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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 31, 2005
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Pistons49%9484
6Cavaliers51%9597
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 27.9
40.0
36.1
21
51%
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
7-8
88%
7-17
7-15
41%
47%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 31.3
37.4
35.0
21
59%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
6-9
4-8
67%
47%
3-8
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 31.3
37.1
33.6
11
63%
18
2
1
1
4
0
9
9
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 29.3
36.9
36.0
14
45%
3
4
0
1
0
6
0
3
9-10
90%
1-5
3-8
20%
45%
1-6
17%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 25.8
34.5
36.3
4
17%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-10
5-10
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
21.5
22.3
10
54%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
11.8
13.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.4
11.1
11.1
2
33%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.3
9.6
9.3
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 20.5
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 22.9
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 36.8
0.8
0
0-0
46%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 18.7
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
44.5
40.5
30
60%
7
7
4
2
1
5
1
6
6-7
86%
9-17
8-16
53%
50%
2-5
40%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
39.0
36.7
16
68%
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
4
1-4
25%
6-7
4-10
86%
45%
1-3
33%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
32.0
31.5
18
45%
11
0
0
1
1
0
6
5
8-9
89%
5-16
5-11
31%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
28.9
24.4
12
68%
13
0
0
1
1
2
4
9
4-4
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
28.6
28.5
6
44%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
33.3
26.6
13
50%
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
3-7
43%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.3
19.4
22.8
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 30.9
12.4
8.9
2
50%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
1.8
9.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
2.7
0
0-1
45%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
1.5
0
0-0
40%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.