Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Rockets	40%	89	76	93.8	81	77.9
	17	Lakers	60%	92	74	93.7	79	82.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	38.7	10	42%	7	4	1	0	2	4	4	3	0-1	0%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Tracy McGrady G · 6'8" 225 · 27	35.2	20	53%	8	4	1	1	5	5	1	7	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	35.0	18	82%	3	3	0	0	1	4	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 39	31.8	2	20%	9	0	0	3	0	3	1	8	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30	15.8	6	38%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	38.0	16	62%	6	2	3	0	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-11	36%
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 32	19.9	0	0%	4	3	2	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	19.6	4	33%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27	5.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 25	\| NWT - Injured right big toe.
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 31	\| NWT - Injured right calf.
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Rafer Alston #12 · G · 6'2" 175 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jon Barry #20 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	47%	40	16	8	5	13	0	10	30	10-13	77%	21-52	40%	8-22	36%

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10 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	38.7	10	42%	7	4	1	0	2	4	4	3	0-1	0%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Tracy McGrady G · 6'8" 225 · 27	35.2	20	53%	8	4	1	1	5	5	1	7	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	1-5	20%
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	35.0	18	82%	3	3	0	0	1	4	1	2	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	3-5	60%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 39	31.8	2	20%	9	0	0	3	0	3	1	8	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30	15.8	6	38%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	38.0	16	62%	6	2	3	0	2	0	0	6	0-0	-	2-2	100%	4-11	36%
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 32	19.9	0	0%	4	3	2	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	19.6	4	33%	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27	5.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Yao Ming C · 7'6" 310 · 25	\| NWT - Injured right big toe.
Derek Anderson G · 6'5" 195 · 31	\| NWT - Injured right calf.
Stephen Graham G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Rafer Alston #12 · G · 6'2" 175 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jon Barry #20 · G · 6'5" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	76	47%	40	16	8	5	13	0	10	30	10-13	77%	21-52	40%	8-22	36%

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17 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 27	37.8	24	63%	2	6	2	0	3	2	0	2	11-12	92%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Smush Parker G · 6'4" 190 · 25	31.2	11	50%	1	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-4	25%
Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 26	28.8	3	25%	7	1	0	0	5	1	1	6	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 26	20.2	1	8%	6	1	1	2	1	3	0	6	1-2	50%	0-5	0%	0-0	-
Brian Cook F · 6'9" 250 · 25	13.4	5	63%	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	5	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 28	28.6	5	25%	5	0	0	0	1	3	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-5	20%
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 24	27.8	11	50%	6	1	1	1	0	1	5	1	3-7	43%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 22	23.1	7	44%	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-5	20%
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 26	19.2	5	42%	3	3	2	1	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-2	50%
Laron Profit G-F · 6'5" 204 · 28	9.8	2	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 18	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Devin Green G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Slava Medvedenko #14 · F · 6'10" 253 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Aaron McKie #2 · G · 6'5" 209 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Von Wafer #23 · G · 6'5" 209 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	74	43%	41	18	8	5	11	0	11	30	19-27	70%	20-51	39%	5-20	25%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.94 46.9%

LAL

0.85 42.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

10

19

53%

LAL

11

21

52%

Midrange

HOU

11

33

33%

LAL

9

30

30%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

LAL

5

7.5

20

25%

38%

Free Throws

HOU

10

13

77%

LAL

19

27

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. McGrady	20	53%	10.0 / 19
D. Wesley	18	82%	9.0 / 11
L. Head	16	62%	8.0 / 13
J. Howard	10	42%	5.0 / 12
R. Bowen	6	38%	3.0 / 8
S. Swift	4	33%	2.0 / 6
D. Mutombo	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Norris	0	-	0.0 / 2
L. Baxter	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	24	63%	12.0 / 19
S. Parker	11	50%	5.5 / 11
K. Brown	11	50%	5.5 / 11
S. Vujacic	7	44%	3.5 / 8
B. Cook	5	63%	2.5 / 4
D. George	5	25%	2.5 / 10
L. Walton	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Odom	3	25%	1.5 / 6
L. Profit	2	33%	1.0 / 3
C. Mihm	1	8%	0.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	29 101.4 9 107.9	HOU 93.8 +0.2 LAL 93.7
Pace	26 88.2 15 91.4	HOU 77.9 LAL 82.3 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	11 16.1 17 15.7	HOU 18.5 LAL 17.5 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 47.1% 11 49.5%	HOU 44.6% +5.9% LAL 38.7%
TO %	22 15.4% 11 14.5%	HOU 14.9% LAL 12.6% −2.3%
ORB %	24 25.5% 8 28.8%	HOU 25.0% LAL 26.8% +1.8%
FTrt	22 31.7 18 32.9	HOU 17.6 LAL 38.0 +20.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 58.3% 14 58.0%	HOU 55.2% LAL 72.0% +16.8%
STL %	11 8.1% 6 8.3%	HOU 9.9% LAL 10.1% +0.2%
BLK %	23 6.6% 20 6.7%	HOU 9.8% +0.2% LAL 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 50.3% 11 52.4%	HOU 46.9% +4.4% LAL 42.5%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 6 59.0%	HOU 52.6% +0.2% LAL 52.4%
Mid FG%	19 39.3% 12 40.2%	HOU 33.3% +3.3% LAL 30.0%
3P %	27 33.2% 19 34.9%	HOU 36.4% +11.4% LAL 25.0%
FT %	8 75.9% 15 74.5%	HOU 76.9% +6.5% LAL 70.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 32.1% 20 33.8%	HOU 25.7% LAL 29.6% +3.9%
Mid Att. %	18 45.3% 10 42.3%	HOU 44.6% LAL 42.3% −2.3%
3P Att. %	11 22.6% 7 24.0%	HOU 29.7% +1.6% LAL 28.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	HOU	LAL
Possessions	81	79
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	76	74
Rebounds	40	41
Assists	16	18
Steals	8	8
Blocks	5	5
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	30 (4)
Field Goals	29-74	25-71
At-the-Rim FG	10-19	11-21
Midrange FG	11-33	9-30
2-Point FG	21-52	20-51
3-Point FG	8-22	5-20
Free Throws	10-13	19-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg