Final Win Prob. pScore
533%90
101
167%96
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
116.18791.7
DET logo Pistons
121.88782.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET101
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (26 PTS)101
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Payton 28' 3PT Jump Shot99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem99
106
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 2)99
106
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P5.PN)99
104
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P4.T4)99
104
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)99
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
1.9%
104
98.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:49.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)99
1.7%
104
98.3%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot99
2.3%
104
97.7%
Q4 - 1:06MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 1)99
104
Q4 - 1:06DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)99
5.0%
104
95.0%
Q4 - 1:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)99
16.8%
101
83.2%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot99
19.8%
101
80.2%
Q4 - 1:46DETBillups Driving Layup (28 PTS)99
28.5%
101
71.5%
Q4 - 2:06MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)99
37.9%
99
62.1%
Q4 - 2:20DETHamilton P.FOUL (P4.T4)97
99
Q4 - 2:29DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS)97
31.5%
99
68.5%
Q4 - 2:45MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
37.7%
97
62.3%
Q4 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
97
Q4 - 3:04DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hamilton 9 AST)95
31.1%
97
68.9%
Q4 - 3:13DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)95
38.0%
95
62.0%
Q4 - 3:15DETMISS Wallace Layup95
48.7%
95
51.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)95
38.7%
95
61.3%
Q4 - 3:47DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)95
48.9%
95
51.1%
Q4 - 3:47DETPISTONS Rebound95
38.7%
95
61.3%
Q4 - 3:48DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot95
45.7%
95
54.3%
Q4 - 4:11DETWallace Violation:Defensive Goaltending95
95
Q4 - 4:11MIAWilliams Layup (20 PTS)95
38.7%
95
61.3%
Q4 - 4:14DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)93
30.5%
95
69.5%
Q4 - 4:32MIAWade Driving Layup (33 PTS)93
22.3%
95
77.7%
Q4 - 4:46DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
16.6%
95
83.4%
Q4 - 4:46DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)91
17.1%
94
82.9%
Q4 - 4:46MIAWade S.FOUL (P5.T3)91
93
Q4 - 5:02MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)91
24.4%
93
75.6%
Q4 - 5:02MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)90
23.5%
93
76.5%
Q4 - 5:02DETHamilton S.FOUL (P3.T3)89
93
Q4 - 5:04DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)89
18.9%
93
81.1%
Q4 - 5:24MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (31 PTS)89
14.0%
93
86.0%
Q4 - 5:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)87
93
Q4 - 5:43DETPrince Driving Dunk (11 PTS)87
10.5%
93
89.5%
Q4 - 5:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)87
13.9%
91
86.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)87
15.3%
91
84.7%
Q4 - 6:06DETPrince 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
20.2%
91
79.8%
Q4 - 6:33MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (29 PTS)87
25.3%
89
74.7%
Q4 - 6:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)85
20.1%
89
79.9%
Q4 - 6:51DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
18.6%
89
81.4%
Q4 - 7:06MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker85
89
Q4 - 7:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)85
16.4%
89
83.6%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 185
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 7:06DETBillups S.FOUL (P2.T2)85
89
Q4 - 7:06MIAO'Neal Dunk (24 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)85
89
Q4 - 7:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
13.2%
89
86.8%
Q4 - 7:16DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
12.2%
89
87.8%
Q4 - 7:32MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)83
10.1%
89
89.9%
Q4 - 7:32MIAWade OFF.Foul (P4)83
89
Q4 - 7:40DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
13.1%
89
86.9%
Q4 - 7:40DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
13.5%
88
86.5%
Q4 - 7:40MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.T2)83
87
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T9)83
16.4%
87
83.6%
Q4 - 7:55MIAWade OFF.Foul (P3)83
87
Q4 - 8:10DETHamilton 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)83
21.6%
87
78.4%
Q4 - 8:12DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess83
85
Q4 - 8:12MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning83
85
Q4 - 8:37MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)83
26.5%
85
73.5%
Q4 - 8:40MIAHeat Rebound81
21.6%
85
78.4%
Q4 - 8:41MIAPrince BLOCK (2 BLK)81
18.8%
85
81.2%
Q4 - 9:00DETMcDyess Dunk (4 PTS) (Hamilton 8 AST)81
21.5%
85
78.5%
Q4 - 9:10DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Delfino81
83
Q4 - 9:10DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)81
83
Q4 - 9:16MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)81
27.2%
83
72.8%
Q4 - 9:25DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P1.T1)79
83
Q4 - 9:34MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
22.5%
83
77.5%
Q4 - 9:36DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot79
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q4 - 9:42MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P4.T1)79
83
Q4 - 9:58MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)79
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q4 - 10:09DETMISS Prince 12' Turnaround Jump Shot76
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 10:33MIAWade Reverse Layup (25 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)76
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q4 - 10:49DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)74
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q4 - 11:04DETSUB: Wallace FOR Hamilton74
80
Q4 - 11:04DETBillups Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)74
14.0%
80
86.0%
Q4 - 11:04MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )74
79
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)74
16.8%
79
83.2%
Q4 - 11:32MIAHeat Rebound72
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 11:33MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)72
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 11:44DETMISS Delfino 22' Jump Shot72
13.1%
79
86.9%
Q4 - 12:0072
79
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS McDyess 9' Jump Shot72
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
12.3%
79
87.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Wade Layup72
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)72
14.6%
78
85.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
77
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)72
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETSUB: Prince FOR Wallace71
77
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)71
16.8%
77
83.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0DETDelfino P.FOUL (P1.PN)70
77
Q3 - 0:55.0DETDelfino Layup (5 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)70
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
17.4%
75
82.6%
Q3 - 1:00MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)70
18.2%
75
81.8%
Q3 - 1:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)70
20.4%
75
79.6%
Q3 - 1:17DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 170
20.0%
75
80.0%
Q3 - 1:17MIAMourning S.FOUL (P3.PN)70
75
Q3 - 1:17DETWallace Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)70
75
Q3 - 1:36MIAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)70
24.1%
73
75.9%
Q3 - 1:57DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)67
17.4%
73
82.6%
Q3 - 1:57DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
17.8%
72
82.2%
Q3 - 1:57MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.PN)67
71
Q3 - 2:09MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal67
71
Q3 - 2:09MIASUB: Wade FOR Posey67
71
Q3 - 2:09DETPISTONS Rebound67
20.9%
71
79.1%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot67
21.8%
71
78.2%
Q3 - 2:28DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)67
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 2:44DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
27.7%
69
72.3%
Q3 - 2:47MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot67
28.9%
69
71.1%
Q3 - 3:01MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)67
69
Q3 - 3:06DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)67
31.4%
69
68.6%
Q3 - 3:06DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
31.9%
68
68.1%
Q3 - 3:06MIAPayton P.FOUL (P3.PN)67
67
Q3 - 3:17DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
35.2%
67
64.8%
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 267
35.8%
67
64.2%
Q3 - 3:18MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem67
67
Q3 - 3:18DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace67
67
Q3 - 3:18MIAHeat Rebound67
67
Q3 - 3:18MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 267
37.5%
67
62.5%
Q3 - 3:18DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.T4)67
67
Q3 - 3:18MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
39.7%
67
60.3%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
36.5%
67
63.5%
Q3 - 3:36MIAHeat Rebound67
39.7%
67
60.3%
Q3 - 3:37DETMISS Delfino Free Throw 2 of 267
39.1%
67
60.9%
Q3 - 3:37MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade67
67
Q3 - 3:37DETDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
36.7%
67
63.3%
Q3 - 3:37MIAPayton S.FOUL (P2.T4)67
66
Q3 - 3:51MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)67
39.4%
66
60.6%
Q3 - 3:51MIAHeat Rebound67
44.1%
66
55.9%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot67
40.8%
66
59.2%
Q3 - 4:20DETHamilton Layup (17 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)67
43.8%
66
56.2%
Q3 - 4:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
47.4%
64
52.6%
Q3 - 4:23DETMISS Delfino 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.9%
64
49.1%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)67
64
Q3 - 4:45MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)67
47.4%
64
52.6%
Q3 - 4:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)65
43.8%
64
56.2%
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS O'Neal Layup65
40.3%
64
59.7%
Q3 - 5:23DETDelfino 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)65
42.7%
64
57.3%
Q3 - 5:41MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams65
62
Q3 - 5:41DETSUB: Delfino FOR Prince65
62
Q3 - 5:41DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)65
62
Q3 - 5:45MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
46.4%
62
53.6%
Q3 - 5:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
42.8%
62
57.2%
Q3 - 5:53DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot63
41.4%
62
58.6%
Q3 - 6:09DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
37.8%
62
62.2%
Q3 - 6:11MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
39.1%
62
60.9%
Q3 - 6:27DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)63
42.0%
62
58.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)63
45.7%
60
54.3%
Q3 - 6:54MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
42.0%
60
58.0%
Q3 - 6:57DETMISS Billups Layup61
40.7%
60
59.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)61
37.8%
60
62.2%
Q3 - 7:22DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)61
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q3 - 7:22DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)61
41.4%
59
58.6%
Q3 - 7:22MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T2)61
58
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)61
44.7%
58
55.3%
Q3 - 7:53DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T3)59
58
Q3 - 7:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 7:54MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot59
38.4%
58
61.6%
Q3 - 8:08MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 8:10DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
39.5%
58
60.5%
Q3 - 8:20DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
36.8%
58
63.2%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot59
38.0%
58
62.0%
Q3 - 8:39DETBillups Driving Layup (17 PTS)59
40.7%
58
59.3%
Q3 - 8:42DETPISTONS Rebound59
44.1%
56
55.9%
Q3 - 8:43DETMISS Hamilton Layup59
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q3 - 9:04MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)59
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 9:14DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T2)57
56
Q3 - 9:26DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)57
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q3 - 9:35DETBillups Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)57
36.7%
56
63.3%
Q3 - 9:35MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec O'Neal )57
55
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)57
55
Q3 - 9:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
42.7%
55
57.3%
Q3 - 9:59MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)57
40.2%
55
59.8%
Q3 - 9:59MIAHeat Rebound56
55
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 256
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 9:59DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)56
55
Q3 - 10:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)56
39.7%
55
60.3%
Q3 - 10:15DETMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot56
38.6%
55
61.4%
Q3 - 10:35MIAO'Neal Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)56
36.3%
55
63.7%
Q3 - 10:55DETHamilton Layup (15 PTS)54
33.1%
55
66.9%
Q3 - 10:58DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
36.3%
53
63.7%
Q3 - 11:01DETMISS Wallace 17' Turnaround Jump Shot54
38.2%
53
61.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (19 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)54
35.9%
53
64.1%
Q3 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q3 - 11:38DETMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Jump Shot52
32.0%
53
68.0%
Q3 - 11:51MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P2.T6)52
29.8%
53
70.2%
Q3 - 11:51MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P1)52
53
Q3 - 12:0052
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
33.0%
53
67.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Williams 33' 3PT Jump Shot52
30.9%
53
69.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)52
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal52
53
Q2 - 0:02.0DETSUB: McDyess FOR Arroyo52
53
Q2 - 0:02.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)52
53
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)52
30.3%
53
69.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
32.4%
53
67.6%
Q2 - 0:11.0DETSUB: Arroyo FOR McDyess52
52
Q2 - 0:11.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Haslem52
52
Q2 - 0:11.0DETPISTONS Rebound52
52
Q2 - 0:11.0DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 252
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)52
52
Q2 - 0:11.0DETPISTONS Rebound52
33.2%
52
66.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot52
33.9%
52
66.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)52
52
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAHeat Rebound52
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
33.9%
52
66.1%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)52
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)52
33.1%
52
66.9%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAHeat Rebound51
52
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 251
31.8%
52
68.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
52
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
32.5%
52
67.5%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS O'Neal Layup51
30.9%
52
69.1%
Q2 - 1:09DETWallace Tip Shot (12 PTS)51
32.3%
52
67.7%
Q2 - 1:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
36.0%
50
64.0%
Q2 - 1:12DETMISS Wallace Layup51
37.6%
50
62.4%
Q2 - 1:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
36.0%
50
64.0%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 251
36.3%
50
63.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)51
37.7%
50
62.3%
Q2 - 1:33DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace50
50
Q2 - 1:33DETSUB: Billups FOR Arroyo50
50
Q2 - 1:33DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T3)50
50
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
35.2%
50
64.8%
Q2 - 1:56DETMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot50
34.6%
50
65.4%
Q2 - 2:14MIAO'Neal 10' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)50
32.3%
50
67.7%
Q2 - 2:35DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)48
29.6%
50
70.4%
Q2 - 2:56MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)48
32.3%
48
67.7%
Q2 - 3:10MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
48
Q2 - 3:15DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 3:15DETPISTONS Rebound45
47
Q2 - 3:15DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 245
27.4%
47
72.6%
Q2 - 3:15MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.PN)45
47
Q2 - 3:18MIAArroyo STEAL (1 STL)45
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 3:37DETHamilton Driving Layup (12 PTS)45
29.6%
47
70.4%
Q2 - 3:56MIAPosey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)45
31.9%
45
68.1%
Q2 - 4:15DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)43
29.3%
45
70.7%
Q2 - 4:15DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)43
29.8%
44
70.2%
Q2 - 4:15MIAPayton P.FOUL (P1.PN)43
43
Q2 - 4:29MIAO'Neal 7' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)43
31.7%
43
68.3%
Q2 - 4:47DETHamilton Layup (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)41
29.3%
43
70.7%
Q2 - 4:51DETArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
31.7%
41
68.3%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Payton 10' Running Jump Shot41
32.6%
41
67.4%
Q2 - 5:06DETArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)41
34.3%
41
65.7%
Q2 - 5:06MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams41
40
Q2 - 5:06DETArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)41
34.9%
40
65.1%
Q2 - 5:06MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
39
Q2 - 5:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
37.2%
39
62.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIAMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot41
38.0%
39
62.0%
Q2 - 5:36DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)41
39.9%
39
60.1%
Q2 - 5:48DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Evans41
37
Q2 - 5:48DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
37
Q2 - 5:55MIAPayton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)41
42.9%
37
57.1%
Q2 - 6:12MIASUB: Posey FOR Walker39
37
Q2 - 6:12MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning39
37
Q2 - 6:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Wade39
37
Q2 - 6:12DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)39
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 6:12DETPISTONS Rebound39
36.6%
37
63.4%
Q2 - 6:13DETMISS Arroyo 12' Jump Shot39
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 6:36DETPISTONS Rebound39
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot39
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 6:45DETMISS Prince 11' Turnaround Jump Shot39
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 6:57DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 7:00MIAMISS Walker 9' Hook Shot39
37.6%
37
62.4%
Q2 - 7:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
39.2%
37
60.8%
Q2 - 7:11DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot39
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)39
36.5%
37
63.5%
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)38
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 7:24DETEvans S.FOUL (P1.T2)37
37
Q2 - 7:37DETSUB: Wallace FOR Wallace37
37
Q2 - 7:37DETPrince Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)37
34.0%
37
66.0%
Q2 - 7:53MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS)37
31.4%
37
68.6%
Q2 - 7:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
29.1%
37
70.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAMISS Williams Layup35
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 8:08DETPrince 13' Hook Shot (5 PTS)35
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q2 - 8:20MIAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T3)35
35
Q2 - 8:32DETSUB: Prince FOR Hamilton35
35
Q2 - 8:3235
35
Q2 - 8:32MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)35
35
Q2 - 8:32DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 8:33MIAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot35
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 8:51DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)35
33.7%
35
66.3%
Q2 - 8:53DETEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
36.2%
33
63.8%
Q2 - 8:55DETMISS Wallace 10' Hook Shot35
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 9:20MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS)35
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 9:38DETWallace 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)33
33.4%
33
66.6%
Q2 - 9:58MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
35.8%
31
64.2%
Q2 - 10:17DETHamilton Layup (6 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)31
33.3%
31
66.7%
Q2 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot31
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 10:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
38.1%
29
61.9%
Q2 - 10:39DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot31
37.4%
29
62.6%
Q2 - 10:43MIASUB: Williams FOR Posey31
29
Q2 - 10:43DETSUB: Arroyo FOR Billups31
29
Q2 - 10:43MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.T1)31
29
Q2 - 10:58MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 11:21DETBillups Driving Layup (14 PTS)29
33.3%
29
66.7%
Q2 - 11:24MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)29
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q2 - 11:32MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
38.0%
27
62.0%
Q2 - 11:33DETMISS Evans 12' Jump Shot29
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 11:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q2 - 11:47DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
27
Q2 - 11:47MIAWade 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
27
Q2 - 12:0026
27
Q1 - 0:00.0DET26
31.1%
27
68.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound26
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot26
30.0%
27
70.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal26
27
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)26
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0DETBillups Driving Layup (12 PTS)26
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAO'Neal Dunk (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)26
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAHeat Rebound24
25
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Posey Free Throw Technical24
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 0:55.024
25
Q1 - 0:58.0DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace24
25
Q1 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams24
25
Q1 - 0:58.0MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem24
25
Q1 - 0:58.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 1:14DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 1:15MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
29.4%
25
70.6%
Q1 - 1:36DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)24
30.3%
25
69.7%
Q1 - 1:56MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)24
35.2%
22
64.8%
Q1 - 2:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q1 - 2:07MIAMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot22
31.3%
22
68.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
32.5%
22
67.5%
Q1 - 2:29DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot22
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 2:45DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
22
Q1 - 2:45DETPISTONS Rebound22
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q1 - 2:47DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.0%
22
68.0%
Q1 - 3:01MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)22
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q1 - 3:01DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
22
Q1 - 3:01MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)21
22
Q1 - 3:23DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
26.8%
22
73.2%
Q1 - 3:30MIAPosey L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)19
19
Q1 - 3:30DETPISTONS Rebound19
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 3:32DETMISS Prince Layup19
31.9%
19
68.1%
Q1 - 3:50MIAO'Neal Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
30.5%
19
69.5%
Q1 - 4:03MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 4:05DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot17
28.2%
19
71.8%
Q1 - 4:20DETJump Ball Prince vs. Posey: Tip to Billups17
19
Q1 - 4:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:31MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot17
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
28.8%
19
71.2%
Q1 - 4:40DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot17
28.3%
19
71.7%
Q1 - 5:08MIAO'Neal Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 5:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.0%
19
74.0%
Q1 - 5:16DETMISS Wallace 17' Jump Shot15
25.5%
19
74.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 5:26DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)13
19
Q1 - 5:36MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)13
19
Q1 - 5:42DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)13
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 5:44DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 5:46DETMISS Hamilton Layup13
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 5:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
26.0%
16
74.0%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Haslem Tip Shot13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 5:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Williams Layup13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:04DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
27.4%
16
72.6%
Q1 - 6:17DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
26.1%
16
73.9%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot13
26.5%
16
73.5%
Q1 - 6:29DETHamilton Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)13
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 6:32DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot13
29.4%
14
70.6%
Q1 - 6:51DETWallace Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)13
30.6%
14
69.4%
Q1 - 7:05DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
31.7%
12
68.3%
Q1 - 7:07DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
32.9%
12
67.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
31.8%
12
68.2%
Q1 - 7:37DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 7:58MIAWilliams Driving Layup (9 PTS)13
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 8:05DETHamilton 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)11
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 8:19DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 8:21MIAMISS Posey 21' Jump Shot11
32.2%
10
67.8%
Q1 - 8:34DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)11
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 8:51MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
35.6%
7
64.4%
Q1 - 9:04DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)9
34.1%
7
65.9%
Q1 - 9:30MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)9
36.2%
4
63.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:36DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWade Dunk (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)6
33.1%
4
66.9%
Q1 - 10:08DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
32.2%
4
67.8%
Q1 - 10:10DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
32.9%
2
67.1%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)4
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
33.7%
2
66.3%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot4
33.1%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 10:31DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:31DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
33.7%
1
66.3%
Q1 - 10:31MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
0
Q1 - 10:50MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 10:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 10:57DETMISS Wallace Layup2
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 11:41MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 11:43DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot0
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Prince0
33.2%
0
66.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
DET
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
31
68%
DET
17
24
71%
Midrange
MIA
17
36
47%
DET
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
DET
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
MIA
13
20
65%
DET
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3375%16.5 / 22
S. O'Neal2652%13.0 / 25
J. Williams2059%10.0 / 17
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
G. Payton542%2.5 / 6
A. Mourning4100%2.0 / 2
A. Walker330%1.5 / 5
J. Posey225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups3068%15.0 / 22
R. Hamilton2566%12.5 / 19
R. Wallace2162%10.5 / 17
T. Prince1350%6.5 / 13
C. Delfino550%2.5 / 5
B. Wallace467%2.0 / 3
A. McDyess440%2.0 / 5
C. Arroyo450%2.0 / 4
M. Evans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+15
-11
91
DET
79
+14
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.5%
DET
1.14 57.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
110.1
MIA 116.1
DET 121.8 +5.7
Pace
92.2
87.4
MIA 91.7 +8.8
DET 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
17.3
MIA 15.7 −1.7
DET 17.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
49.7%
MIA 55.0% +1.7%
DET 53.3%
TO %
15.0%
12.2%
MIA 11.9%
DET 10.1% −1.8%
ORB %
26.8%
28.9%
MIA 30.3% +6.8%
DET 23.5%
FTrt
36.3
29.7
MIA 25.0
DET 38.2 +13.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
66.1%
MIA 57.1%
DET 64.9% +7.8%
STL %
6.9%
8.0%
MIA 5.7% +1.1%
DET 4.6%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 6.9%
DET 7.5% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
52.1%
MIA 55.5%
DET 57.0% +1.5%
Rim FG%
64.2%
59.0%
MIA 67.7%
DET 70.8% +3.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
41.0%
MIA 47.2% +9.0%
DET 38.2%
3P %
34.5%
38.4%
MIA 30.8%
DET 38.9% +8.1%
FT %
70.0%
72.7%
MIA 65.0%
DET 86.2% +21.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
28.3%
MIA 38.8% +7.2%
DET 31.6%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
49.6%
MIA 45.0%
DET 44.7% −0.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
22.1%
MIA 16.3%
DET 23.7% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points101106
Rebounds3631
Assists2424
Steals54
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)23 (3)
Field Goals42-8037-76
At-the-Rim FG21-3117-24
Midrange FG17-3613-34
2-Point FG38-6730-58
3-Point FG4-137-18
Free Throws13-2025-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
45.4
33
75%
6
9
0
1
4
5
1
5
5-5
100%
14-20
70%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
38.8
20
59%
3
5
3
0
2
5
0
3
2-2
100%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
35.9
26
52%
6
2
0
1
2
2
3
3
4-10
40%
11-21
52%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
32.6
8
57%
10
2
1
1
1
4
5
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
29.3
2
25%
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
30.6
5
42%
1
3
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
15.2
3
30%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
12.1
4
100%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
56%
36
24
5
4
11
0
10
26
13-20
65%
38-67
57%
4-13
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.