Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Spurs	60%	96	107	115.1	93	81.5
	20	Bucks	40%	92	109	118.5	92	86.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	44.0	7	88%	2	2	0	3	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	42.7	22	46%	7	11	1	0	4	4	1	6	4-6	67%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	41.8	34	57%	13	2	2	1	2	6	5	8	4-6	67%	15-28	54%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	29.5	6	43%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	26.0	8	57%	6	1	0	1	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	24.3	7	70%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	20.7	8	36%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	18.6	11	79%	6	0	0	0	1	4	4	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	17.4	4	67%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\|
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	54%	42	23	5	6	11	0	15	27	15-20	75%	40-75	53%	4-16	25%

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4 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	44.0	7	88%	2	2	0	3	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	42.7	22	46%	7	11	1	0	4	4	1	6	4-6	67%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	41.8	34	57%	13	2	2	1	2	6	5	8	4-6	67%	15-28	54%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	29.5	6	43%	3	1	0	0	2	4	0	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	26.0	8	57%	6	1	0	1	0	3	4	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	24.3	7	70%	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	20.7	8	36%	2	2	2	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	18.6	11	79%	6	0	0	0	1	4	4	2	3-3	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	17.4	4	67%	3	3	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	\|
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	107	54%	42	23	5	6	11	0	15	27	15-20	75%	40-75	53%	4-16	25%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 23	45.7	15	58%	6	8	0	0	3	5	0	6	6-8	75%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 26	41.9	20	45%	8	2	0	0	1	1	2	6	4-5	80%	8-20	40%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 28	36.2	13	72%	9	0	0	1	4	5	3	6	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 26	33.2	6	25%	3	1	3	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	3-11	27%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bogut F · 7'0" 260 · 21	28.1	19	56%	9	0	1	2	1	3	7	2	3-6	50%	8-14	57%	0-0	-

Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 23	37.7	28	70%	5	4	1	0	1	2	2	3	4-5	80%	6-13	46%	4-5	80%
Toni Kukoc F · 6'11" 235 · 37	18.1	1	13%	2	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jiri Welsch F · 6'7" 208 · 26	13.4	5	83%	1	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 38	6.0	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dan Gadzuric C · 6'11" 240 · 28	4.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jermaine Jackson G · 6'5" 204 · 30	0.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reece Gaines G · 6'6" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ersan Ilyasova #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Charlie Bell #42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joe Smith #8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	109	52%	45	18	6	3	11	0	17	28	21-31	68%	35-79	44%	6-10	60%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.07 53.5%

MIL

1.04 51.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

25

39

64%

MIL

20

40

50%

Midrange

SAS

15

36

42%

MIL

15

39

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

4

6.0

16

25%

38%

MIL

6

9.0

10

60%

90%

Free Throws

SAS

15

20

75%

MIL

21

31

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	34	57%	17.0 / 30
T. Parker	22	46%	11.0 / 24
N. Mohammed	11	79%	5.5 / 7
R. Nesterovic	8	57%	4.0 / 7
N. Van Exel	8	36%	4.0 / 11
B. Bowen	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Barry	7	70%	3.5 / 5
M. Finley	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Horry	4	67%	2.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Williams	28	70%	14.0 / 20
M. Redd	20	45%	10.0 / 22
A. Bogut	19	56%	9.5 / 17
T. Ford	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Magloire	13	72%	6.5 / 9
B. Simmons	6	25%	3.0 / 12
J. Welsch	5	83%	2.5 / 3
E. Johnson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Kukoc	1	13%	0.5 / 4
D. Gadzuric	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 15 105.9	SAS 115.1 MIL 118.5 +3.4
Pace	23 88.8 14 91.6	SAS 81.5 MIL 86.2 +4.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 19 15.6	SAS 17.7 MIL 16.7 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 14 49.2%	SAS 50.5% +1.1% MIL 49.4%
TO %	14 14.8% 20 15.2%	SAS 9.9% MIL 9.7% −0.2%
ORB %	20 26.0% 11 27.3%	SAS 34.9% MIL 38.6% +3.7%
FTrt	27 29.8 20 32.2	SAS 22.0 MIL 34.8 +12.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 8 59.4%	SAS 52.3% +8.4% MIL 43.9%
STL %	21 7.4% 14 7.9%	SAS 5.4% MIL 6.5% +1.1%
BLK %	9 8.4% 29 5.4%	SAS 7.6% +3.6% MIL 4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 17 52.0%	SAS 53.5% +1.6% MIL 51.9%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 27 54.9%	SAS 64.1% +14.1% MIL 50.0%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 16 39.6%	SAS 41.7% +3.2% MIL 38.5%
3P %	2 38.5% 4 38.0%	SAS 25.0% MIL 60.0% +35.0%
FT %	28 70.2% 18 73.8%	SAS 75.0% +7.3% MIL 67.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 3 39.7%	SAS 42.9% MIL 44.9% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 5 40.0%	SAS 39.6% −4.3% MIL 43.8%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 18 20.3%	SAS 17.6% +6.3% MIL 11.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	MIL
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	27.4	25.6
Points	107	109
Rebounds	42	45
Assists	23	18
Steals	5	6
Blocks	6	3
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (2)	17 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	28 (3)
Field Goals	44-91	41-89
At-the-Rim FG	25-39	20-40
Midrange FG	15-36	15-39
2-Point FG	40-75	35-79
3-Point FG	4-16	6-10
Free Throws	15-20	21-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg