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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Cavaliers59%10191
21Bucks41%9884
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
45.7
41.7
32
50%
11
11
5
2
1
4
2
9
6-7
86%
10-21
8-16
48%
51%
2-8
25%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
37.7
31.3
14
40%
9
2
0
1
2
2
5
4
0-1
0%
7-17
5-11
41%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
31.4
20.9
3
21%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
28.2
26.4
18
83%
8
2
0
1
3
2
1
7
2-2
100%
8-10
4-8
80%
50%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
26.0
28.0
5
38%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-8
63%
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
26.4
29.4
17
61%
9
0
1
1
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
4-8
50%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
25.8
10.9
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
15.3
1.3
2
36%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
3.6
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.8
1.3
0
0-0
53%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.9
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 23.0
43.0
35.3
11
33%
2
9
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
5-10
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
42.0
38.8
28
52%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
11-11
100%
4-15
6-14
27%
47%
3-7
43%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.6
39.8
33.5
18
57%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.6
38.6
29.6
13
50%
12
0
1
0
1
4
2
10
1-2
50%
6-12
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.1
30.3
24.8
14
68%
13
4
2
1
1
3
4
9
2-3
67%
6-9
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jiri Welsch
F · 6'7" 208 · 25.9
18.3
20.2
0
0%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Toni Kukoc
F · 6'11" 235 · 37.3
12.3
20.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Jermaine Jackson
G · 6'5" 204 · 29.6
8.8
11.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 27.9
6.8
10.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 22.8
10.9
0
1-3
44%
Ervin Johnson
C · 6'11" 245 · 38.0
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Reece Gaines
G · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
0.7
0
0-0
40%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30.4
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 18.6
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.