:17	DEN	Anthony Dunk (32 PTS)	89 93.1%	81 6.9%
Q4 - 7:21	ATL	Smith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	87 91.2%	81 8.8%
Q4 - 7:36	DEN	Elson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	87 88.5%	81 11.5%
Q4 - 7:36	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	86	81
Q4 - 7:36	DEN	MISS Elson Free Throw 1 of 2	86 87.5%	81 12.5%
Q4 - 7:36	ATL	SUB: Pachulia FOR Childress	86	81
Q4 - 7:36	ATL	Harrington P.FOUL (P3.T1)	86	81
Q4 - 7:36	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)	86 88.8%	81 11.2%
Q4 - 7:36	DEN	MISS Anthony 27' 3PT Jump Shot	86 86.5%	81 13.5%
Q4 - 7:47	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	86 88.8%	81 11.2%
Q4 - 7:47	ATL	Harrington Dunk (10 PTS)	86 88.8%	81 11.2%
Q4 - 7:50	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	86 92.7%	79 7.3%
Q4 - 8:15	DEN	Watson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Anthony 4 AST)	86 90.3%	79 9.7%
Q4 - 8:25	ATL	Lue 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	83 84.6%	79 15.4%
Q4 - 8:50	DEN	Elson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 3 AST)	83 87.9%	77 12.1%
Q4 - 9:01	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	81 83.6%	77 16.4%
Q4 - 9:02	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	81 80.2%	77 19.8%
Q4 - 9:02	ATL	MISS Childress Layup	81 82.7%	77 17.3%
Q4 - 9:03	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	81 82.7%	77 17.3%
Q4 - 9:20	DEN	Kleiza P.FOUL (P3.T3)	81	77
Q4 - 9:20	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	81 80.3%	77 19.7%
Q4 - 9:21	DEN	MISS Kleiza Layup	81 81.4%	77 18.6%
Q4 - 9:38	ATL	Childress Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	81 83.7%	77 16.3%
Q4 - 9:38	ATL	Childress Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	81 84.3%	76 15.7%
Q4 - 9:38	DEN	Anthony S.FOUL (P2.T2)	81	75
Q4 - 9:52	DEN	SUB: Elson FOR Najera	81	75
Q4 - 9:52	ATL	SUB: Lue FOR Stoudamire	81	75
Q4 - 9:52	DEN	Watson P.FOUL (P2.T1)	81	75
Q4 - 9:58	DEN	Najera Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	81 86.9%	75 13.1%
Q4 - 9:58	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	81 89.3%	75 10.7%
Q4 - 10:00	DEN	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	81 87.7%	75 12.3%
Q4 - 10:11	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	81 88.5%	75 11.5%
Q4 - 10:13	DEN	MISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot	81 86.8%	75 13.2%
Q4 - 10:21	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	81 88.5%	75 11.5%
Q4 - 10:22	ATL	MISS Harrington Layup	81 87.8%	75 12.2%
Q4 - 10:40	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	81 86.0%	75 14.0%
Q4 - 10:41	DEN	Smith BLOCK (1 BLK)	81 86.8%	75 13.2%
Q4 - 10:57	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	81 88.5%	75 11.5%
Q4 - 10:59	ATL	MISS Harrington Layup	81 87.8%	75 12.2%
Q4 - 11:13	DEN	SUB: Johnson FOR Miller	81	75
Q4 - 11:13	ATL	SUB: Smith FOR Williams	81	75
Q4 - 11:13	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)	81	75
Q4 - 11:16	DEN	Watson Layup (6 PTS) (Kleiza 2 AST)	81 85.3%	75 14.7%
Q4 - 11:20	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	79 82.2%	75 17.8%
Q4 - 11:22	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	79 81.3%	75 18.7%
Q4 - 11:46	DEN	Anthony Alley Oop Dunk (30 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)	79 79.1%	75 20.9%
Q4 - 12:00			77	75
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN		77 75.1%	75 24.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	77 75.1%	75 24.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 38' 3PT Jump Shot	77 73.9%	75 26.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0	DEN	Anthony Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)	77 70.8%	75 29.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	75 65.8%	75 34.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0	ATL	MISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot	75 64.6%	75 35.4%
Q3 - 0:30.0	DEN	Miller Layup (14 PTS)	75 61.7%	75 38.3%
Q3 - 1:03	ATL	Johnson 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)	73 56.3%	75 43.7%
Q3 - 1:19	DEN	Kleiza P.FOUL (P2.T3)	73	73
Q3 - 1:19	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	73 61.5%	73 38.5%
Q3 - 1:19	DEN	MISS Watson Layup	73 62.8%	73 37.2%
Q3 - 1:36	ATL	Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	73 65.6%	73 34.4%
Q3 - 1:52	DEN	Anthony 4' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)	73 74.3%	70 25.7%
Q3 - 2:07	ATL	SUB: Stoudamire FOR Lue	71	70
Q3 - 2:07	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	71	70
Q3 - 2:07	ATL	Childress Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	71 70.0%	70 30.0%
Q3 - 2:07	ATL	Childress OFF.Foul (P3)	71	70
Q3 - 2:10	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71 65.9%	70 34.1%
Q3 - 2:12	DEN	MISS Miller 16' Jump Shot	71 67.2%	70 32.8%
Q3 - 2:30	ATL	HAWKS Violation: Delay of game Violation	71	70
Q3 - 2:31	ATL	Harrington Layup (8 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)	71 70.0%	70 30.0%
Q3 - 2:42	DEN	Watson Layup (4 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)	71 73.8%	68 26.2%
Q3 - 2:57	ATL	Childress Layup (6 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)	69 70.0%	68 30.0%
Q3 - 3:02	DEN	Williams STEAL (1 STL)	69 74.0%	66 26.0%
Q3 - 3:05	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	69 77.5%	66 22.5%
Q3 - 3:07	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	69 76.5%	66 23.5%
Q3 - 3:19	DEN	Najera Dunk (7 PTS) (Anthony 2 AST)	69 74.0%	66 26.0%
Q3 - 3:23	ATL	Lue Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	67 70.6%	66 29.4%
Q3 - 3:38	DEN	SUB: Kleiza FOR Elson	67	66
Q3 - 3:38	DEN	Elson P.FOUL (P3.T2)	67	66
Q3 - 3:55	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	67 66.4%	66 33.6%
Q3 - 3:55	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	66 65.7%	66 34.3%
Q3 - 3:55	DEN	SUB: Watson FOR Johnson	65	66
Q3 - 3:55	ATL	Harrington S.FOUL (P2.PN)	65	66
Q3 - 4:14	ATL	Johnson 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS)	65 62.8%	66 37.2%
Q3 - 4:20	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 66.1%	64 33.9%
Q3 - 4:22	DEN	MISS Miller 15' Jump Shot	65 67.5%	64 32.5%
Q3 - 4:30	ATL	Johnson 13' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	65 70.6%	64 29.4%
Q3 - 4:46	DEN	Miller Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	65 73.5%	62 26.5%
Q3 - 4:46	ATL	Lue S.FOUL (P1.PN)	64	62
Q3 - 4:46	DEN	Miller 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	64	62
Q3 - 5:02	ATL	Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	62 66.5%	62 33.5%
Q3 - 5:10	ATL	Lue REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	62 73.1%	59 26.9%
Q3 - 5:12	ATL	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	62 75.6%	59 24.4%
Q3 - 5:29	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)	62 73.1%	59 26.9%
Q3 - 5:29	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)	61 72.5%	59 27.5%
Q3 - 5:29	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Pachulia	60	59
Q3 - 5:29	ATL	Williams P.FOUL (P3.PN)	60	59
Q3 - 5:40	ATL	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)	60 70.1%	59 29.9%
Q3 - 6:01	DEN	Miller 4' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	60 66.5%	59 33.5%
Q3 - 6:18	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)	58	59
Q3 - 6:18	ATL	HAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	58 63.1%	59 36.9%
Q3 - 6:18	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	58 58.9%	59 41.1%
Q3 - 6:18	ATL	MISS Lue Layup	58 61.8%	59 38.2%
Q3 - 6:43	DEN	Najera Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	58 58.9%	59 41.1%
Q3 - 6:43	ATL	SUB: Harrington FOR Smith	57	59
Q3 - 6:43	ATL	Smith S.FOUL (P4.T4)	57	59
Q3 - 6:43	DEN	Najera Layup (4 PTS) (Elson 3 AST)	57	59
Q3 - 6:49	ATL	Smith P.FOUL (P3.T3)	55	59
Q3 - 6:52	DEN	Anthony Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)	55 51.2%	59 48.8%
Q3 - 6:52	ATL	SUB: Williams FOR Harrington	54	59
Q3 - 6:52	ATL	HAWKS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Harrington )	54	59
Q3 - 7:08	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	54 47.8%	59 52.2%
Q3 - 7:08	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	54 48.7%	58 51.3%
Q3 - 7:08	ATL	SUB: Lue FOR Ivey	54	57
Q3 - 7:08	DEN	Elson S.FOUL (P2.T1)	54	57
Q3 - 7:22	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	54 51.5%	57 48.5%
Q3 - 7:24	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	54 54.3%	57 45.7%
Q3 - 7:43	DEN	Anthony Layup (19 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)	54 51.5%	57 48.5%
Q3 - 7:55	ATL	Pachulia Layup (8 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)	52 47.8%	57 52.2%
Q3 - 8:02	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	52 51.7%	55 48.3%
Q3 - 8:04	DEN	Pachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)	52 53.0%	55 47.0%
Q3 - 8:19	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)	52 55.8%	55 44.2%
Q3 - 8:20	ATL	MISS Ivey 18' Jump Shot	52 54.5%	55 45.5%
Q3 - 8:43	DEN	Anthony Foul Turnover (P2.T6)	52 51.7%	55 48.3%
Q3 - 8:43	DEN	Anthony OFF.Foul (P1)	52	55
Q3 - 8:53	ATL	Ivey P.FOUL (P2.T2)	52	55
Q3 - 8:53	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	52 55.7%	55 44.3%
Q3 - 8:54	ATL	MISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot	52 54.5%	55 45.5%
Q3 - 9:08	DEN	Miller Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	52 52.4%	55 47.6%
Q3 - 9:08	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	51	55
Q3 - 9:08	DEN	MISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 2	51 51.7%	55 48.3%
Q3 - 9:08	ATL	Ivey S.FOUL (P1.T1)	51	55
Q3 - 9:21	ATL	Pachulia Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	51 52.5%	55 47.5%
Q3 - 9:40	DEN	Elson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)	51 56.0%	53 44.0%
Q3 - 9:54	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	49 52.4%	53 47.6%
Q3 - 9:55	DEN	MISS Anthony 15' Jump Shot	49 49.8%	53 50.2%
Q3 - 10:17	ATL	Smith 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	49 53.1%	53 46.9%
Q3 - 10:38	DEN	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Elson 2 AST)	49 56.6%	51 43.4%
Q3 - 11:05	ATL	Smith 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)	46 50.7%	51 49.3%
Q3 - 11:29	DEN	Najera Layup (2 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)	46 53.8%	49 46.2%
Q3 - 11:35	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	44 50.6%	49 49.4%
Q3 - 11:37	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	44 49.5%	49 50.5%
Q3 - 12:00			44	49
Q2 - 0:00.0	DEN		44 46.9%	49 53.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	44 50.5%	49 49.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0	ATL	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	44 58.4%	46 41.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0	ATL	MISS Lue 3' Jump Shot	44 60.1%	46 39.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	44 58.3%	46 41.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)	43 57.7%	46 42.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0	ATL	Thomas S.FOUL (P1.PN)	42	46
Q2 - 0:46.0	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	42 54.3%	46 45.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0	ATL	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	42 53.5%	46 46.5%
Q2 - 1:12	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)	42 52.4%	46 47.6%
Q2 - 1:12	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	41 51.8%	46 48.2%
Q2 - 1:12	ATL	Williams P.FOUL (P2.PN)	40	46
Q2 - 1:28	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	40 48.2%	46 51.8%
Q2 - 1:30	ATL	MISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2	40 47.9%	46 52.1%
Q2 - 1:30	ATL	SUB: Williams FOR Smith	40	46
Q2 - 1:30	DEN	SUB: Watson FOR Johnson	40	46
Q2 - 1:30	ATL	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	40 45.9%	46 54.1%
Q2 - 1:30	DEN	Kleiza S.FOUL (P1.T3)	40	45
Q2 - 1:30	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	40 49.1%	45 50.9%
Q2 - 1:31	ATL	MISS Harrington Layup	40 50.7%	45 49.3%
Q2 - 1:53	DEN	Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)	40 49.1%	45 50.9%
Q2 - 2:02	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	40 52.7%	45 47.3%
Q2 - 2:04	ATL	MISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	40 51.7%	45 48.3%
Q2 - 2:30	DEN	Johnson 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	40 49.3%	45 50.7%
Q2 - 2:51	ATL	SUB: Thomas FOR Pachulia	38	45
Q2 - 2:51	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	38	45
Q2 - 2:51	ATL	Pachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	38 46.2%	45 53.8%
Q2 - 2:51	ATL	Pachulia OFF.Foul (P2)	38	45
Q2 - 3:04	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	38 43.7%	45 56.3%
Q2 - 3:06	DEN	MISS Miller 14' Jump Shot	38 44.7%	45 55.3%
Q2 - 3:19	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	38 47.2%	45 52.8%
Q2 - 3:19	DEN	SUB: Kleiza FOR Najera	38	44
Q2 - 3:19	DEN	Najera S.FOUL (P3.T2)	38	44
Q2 - 3:19	ATL	Smith Layup (4 PTS)	38	44
Q2 - 3:24	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)	38 53.0%	42 47.0%
Q2 - 3:25	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	38 55.5%	42 44.5%
Q2 - 3:45	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	38 52.9%	42 47.1%
Q2 - 3:45	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	37	42
Q2 - 3:45	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2	37 52.4%	42 47.6%
Q2 - 3:45	ATL	Pachulia S.FOUL (P1.T4)	37	42
Q2 - 3:45	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	37 53.4%	42 46.6%
Q2 - 3:47	DEN	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	37 50.9%	42 49.1%
Q2 - 3:58	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 53.4%	42 46.6%
Q2 - 4:00	DEN	MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot	37 50.9%	42 49.1%
Q2 - 4:15	DEN	Najera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 53.9%	42 46.1%
Q2 - 4:17	ATL	MISS Smith 16' Jump Shot	37 52.9%	42 47.1%
Q2 - 4:40	DEN	Anthony Dunk (12 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)	37 50.6%	42 49.4%
Q2 - 4:45	ATL	SUB: Lue FOR Stoudamire	35	42
Q2 - 4:45	DEN	SUB: Miller FOR Watson	35	42
Q2 - 4:45	DEN	SUB: Najera FOR Kleiza	35	42
Q2 - 4:45	ATL	Stoudamire P.FOUL (P1.T3)	35	42
Q2 - 4:54	ATL	Pachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)	35 47.7%	42 52.3%
Q2 - 5:01	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)	35 51.7%	40 48.3%
Q2 - 5:03	DEN	MISS Anthony 20' Jump Shot	35 52.6%	40 47.4%
Q2 - 5:24	ATL	Smith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Harrington 1 AST)	35 54.5%	40 45.5%
Q2 - 5:38	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	35 57.5%	38 42.5%
Q2 - 5:38	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	34	38
Q2 - 5:38	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2	34 57.0%	38 43.0%
Q2 - 5:38	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)	34	38
Q2 - 5:38	ATL	Harrington S.FOUL (P1.T2)	34	38
Q2 - 5:41	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	34 57.4%	38 42.6%
Q2 - 5:43	ATL	MISS Harrington 17' Jump Shot	34 56.5%	38 43.5%
Q2 - 5:51	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	34 54.5%	38 45.5%
Q2 - 5:52	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	34 57.4%	38 42.6%
Q2 - 5:52	DEN	MISS Elson Layup	34 55.4%	38 44.6%
Q2 - 5:54	DEN	MISS Watson 27' 3PT Jump Shot	34 55.4%	38 44.6%
Q2 - 6:12	ATL	Harrington Layup (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)	34 57.8%	38 42.2%
Q2 - 6:23	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	34 60.1%	36 39.9%
Q2 - 6:23	DEN	MISS Kleiza 17' Jump Shot	34 61.1%	36 38.9%
Q2 - 6:27	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	34 63.3%	36 36.7%
Q2 - 6:28	DEN	MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot	34 61.1%	36 38.9%
Q2 - 6:41	ATL	SUB: Smith FOR Childress	34	36
Q2 - 6:41	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	34 63.3%	36 36.7%
Q2 - 6:41	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	34 62.4%	36 37.6%
Q2 - 6:55	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	34 60.2%	36 39.8%
Q2 - 6:55	DEN	Anthony Layup (9 PTS)	34 60.2%	36 39.8%
Q2 - 6:57	DEN	Childress BLOCK (1 BLK)	32 55.5%	36 44.5%
Q2 - 7:14	ATL	Childress Dunk (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)	32 58.2%	36 41.8%
Q2 - 7:29	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	32 60.8%	34 39.2%
Q2 - 7:29	DEN	Kleiza Layup (7 PTS)	32 60.8%	34 39.2%
Q2 - 7:30	DEN	MISS Watson Layup	30 56.1%	34 43.9%
Q2 - 7:37	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30 58.1%	34 41.9%
Q2 - 7:38	ATL	MISS Johnson Layup	30 57.3%	34 42.7%
Q2 - 7:43	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 55.2%	34 44.8%
Q2 - 7:45	DEN	MISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot	30 56.1%	34 43.9%
Q2 - 7:59	ATL	Stoudamire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	30 58.1%	34 41.9%
Q2 - 7:59	DEN	Watson S.FOUL (P1.T1)	30	33
Q2 - 7:59	ATL	Stoudamire Layup (2 PTS)	30	33
Q2 - 8:02	DEN	SUB: Anthony FOR Miller	30	31
Q2 - 8:02	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)	30 63.7%	31 36.3%
Q2 - 8:02	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	30 65.4%	31 34.6%
Q2 - 8:27	DEN	Johnson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)	30 63.7%	31 36.3%
Q2 - 8:47	ATL	Johnson 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	28 61.1%	31 38.9%
Q2 - 8:53	ATL	SUB: Pachulia FOR Williams	28	29
Q2 - 8:53			28	29
Q2 - 8:53	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)	28	29
Q2 - 8:55	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 63.7%	29 36.3%
Q2 - 8:56	DEN	MISS Miller 18' Jump Shot	28 64.5%	29 35.5%
Q2 - 9:23	ATL	Harrington Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)	28 66.1%	29 33.9%
Q2 - 9:32	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	28 63.6%	29 36.4%
Q2 - 9:33	DEN	MISS Watson Layup	28 64.4%	29 35.6%
Q2 - 9:38	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	28 66.1%	29 33.9%
Q2 - 9:40	ATL	MISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot	28 65.4%	29 34.6%
Q2 - 10:09	DEN	Watson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	28 63.7%	29 36.3%
Q2 - 10:17	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	26 61.3%	29 38.7%
Q2 - 10:19	DEN	MISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	26 59.5%	29 40.5%
Q2 - 10:41	ATL	SUB: Johnson FOR Lue	26	29
Q2 - 10:41	ATL	Childress P.FOUL (P2.T1)	26	29
Q2 - 10:43	ATL	Stoudamire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	26 61.3%	29 38.7%
Q2 - 10:49	ATL	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 58.7%	29 41.3%
Q2 - 10:51	DEN	MISS Miller 12' Jump Shot	26 59.5%	29 40.5%
Q2 - 11:08	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	26 61.3%	29 38.7%
Q2 - 11:09	ATL	MISS Childress Layup	26 60.5%	29 39.5%
Q2 - 11:29	DEN	Johnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)	26 58.8%	29 41.2%
Q2 - 11:44	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24 56.4%	29 43.6%
Q2 - 11:45	ATL	MISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot	24 55.6%	29 44.4%
Q2 - 12:00			24	29
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL		24 53.8%	29 46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	ATL	HAWKS Rebound	24 53.8%	29 46.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	DEN	MISS Kleiza 48' 3PT Jump Shot	24 54.6%	29 45.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	ATL	Harrington 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	24 56.4%	29 43.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0	DEN	Kleiza Layup (5 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)	24 59.4%	27 40.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	22 56.4%	27 43.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0	ATL	MISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot	22 55.8%	27 44.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0	DEN	Kleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	22 54.5%	27 45.5%
Q1 - 0:53.0	DEN	SUB: Johnson FOR Anthony	21	27
Q1 - 0:53.0	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	21	27
Q1 - 0:53.0	DEN	MISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 2	21 53.8%	27 46.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0	ATL	Edwards P.FOUL (P1.PN)	21	27
Q1 - 0:53.0	DEN	Kleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	21 54.0%	27 46.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0	DEN	MISS Kleiza Layup	21 52.6%	27 47.4%
Q1 - 0:57.0	ATL	Harrington Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	21 54.0%	27 46.0%
Q1 - 1:10	ATL	Edwards REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 53.1%	27 46.9%
Q1 - 1:12	DEN	MISS Kleiza Layup	21 53.6%	27 46.4%
Q1 - 1:27	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	21 54.6%	27 45.4%
Q1 - 1:28	ATL	MISS Lue Layup	21 54.2%	27 45.8%
Q1 - 1:41	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	21 53.0%	27 47.0%
Q1 - 1:42	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2	21 53.2%	27 46.8%
Q1 - 1:42	ATL	SUB: Harrington FOR Johnson	21	27
Q1 - 1:42	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	21 54.9%	27 45.1%
Q1 - 1:42	ATL	SUB: Edwards FOR Pachulia	20	27
Q1 - 1:42	ATL	Johnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)	20	27
Q1 - 2:00	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	20 52.2%	27 47.8%
Q1 - 2:00	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	20 50.6%	27 49.4%
Q1 - 2:00	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	20 51.8%	27 48.2%
Q1 - 2:02	ATL	MISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot	20 52.4%	27 47.6%
Q1 - 2:17	DEN	SUB: Elson FOR Najera	20	27
Q1 - 2:17	DEN	Najera P.FOUL (P2.T4)	20	27
Q1 - 2:34	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20 51.1%	27 48.9%
Q1 - 2:36	DEN	MISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	20 51.7%	27 48.3%
Q1 - 2:49	DEN	Nuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	20	27
Q1 - 2:56	ATL	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)	20 52.9%	27 47.1%
Q1 - 3:14	DEN	Kleiza Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)	20 58.2%	24 41.8%
Q1 - 3:18	ATL	Pachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	18 56.0%	24 44.0%
Q1 - 3:35	DEN	Miller Layup (6 PTS)	18 53.7%	24 46.3%
Q1 - 3:47	ATL	Childress Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	16 51.4%	24 48.6%
Q1 - 3:50	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 53.7%	22 46.3%
Q1 - 3:51	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	16 54.4%	22 45.6%
Q1 - 4:01	ATL	Childress P.FOUL (P1.T4)	16	22
Q1 - 4:10	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16 56.9%	22 43.1%
Q1 - 4:10	ATL	SUB: Childress FOR Harrington	16	21
Q1 - 4:10	DEN	SUB: Kleiza FOR Elson	16	21
Q1 - 4:10	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 57.4%	21 42.6%
Q1 - 4:10	DEN	Najera S.FOUL (P1.T3)	16	20
Q1 - 4:13	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	16 58.8%	20 41.2%
Q1 - 4:14	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	16 58.8%	20 41.2%
Q1 - 4:14	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	16 60.2%	20 39.8%
Q1 - 4:15	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	16 60.2%	20 39.8%
Q1 - 4:31	DEN	Elson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)	16 58.8%	20 41.2%
Q1 - 4:31	DEN	Elson OFF.Foul (P1)	16	20
Q1 - 4:38	ATL	Harrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16 60.9%	20 39.1%
Q1 - 4:38	ATL	Harrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16 61.4%	19 38.6%
Q1 - 4:38	DEN	SUB: Watson FOR Johnson	16	18
Q1 - 4:38	ATL	HAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	16	18
Q1 - 4:38	DEN	Johnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)	16	18
Q1 - 4:58	DEN	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)	16 62.7%	18 37.3%
Q1 - 5:20	ATL	Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	13 59.0%	18 41.0%
Q1 - 5:33	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	13 62.5%	15 37.5%
Q1 - 5:35	DEN	MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot	13 63.1%	15 36.9%
Q1 - 5:56	ATL	Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	13 64.5%	15 35.5%
Q1 - 6:11	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	13 67.8%	12 32.2%
Q1 - 6:11	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	12 67.5%	12 32.5%
Q1 - 6:11	ATL	Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3)	11	12
Q1 - 6:20	ATL	Johnson 6' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)	11 66.2%	12 33.8%
Q1 - 6:37	DEN	Miller 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	11 67.7%	10 32.3%
Q1 - 6:54	ATL	Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)	9 66.1%	10 33.9%
Q1 - 7:13	DEN	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)	9 69.0%	7 31.0%
Q1 - 7:30	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	6 66.2%	7 33.8%
Q1 - 7:31	ATL	MISS Harrington 18' Jump Shot	6 65.7%	7 34.3%
Q1 - 7:43	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	6 64.5%	7 35.5%
Q1 - 7:43	ATL	SUB: Lue FOR Ivey	5	7
Q1 - 7:43	DEN	Nuggets Rebound	5	7
Q1 - 7:43	DEN	MISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2	5 64.3%	7 35.7%
Q1 - 7:43	ATL	SUB: Williams FOR Smith	5	7
Q1 - 7:43	ATL	Smith S.FOUL (P2.T2)	5	7
Q1 - 7:52	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	5 64.6%	7 35.4%
Q1 - 7:54	ATL	MISS Smith 23' Jump Shot	5 64.1%	7 35.9%
Q1 - 8:19	DEN	Anthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)	5 63.3%	7 36.7%
Q1 - 8:24	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	5 64.6%	7 35.4%
Q1 - 8:26	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	5 64.2%	7 35.8%
Q1 - 8:27	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	5 63.3%	7 36.7%
Q1 - 8:28	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	5 64.2%	7 35.8%
Q1 - 8:31	DEN	Pachulia STEAL (1 STL)	5 63.3%	7 36.7%
Q1 - 8:36	ATL	Johnson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	5 64.6%	7 35.4%
Q1 - 8:42	ATL	Ivey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	5 67.1%	4 32.9%
Q1 - 8:43	DEN	MISS Anthony Layup	5 67.4%	4 32.6%
Q1 - 9:06	DEN	Anthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	5 68.1%	4 31.9%
Q1 - 9:07	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	5 67.8%	4 32.2%
Q1 - 9:12	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	5 67.1%	4 32.9%
Q1 - 9:14	DEN	MISS Johnson Layup	5 67.3%	4 32.7%
Q1 - 9:24	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	5 67.8%	4 32.2%
Q1 - 9:26	ATL	MISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2	5 67.6%	4 32.4%
Q1 - 9:26	ATL	Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	5 67.0%	4 33.0%
Q1 - 9:26	DEN	Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)	5	3
Q1 - 9:33	DEN	Anthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	5 67.7%	3 32.3%
Q1 - 9:33	ATL	Smith S.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	3
Q1 - 9:33	DEN	Anthony Driving Layup (2 PTS)	4	3
Q1 - 9:53	ATL	Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)	2 65.5%	3 34.5%
Q1 - 10:08	ATL	Harrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 66.8%	0 33.2%
Q1 - 10:10	DEN	MISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot	2 67.0%	0 33.0%
Q1 - 10:18	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 67.3%	0 32.7%
Q1 - 10:21	ATL	MISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot	2 67.0%	0 33.0%
Q1 - 10:32	ATL	Ivey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 66.3%	0 33.7%
Q1 - 10:33	DEN	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 66.8%	0 33.2%
Q1 - 10:33	DEN	MISS Elson Layup	2 66.4%	0 33.6%
Q1 - 10:35	DEN	MISS Miller Layup	2 66.4%	0 33.6%
Q1 - 10:44	DEN	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 66.5%	0 33.5%
Q1 - 10:46	ATL	MISS Harrington 16' Jump Shot	2 66.3%	0 33.7%
Q1 - 11:10	DEN	Miller 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2 65.1%	0 34.9%
Q1 - 11:16	DEN	Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 64.7%	0 35.3%
Q1 - 11:17	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 64.3%	0 35.7%
Q1 - 11:17	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	0 64.5%	0 35.5%
Q1 - 11:19	ATL	MISS Ivey 17' Jump Shot	0 64.5%	0 35.5%
Q1 - 11:36	DEN	Johnson STEAL (1 STL)	0 63.9%	0 36.1%
Q1 - 12:00	ATL	Jump Ball Smith vs. Elson: Tip to Miller	0 63.4%	0 36.6%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	ATL
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.0%

ATL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

59%

ATL

50%

Midrange

DEN

36%

ATL

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7.5

31%

47%

ATL

16.5

52%

79%

Free Throws

DEN

76%

ATL

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	37	53%	18.5 / 35
A. Miller	20	56%	10.0 / 18
D. Johnson	15	63%	7.5 / 12
E. Watson	12	43%	6.0 / 14
E. Najera	11	110%	5.5 / 5
L. Kleiza	7	39%	3.5 / 9
F. Elson	5	50%	2.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	30	54%	15.0 / 28
J. Smith	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Lue	17	71%	8.5 / 12
Z. Pachulia	15	58%	7.5 / 13
A. Harrington	14	44%	7.0 / 16
J. Childress	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Stoudamire	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Thomas	1	50%	0.5 / 1
R. Ivey	0	-	0.0 / 2
M. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+16

-12

ATL

+20

-10

103

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.06 53.0%

ATL

1.03 51.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	105.6 106.6	DEN 116.3 ATL 118.3 +2.0
Pace	93.9 90.3	DEN 92.4 +15.7 ATL 76.7
Avg. Poss. Time	14.7 15.8	DEN 15.6 −3.2 ATL 18.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	48.8% 48.6%	DEN 48.8% +0.4% ATL 48.4%
TO %	15.1% 16.5%	DEN 10.9% ATL 9.5% −1.4%
ORB %	26.9% 31.5%	DEN 36.4% ATL 38.8% +2.4%
FTrt	34.7 34.0	DEN 41.0 +21.2 ATL 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	62.4% 55.2%	DEN 57.9% ATL 61.0% +3.1%
STL %	8.9% 7.8%	DEN 8.7% +3.3% ATL 5.4%
BLK %	8.8% 7.5%	DEN 1.3% ATL 4.5% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.3% 51.8%	DEN 53.0% +1.6% ATL 51.4%
Rim FG%	59.2% 55.8%	DEN 59.0% +9.0% ATL 50.0%
Mid FG%	39.7% 39.3%	DEN 35.7% +8.4% ATL 27.3%
3P %	32.5% 36.7%	DEN 31.3% ATL 52.4% +21.1%
FT %	74.4% 75.0%	DEN 76.5% ATL 89.5% +13.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.8% 39.3%	DEN 47.0% +3.2% ATL 43.8%
Mid Att. %	45.1% 43.0%	DEN 33.7% −0.6% ATL 34.4%
3P Att. %	16.1% 17.8%	DEN 19.3% ATL 21.9% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	ATL
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	23.9	29.1
Points	107	110
Rebounds	46	47
Assists	22	25
Steals	8	5
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (0)	19 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (7)	28 (3)
Field Goals	38-83	41-96
At-the-Rim FG	23-39	21-42
Midrange FG	10-28	9-33
2-Point FG	33-67	30-75
3-Point FG	5-16	11-21
Free Throws	26-34	17-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	48.1	37	53%	11	4	3	0	6	4	3	8	19-24	79%	9-22	41%	0-2	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	45.2	5	50%	15	3	0	0	2	5	7	8	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	44.8	20	56%	6	9	0	0	2	0	0	6	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 26	35.7	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.3	11	110%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	30.5	12	43%	1	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	25.4	7	39%	4	2	2	1	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29
Marcus Camby C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22
Earl Boykins #11 · G · 5'5" 133 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	46	22	8	1	12	0	16	30	26-34	76%	33-67	49%	5-16	31%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	48.1	37	53%	11	4	3	0	6	4	3	8	19-24	79%	9-22	41%	0-2	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	45.2	5	50%	15	3	0	0	2	5	7	8	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	44.8	20	56%	6	9	0	0	2	0	0	6	2-3	67%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
DerMarr Johnson G · 6'9" 210 · 26	35.7	15	63%	5	0	0	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	3-6	50%
Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 29	35.3	11	110%	4	1	1	0	1	4	2	2	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-

Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	30.5	12	43%	1	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-7	29%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	25.4	7	39%	4	2	2	1	0	3	2	2	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29
Marcus Camby C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22
Earl Boykins #11 · G · 5'5" 133 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	53%	46	22	8	1	12	0	16	30	26-34	76%	33-67	49%	5-16	31%

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28 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 24	50.0	30	54%	5	9	1	0	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	6-15	40%	5-11	45%
Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 26	48.4	14	44%	10	2	0	0	3	4	3	7	2-2	100%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 22	35.3	15	58%	13	2	2	1	2	3	8	5	7-7	100%	4-11	36%	0-0	-
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 20	30.9	19	56%	7	5	0	1	2	5	4	3	1-1	100%	9-17	53%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 24	9.2	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Tyronn Lue G · 6'0" 175 · 29	33.7	17	71%	2	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-6	17%	5-6	83%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22	21.5	8	50%	3	1	1	1	1	3	2	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 19	20.0	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 23	11.5	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
John Thomas C · 6'9" 265 · 30	2.9	1	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
John Edwards C · 7'0" 275 · 24	1.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Esteban Batista F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22
Donta Smith #15 · G · 6'7" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tony Delk #00 · G · 6'2" 189 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	110	51%	47	25	5	3	10	0	19	28	17-19	89%	30-75	40%	11-21	52%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE