Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	41%	94	86	96.6	89	79.1
	4	Suns	59%	96	91	100.0	91	104.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	39.5	19	59%	12	1	1	2	4	3	3	9	7-10	70%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	32.4	18	47%	4	6	1	0	6	6	1	3	0-0	-	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	31.5	0	0%	4	2	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	24.4	5	42%	5	0	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	14.9	1	13%	1	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	29.9	15	68%	11	0	2	1	0	2	4	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	27.4	19	63%	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	1	6-8	75%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.5	5	36%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.8	4	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	9.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
Beno Udrih #14 · G · 6'3" 205 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	47%	44	10	10	5	17	0	15	29	14-21	67%	27-61	44%	6-19	32%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	39.5	19	59%	12	1	1	2	4	3	3	9	7-10	70%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	32.4	18	47%	4	6	1	0	6	6	1	3	0-0	-	9-18	50%	0-1	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	31.5	0	0%	4	2	2	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	24.4	5	42%	5	0	1	1	0	1	1	4	0-1	0%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	14.9	1	13%	1	0	0	0	3	4	1	0	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	29.9	15	68%	11	0	2	1	0	2	4	7	0-0	-	3-4	75%	3-7	43%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	27.4	19	63%	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	1	6-8	75%	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	15.5	5	36%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.8	4	33%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	9.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	1	2	2	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	2.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DND - Left Ankle Sprain
Beno Udrih #14 · G · 6'3" 205 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	86	47%	44	10	10	5	17	0	15	29	14-21	67%	27-61	44%	6-19	32%

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4 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Raja Bell G · 6'5" 210 · 29	44.9	7	35%	3	0	4	0	2	2	0	3	3-6	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Shawn Marion F · 6'7" 228 · 28	42.7	20	56%	10	0	2	0	2	4	1	9	4-5	80%	8-14	57%	0-2	0%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 32	39.6	22	65%	3	10	2	0	6	2	0	3	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	2-2	100%
Kurt Thomas C · 6'9" 240 · 33	34.2	12	67%	7	1	1	1	1	5	1	6	4-4	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw F · 6'8" 250 · 24	33.4	18	64%	4	6	1	1	1	4	1	3	6-6	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-

James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25	29.9	10	63%	4	2	0	1	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Eddie House G · 6'1" 190 · 28	15.4	2	20%	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 23	\| DND - Left Knee Sprain
Pat Burke C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dijon Thompson G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Amar'e Stoudemire #32 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brian Grant #55 · F-C · 6'9" 254 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	53%	32	19	10	3	13	0	3	29	23-29	79%	31-62	50%	2-6	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	PHX
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	PHX

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

0.95 47.3%

PHX

1.06 52.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

9

16

56%

PHX

10

15

67%

Midrange

SAS

18

45

40%

PHX

21

47

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

PHX

2

3.0

6

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

14

21

67%

PHX

23

29

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	19	59%	9.5 / 16
M. Ginobili	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Parker	18	47%	9.0 / 19
R. Horry	15	68%	7.5 / 11
M. Finley	5	42%	2.5 / 6
N. Van Exel	5	36%	2.5 / 7
B. Barry	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Nesterovic	1	13%	0.5 / 4
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 4
N. Mohammed	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Nash	22	65%	11.0 / 17
S. Marion	20	56%	10.0 / 18
B. Diaw	18	64%	9.0 / 14
K. Thomas	12	67%	6.0 / 9
J. Jones	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Bell	7	35%	3.5 / 10
E. House	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 1 111.4	SAS 96.6 PHX 100.0 +3.4
Pace	23 88.8 1 96.0	SAS 79.1 PHX 104.6 +25.5
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 30 14.3	SAS 18.2 PHX 13.8 −4.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 1 53.7%	SAS 45.0% PHX 50.0% +5.0%
TO %	14 14.8% 2 13.1%	SAS 16.0% −0.5% PHX 16.5%
ORB %	20 26.0% 30 22.2%	SAS 34.1% +24.7% PHX 9.4%
FTrt	27 29.8 30 20.6	SAS 26.3 PHX 42.6 +16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 4 63.5%	SAS 30.3% PHX 57.6% +27.3%
STL %	21 7.4% 28 6.9%	SAS 11.2% +0.2% PHX 11.0%
BLK %	9 8.4% 16 7.2%	SAS 8.1% +3.2% PHX 4.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.37 and 3.37.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 1 55.3%	SAS 47.3% PHX 52.9% +5.6%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 2 63.2%	SAS 56.3% PHX 66.7% +10.4%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 1 43.9%	SAS 40.0% PHX 44.7% +4.7%
3P %	2 38.5% 1 39.9%	SAS 31.6% PHX 33.3% +1.7%
FT %	28 70.2% 1 80.6%	SAS 66.7% PHX 79.3% +12.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 30 26.5%	SAS 20.0% PHX 22.1% +2.1%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 15 44.3%	SAS 56.3% −12.9% PHX 69.1%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 1 29.3%	SAS 23.8% +14.9% PHX 8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.45 and 2.45.

Game Totals	SAS	PHX
Possessions	89	91
Possession Minutes	27.0	20.9
Points	86	91
Rebounds	44	32
Assists	10	19
Steals	10	10
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	13 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (1)	3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	29 (4)
Field Goals	33-80	33-68
At-the-Rim FG	9-16	10-15
Midrange FG	18-45	21-47
2-Point FG	27-61	31-62
3-Point FG	6-19	2-6
Free Throws	14-21	23-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg