FinalWin Prob.pScore
566%96
92
2634%91
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.092102.6
NOK
118.99081.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIANOK
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA92
107
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASimien Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
107
Q4 - 0:16.0MIASimien Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
107
Q4 - 0:16.0NOKSUB: Macijauskas FOR Claxton90
107
Q4 - 0:16.0NOKSnyder S.FOUL (P4.PN)90
107
Q4 - 0:19.0NOKMISS Claxton 15' Jump Shot90
107
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
107
Q4 - 0:32.0NOKSUB: Smith FOR Mason90
107
Q4 - 0:32.0MIASimien P.FOUL (P2.PN)90
107
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)90
107
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound89
107
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 289
107
Q4 - 0:45.0NOKSUB: Vroman FOR Paul89
107
Q4 - 0:45.0NOKSUB: Bass FOR Brown89
107
Q4 - 0:45.0NOKSUB: Snyder FOR West89
107
Q4 - 0:45.0NOKPaul P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
107
Q4 - 0:47.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
107
Q4 - 0:50.0NOKMISS West 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
107
Q4 - 1:14MIASimien 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)89
107
Q4 - 1:22NOKPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)87
107
Q4 - 1:45MIASimien Foul Turnover (P1.T17)87
104
Q4 - 1:45MIASimien OFF.Foul (P1)87
104
Q4 - 1:57MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
104
Q4 - 1:59NOKMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot87
104
Q4 - 2:29MIADoleac 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)87
104
Q4 - 2:41NOKSUB: Claxton FOR Snyder85
104
Q4 - 2:41MIASUB: Doleac FOR Wade85
104
Q4 - 2:41MIASUB: Kapono FOR O'Neal85
104
Q4 - 2:41MIASUB: Simien FOR Haslem85
104
Q4 - 2:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)85
104
Q4 - 2:49NOKSnyder 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (West 2 AST)85
104
Q4 - 3:10MIAO'Neal Dunk (19 PTS)85
101
Q4 - 3:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)83
101
Q4 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot83
101
Q4 - 3:29NOKPaul 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
101
Q4 - 3:34NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
99
Q4 - 3:36MIASnyder BLOCK (1 BLK)83
99
Q4 - 3:46NOKMason P.FOUL (P3.T4)83
99
Q4 - 4:03NOKWest Dunk (20 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)83
99
Q4 - 4:18MIASUB: Payton FOR Williams83
97
Q4 - 4:18NOKSUB: Mason FOR Butler83
97
Q4 - 4:18NOKSUB: Brown FOR Andersen83
97
Q4 - 4:18MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P4.T4)83
97
Q4 - 4:39MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)83
97
Q4 - 4:51NOKWest 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
97
Q4 - 5:15NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
95
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot81
95
Q4 - 5:22NOKAndersen P.FOUL (P5.T3)81
95
Q4 - 5:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
95
Q4 - 5:33NOKMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot81
95
Q4 - 5:54MIAO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
95
Q4 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound80
95
Q4 - 5:54MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 280
95
Q4 - 5:54MIASUB: Wade FOR Payton80
95
Q4 - 5:54NOKSUB: Paul FOR Claxton80
95
Q4 - 5:54NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)80
95
Q4 - 5:54NOKButler S.FOUL (P2.T2)80
95
Q4 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)80
95
Q4 - 6:02NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot80
95
Q4 - 6:25NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
95
Q4 - 6:28NOKMISS West 7' Jump Shot80
95
Q4 - 6:45NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
95
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Posey Running Layup80
95
Q4 - 7:05MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)80
95
Q4 - 7:07NOKMISS Claxton 14' Running Jump Shot80
95
Q4 - 7:17MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker80
95
Q4 - 7:17MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T3)80
95
Q4 - 7:27MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
95
Q4 - 7:33MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono77
95
Q4 - 7:33NOKSUB: Andersen FOR Brown77
95
Q4 - 7:41MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
95
Q4 - 7:43NOKMISS Snyder 17' Jump Shot77
95
Q4 - 8:01NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
95
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95
Q4 - 8:22NOKBrown 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)77
95
Q4 - 8:43MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)77
93
Q4 - 8:46NOKBrown P.FOUL (P5.T1)74
93
Q4 - 8:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
93
Q4 - 8:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
92
Q4 - 8:5674
91
Q4 - 8:56MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P3.T2)74
91
Q4 - 9:05MIAWest STEAL (2 STL)74
91
Q4 - 9:19NOKButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)74
91
Q4 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)74
88
Q4 - 9:50NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)72
88
Q4 - 10:04NOKSUB: West FOR Andersen72
86
Q4 - 10:04MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)72
86
Q4 - 10:14NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)72
86
Q4 - 10:37MIAO'Neal Layup (14 PTS)72
83
Q4 - 10:40MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)70
83
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS O'Neal Layup70
83
Q4 - 10:53NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)70
83
Q4 - 10:54NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
83
Q4 - 10:55NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot70
83
Q4 - 11:08MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade70
83
Q4 - 11:08MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning70
83
Q4 - 11:08MIAMourning P.FOUL (P5.T1)70
83
Q4 - 11:24MIAPayton Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)70
83
Q4 - 11:27NOKBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)68
83
Q4 - 11:43MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)68
83
Q4 - 11:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)68
83
Q4 - 11:45MIAMISS Walker 5' Jump Shot68
83
Q4 - 12:0068
83
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK68
83
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)68
83
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)66
83
Q3 - 0:18.0NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot66
83
Q3 - 0:40.0NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
83
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
83
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
83
Q3 - 0:51.0NOKMISS Mason 17' Jump Shot66
83
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
83
Q3 - 1:07MIAHeat Rebound65
83
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 265
83
Q3 - 1:07NOKAndersen P.FOUL (P4.PN)65
83
Q3 - 1:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)65
83
Q3 - 1:09NOKMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot65
83
Q3 - 1:39MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
83
Q3 - 1:52NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
83
Q3 - 1:52NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
82
Q3 - 1:52MIAKapono S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
81
Q3 - 2:10MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem63
81
Q3 - 2:10NOKHORNETS Rebound63
81
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot63
81
Q3 - 2:31NOKMason 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)63
81
Q3 - 2:48MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)63
79
Q3 - 2:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
79
Q3 - 2:56NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)61
78
Q3 - 2:56NOKSUB: Butler FOR West61
77
Q3 - 2:56NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
77
Q3 - 2:56MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.PN)61
77
Q3 - 3:07NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
77
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 261
77
Q3 - 3:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
77
Q3 - 3:08NOKWest S.FOUL (P4.PN)60
77
Q3 - 3:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
77
Q3 - 3:23NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 260
77
Q3 - 3:23NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
77
Q3 - 3:23MIAMourning S.FOUL (P4.PN)60
76
Q3 - 3:41MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)60
76
Q3 - 3:55NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)57
76
Q3 - 3:55NOKHORNETS Rebound57
75
Q3 - 3:55NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 257
75
Q3 - 3:55MIAKapono P.FOUL (P2.PN)57
75
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
75
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
75
Q3 - 4:13NOKClaxton S.FOUL (P1.T4)55
75
Q3 - 4:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
75
Q3 - 4:14MIAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)55
75
Q3 - 4:16MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
75
Q3 - 4:17MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot55
75
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
75
Q3 - 4:18MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
75
Q3 - 4:33NOKWest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)55
75
Q3 - 4:46NOKSUB: Claxton FOR Snyder55
72
Q3 - 4:46MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T4)55
72
Q3 - 5:01MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)55
72
Q3 - 5:09MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
72
Q3 - 5:11NOKMISS Snyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
72
Q3 - 5:30NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
72
Q3 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot53
72
Q3 - 5:42MIASUB: Payton FOR Posey53
72
Q3 - 5:42NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T8)53
72
Q3 - 5:42NOKMason OFF.Foul (P2)53
72
Q3 - 5:46MIAPaul STEAL (3 STL)53
72
Q3 - 5:50MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
72
Q3 - 5:52NOKMISS Mason Layup53
72
Q3 - 6:08MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.T3)53
72
Q3 - 6:08NOKHORNETS Rebound53
72
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot53
72
Q3 - 6:16NOKPaul P.FOUL (P1.T3)53
72
Q3 - 6:26MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
72
Q3 - 6:28NOKMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
72
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)53
72
Q3 - 6:53NOKSUB: Andersen FOR Brown52
72
Q3 - 6:53NOKBrown S.FOUL (P4.T2)52
72
Q3 - 6:53MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)52
72
Q3 - 7:09MIASUB: Kapono FOR Williams50
72
Q3 - 7:09MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)50
72
Q3 - 7:09NOKSnyder Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)50
72
Q3 - 7:30NOKHORNETS Rebound50
72
Q3 - 7:31MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
72
Q3 - 7:47MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal50
72
Q3 - 7:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)50
72
Q3 - 7:58NOKMason Alley Oop Layup (21 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)50
72
Q3 - 8:03NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
70
Q3 - 8:07MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot50
70
Q3 - 8:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
70
Q3 - 8:14NOKMISS Snyder Reverse Layup50
70
Q3 - 8:29NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
70
Q3 - 8:33MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper50
70
Q3 - 8:48NOKBrown Foul Turnover (P1.T6)50
70
Q3 - 8:48NOKBrown OFF.Foul (P3)50
70
Q3 - 8:51NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
70
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot50
70
Q3 - 9:06NOKMason 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)50
70
Q3 - 9:17NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)50
68
Q3 - 9:19NOKMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot50
68
Q3 - 9:41MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)50
68
Q3 - 9:49NOKWest P.FOUL (P3.T1)47
68
Q3 - 10:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
68
Q3 - 10:03NOKMISS Paul 15' Jump Shot47
68
Q3 - 10:21NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
68
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
68
Q3 - 10:36MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
68
Q3 - 10:38NOKMISS West Free Throw 2 of 247
68
Q3 - 10:38NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
68
Q3 - 10:38MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T2)47
67
Q3 - 10:55MIAO'Neal Dunk (12 PTS)47
67
Q3 - 10:56MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
67
Q3 - 11:00MIAMISS Wade Layup45
67
Q3 - 11:17NOKPaul 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
67
Q3 - 11:20NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
65
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS O'Neal 5' Hook Shot45
65
Q3 - 11:42NOKPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
65
Q3 - 11:42NOKHORNETS Rebound45
64
Q3 - 11:42NOKMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 245
64
Q3 - 11:42MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.T1)45
64
Q3 - 12:0045
64
Q2 - 0:00.0NOK45
64
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
64
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot45
64
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
64
Q2 - 0:06.0NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
64
Q2 - 0:26.0NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
64
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams Layup45
64
Q2 - 0:37.0NOKButler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)45
64
Q2 - 0:51.0NOKVroman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
62
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 245
62
Q2 - 0:52.0MIASUB: Payton FOR Wade45
62
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)45
62
Q2 - 0:52.0NOKMason S.FOUL (P1.PN)44
62
Q2 - 1:04NOKButler Foul Turnover (P1.T5)44
62
Q2 - 1:04NOKButler OFF.Foul (P1)44
62
Q2 - 1:08NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
62
Q2 - 1:10MIAVroman BLOCK (1 BLK)44
62
Q2 - 1:21MIASUB: Walker FOR O'Neal44
62
Q2 - 1:21NOKSUB: Butler FOR West44
62
Q2 - 1:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)44
62
Q2 - 1:29NOKPaul 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)44
62
Q2 - 1:34MIAPaul STEAL (2 STL)44
60
Q2 - 1:48NOKPaul Layup (5 PTS)44
60
Q2 - 1:51NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
58
Q2 - 1:54MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot44
58
Q2 - 2:16NOKWest 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)44
58
Q2 - 2:27MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)44
56
Q2 - 2:41NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
56
Q2 - 2:41NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
55
Q2 - 2:41NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
54
Q2 - 2:41MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P2.PN)42
54
Q2 - 2:52MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)42
54
Q2 - 3:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
54
Q2 - 3:12NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 240
54
Q2 - 3:12NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
54
Q2 - 3:12MIAPosey P.FOUL (P2.PN)40
53
Q2 - 3:25NOKMISS West 16' Jump Shot40
53
Q2 - 3:25MIASUB: Posey FOR Kapono40
53
Q2 - 3:25NOKSUB: Vroman FOR Brown40
53
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P6.T11)40
53
Q2 - 3:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)40
53
Q2 - 3:51MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)40
53
Q2 - 3:51MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
53
Q2 - 3:51NOKWest P.FOUL (P2.PN)38
53
Q2 - 4:04NOKClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)38
53
Q2 - 4:04MIAKapono S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
52
Q2 - 4:04NOKClaxton Layup (7 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)38
52
Q2 - 4:11NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
50
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot38
50
Q2 - 4:22NOKClaxton Layup (5 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)38
50
Q2 - 4:27MIAMason STEAL (1 STL)38
48
Q2 - 4:30MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
48
Q2 - 4:32MIAMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 4:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
48
Q2 - 4:43NOKMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 4:53NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
48
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 5:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
48
Q2 - 5:10MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 5:14MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)38
48
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot38
48
Q2 - 5:32NOKWest Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
48
Q2 - 5:50NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
46
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 238
46
Q2 - 5:52MIAHeat Rebound38
46
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 238
46
Q2 - 5:52MIASUB: Williams FOR Payton38
46
Q2 - 5:52NOKSUB: Mason FOR Butler38
46
Q2 - 5:5238
46
Q2 - 5:52NOKBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)38
46
Q2 - 5:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
46
Q2 - 5:57NOKMISS Brown 12' Jump Shot38
46
Q2 - 6:18MIAO'Neal Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)38
46
Q2 - 6:34MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
46
Q2 - 6:36NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
46
Q2 - 6:58MIAO'Neal 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
46
Q2 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)34
46
Q2 - 7:11NOKMISS Butler 22' Jump Shot34
46
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
46
Q2 - 7:33NOKSUB: Paul FOR Snyder33
46
Q2 - 7:33MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
46
Q2 - 7:33NOKSnyder S.FOUL (P3.T4)32
46
Q2 - 7:38NOKBrown P.FOUL (P1.T3)32
46
Q2 - 7:38MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
46
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
46
Q2 - 7:50NOKSnyder P.FOUL (P2.T2)32
46
Q2 - 7:51NOKClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)32
46
Q2 - 7:59NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
46
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot32
46
Q2 - 8:12NOKSUB: West FOR Andersen32
46
Q2 - 8:12NOKAndersen P.FOUL (P3.T1)32
46
Q2 - 8:24MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)32
46
Q2 - 8:28NOKSnyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)32
46
Q2 - 8:46MIAClaxton STEAL (3 STL)32
43
Q2 - 8:59NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
43
Q2 - 8:59MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker32
42
Q2 - 8:59NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
42
Q2 - 8:59MIAWalker S.FOUL (P2.T3)32
41
Q2 - 9:15MIAO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)32
41
Q2 - 9:25MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning32
41
Q2 - 9:25MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)32
41
Q2 - 9:34NOKClaxton 5' Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
41
Q2 - 9:49NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39
Q2 - 9:52MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 10:07NOKButler 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)32
39
Q2 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot32
37
Q2 - 10:20NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
37
Q2 - 10:35NOKAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
37
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: Wade FOR Williams32
36
Q2 - 10:35NOKAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
36
Q2 - 10:35MIASUB: Kapono FOR Posey32
35
Q2 - 10:35MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T2)32
35
Q2 - 10:40NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 10:43MIAMISS Walker Layup32
35
Q2 - 10:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
35
Q2 - 10:52NOKMISS Butler 19' Turnaround Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 11:07NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 11:10MIAMISS Walker 5' Hook Shot32
35
Q2 - 11:33NOKSnyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 11:46MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
32
Q2 - 12:00NOKSUB: Butler FOR Mason32
32
Q2 - 12:0032
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA32
32
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
32
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
32
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)32
32
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAWalker OFF.Foul (P1)32
32
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)32
32
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)32
32
Q1 - 1:00NOKWest Layup (6 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)29
32
Q1 - 1:05MIAClaxton STEAL (2 STL)29
30
Q1 - 1:15NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
30
Q1 - 1:15MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade29
29
Q1 - 1:15NOKHORNETS Rebound29
29
Q1 - 1:15MIAClaxton STEAL (1 STL)29
29
Q1 - 1:15NOKMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 229
29
Q1 - 1:15MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.PN)29
29
Q1 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
29
Q1 - 1:33NOKMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 129
29
Q1 - 1:33MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
29
Q1 - 1:33NOKAndersen Layup (2 PTS)29
29
Q1 - 1:33NOKAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
27
Q1 - 1:34NOKMISS West 5' Jump Shot29
27
Q1 - 1:47MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)29
27
Q1 - 1:52NOKClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
27
Q1 - 2:10MIAPayton 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)27
27
Q1 - 2:17NOKAndersen P.FOUL (P2.T4)24
27
Q1 - 2:21MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
27
Q1 - 2:24MIAMISS Wade Layup24
27
Q1 - 2:39NOKWest Layup (4 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)24
27
Q1 - 2:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)24
25
Q1 - 2:52MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal24
25
Q1 - 2:52MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T4)24
25
Q1 - 2:52MIAWade OFF.Foul (P1)24
25
Q1 - 2:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
25
Q1 - 2:56NOKMISS Claxton Layup24
25
Q1 - 3:04NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
25
Q1 - 3:06NOKMISS Claxton 5' Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:17NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
25
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
25
Q1 - 3:29NOKMISS Mason 15' Jump Shot24
25
Q1 - 3:47MIAO'Neal Dunk (6 PTS)24
25
Q1 - 3:48MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
25
Q1 - 3:52MIAMason BLOCK (1 BLK)22
25
Q1 - 4:04NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)22
25
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Payton FOR Haslem22
24
Q1 - 4:04MIASUB: Walker FOR Williams22
24
Q1 - 4:04NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)22
24
Q1 - 4:04MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
23
Q1 - 4:10NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
23
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot22
23
Q1 - 4:17NOKAndersen P.FOUL (P1.T3)22
23
Q1 - 4:27NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
23
Q1 - 4:27NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)22
23
Q1 - 4:27NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 4:27NOKSUB: Andersen FOR Brown22
21
Q1 - 4:27MIAO'Neal S.FOUL (P1.T1)22
21
Q1 - 4:31NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
21
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
21
Q1 - 4:38NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)22
21
Q1 - 4:42MIAO'Neal 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)22
21
Q1 - 4:59NOKMason 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)20
21
Q1 - 5:16MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)20
19
Q1 - 5:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19
Q1 - 5:28NOKMISS Claxton 12' Jump Shot18
19
Q1 - 5:48MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
19
Q1 - 6:01NOKPaul 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)15
19
Q1 - 6:21NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
16
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 115
16
Q1 - 6:23NOKSUB: Claxton FOR Snyder15
16
Q1 - 6:23NOKWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)15
16
Q1 - 6:43NOKWest 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)15
16
Q1 - 7:07MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)15
14
Q1 - 7:22NOKSnyder Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
14
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
12
Q1 - 7:44NOKMISS Brown 8' Fadeaway Jumper11
12
Q1 - 8:05NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
12
Q1 - 8:07NOKMISS Snyder 14' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 8:23MIAWade Layup (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)11
12
Q1 - 8:36NOKSnyder 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)9
12
Q1 - 8:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 8:51MIAHeat Rebound8
10
Q1 - 8:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
10
Q1 - 8:51NOKSnyder S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 8:53MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 8:55NOKMISS Paul Layup8
10
Q1 - 9:03MIAPaul STEAL (1 STL)8
10
Q1 - 9:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 9:07NOKMISS Snyder Layup8
10
Q1 - 9:08NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
10
Q1 - 9:10NOKMISS Snyder Tip Shot8
10
Q1 - 9:11NOKSnyder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
10
Q1 - 9:13NOKMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 9:20MIABrown STEAL (1 STL)8
10
Q1 - 9:33NOKMason 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)8
10
Q1 - 9:46NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 10:02NOKMason Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 10:09MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)8
6
Q1 - 10:24NOKMason Dunk (4 PTS) (West 1 AST)5
6
Q1 - 10:27NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
4
Q1 - 10:29NOKMISS Mason Dunk5
4
Q1 - 10:34MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)5
4
Q1 - 10:47NOKBrown 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)5
4
Q1 - 10:55NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
2
Q1 - 10:57NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 11:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:26NOKMason 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 11:46MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)3
0
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Brown vs. O'Neal: Tip to Haslem0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOK
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
25
52%
NOK
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
NOK
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
NOK
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
MIA
15
24
63%
NOK
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade1945%9.5 / 21
S. O'Neal1963%9.5 / 15
J. Williams1568%7.5 / 11
U. Haslem956%4.5 / 8
G. Payton867%4.0 / 6
J. Posey660%3.0 / 5
J. Kapono536%2.5 / 7
W. Simien4100%2.0 / 2
A. Walker315%1.5 / 10
A. Mourning250%1.0 / 2
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason2457%12.0 / 21
D. West2067%10.0 / 15
C. Paul1568%7.5 / 11
K. Snyder1359%6.5 / 11
S. Claxton1250%6.0 / 12
R. Butler1250%6.0 / 12
P. Brown660%3.0 / 5
C. Andersen563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+14
-17
89
NOK
81
+10
-9
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
NOK
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.0
103.0
MIA 100.0
NOK 118.9 +18.9
Pace
92.2
89.6
MIA 102.6 +21.1
NOK 81.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
MIA 14.0 +3.6
NOK 17.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
46.4%
MIA 50.7%
NOK 54.5% +3.8%
TO %
15.0%
13.9%
MIA 16.4%
NOK 10.0% +6.4%
ORB %
26.8%
27.0%
MIA 31.8% +8.0%
NOK 23.8%
FTrt
36.3
33.9
MIA 31.6
NOK 39.0 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.7%
53.7%
MIA 55.9%
NOK 60.5% +4.6%
STL %
6.9%
8.3%
MIA 6.5%
NOK 11.1% +4.6%
BLK %
8.5%
6.5%
MIA 7.9% +0.4%
NOK 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.9%
50.0%
MIA 51.1%
NOK 56.9% +5.8%
Rim FG%
64.2%
53.8%
MIA 52.0%
NOK 59.1% +7.1%
Mid FG%
38.9%
39.6%
MIA 42.9% +1.4%
NOK 41.5%
3P %
34.5%
33.9%
MIA 39.1%
NOK 57.1% +18.0%
FT %
70.0%
75.8%
MIA 62.5%
NOK 76.7% +14.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.3%
36.9%
MIA 32.9% +4.3%
NOK 28.6%
Mid Att. %
38.0%
49.3%
MIA 36.8% +16.4%
NOK 53.2%
3P Att. %
22.7%
13.8%
MIA 30.3% +12.1%
NOK 18.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.
Game TotalsMIANOK
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes21.526.5
Points92107
Rebounds4640
Assists1923
Steals610
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (0)10 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)30 (3)
Field Goals34-7638-77
At-the-Rim FG13-2513-22
Midrange FG12-2817-41
2-Point FG25-5330-63
3-Point FG9-238-14
Free Throws15-2423-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 24
36.5
19
45%
10
10
0
0
8
3
1
9
5-9
56%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
31.4
9
56%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 29
30.7
6
60%
8
2
1
0
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
C · 7'1" 325 · 34
29.9
19
63%
9
0
1
1
2
4
6
3
1-4
25%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 30
28.1
15
68%
0
2
2
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-9
56%
G · 6'4" 190 · 37
27.2
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
21.4
5
36%
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 245 · 29
15.3
3
15%
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 36
14.1
2
50%
5
0
1
2
1
5
3
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 29
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
2.7
4
100%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
51%
46
19
6
5
17
0
14
32
15-24
63%
25-53
47%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.