Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Kings	43%	92	88	101.1	87	90.3
	22	Rockets	57%	94	80	93.0	86	82.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	43.4	19	48%	5	8	1	0	1	1	0	5	8-10	80%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	43.2	11	55%	11	3	0	1	1	3	3	8	5-5	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	28.8	3	30%	7	1	1	0	2	1	0	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 28	24.8	14	78%	8	1	0	0	3	4	1	7	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	18.4	5	36%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%

Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	28.8	5	50%	3	1	2	0	1	2	1	2	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	26.5	19	56%	3	0	0	2	2	2	1	2	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	26.1	12	86%	1	3	0	2	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	\| NWT - Stomach Virus
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Sampson F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bonzi Wells #42 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	53%	43	17	4	5	11	0	6	37	27-33	82%	23-51	45%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 28	43.4	19	48%	5	8	1	0	1	1	0	5	8-10	80%	4-10	40%	1-6	17%
Brad Miller C · 7'0" 261 · 30	43.2	11	55%	11	3	0	1	1	3	3	8	5-5	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 29	28.8	3	30%	7	1	1	0	2	1	0	7	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Kenny Thomas F · 6'7" 245 · 28	24.8	14	78%	8	1	0	0	3	4	1	7	0-0	-	7-9	78%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 23	18.4	5	36%	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%

Jason Hart G · 6'3" 180 · 28	28.8	5	50%	3	1	2	0	1	2	1	2	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Corliss Williamson F · 6'7" 245 · 32	26.5	19	56%	3	0	0	2	2	2	1	2	5-6	83%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Francisco Garcia G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24	26.1	12	86%	1	3	0	2	1	3	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Brian Skinner F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30	\| NWT - Stomach Virus
Shareef Abdur-Rahim F · 6'9" 245 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jamal Sampson F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bonzi Wells #42 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	53%	43	17	4	5	11	0	6	37	27-33	82%	23-51	45%	5-15	33%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 33	45.0	24	44%	15	0	0	0	3	3	6	9	6-11	55%	9-22	41%	0-0	-
David Wesley G · 6'1" 203 · 35	42.9	17	53%	2	3	0	0	3	5	1	1	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-3	33%
Rafer Alston G · 6'2" 175 · 29	40.9	15	42%	5	5	3	0	2	4	2	3	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	2-9	22%
Dikembe Mutombo C · 7'2" 260 · 40	33.9	8	67%	18	0	2	0	2	2	7	11	2-3	67%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 30	14.9	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%

Luther Head G · 6'3" 185 · 23	37.6	8	31%	4	2	1	0	3	3	0	4	0-1	0%	4-9	44%	0-4	0%
Lonny Baxter F · 6'8" 260 · 27	10.0	2	33%	4	0	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 23	8.8	2	33%	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Moochie Norris G · 6'1" 185 · 32	6.0	4	50%	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Tracy McGrady G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27	\| DND - Back Spasms
Stromile Swift F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26	\| DND - Severe Conjunctivitis/Corneal Abra
Jon Barry G · 6'5" 210 · 36	\| DND - Right Calf Strain
Bob Sura #3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Derek Anderson #8 · G · 6'5" 195 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Yao Ming #11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	43%	53	13	6	0	14	0	19	34	9-17	53%	31-66	47%	3-20	15%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU
Clock	Team	Event	SAC	HOU

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC

1.06 53.0%

HOU

0.85 42.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAC

9

13

69%

HOU

13

23

57%

Midrange

SAC

14

38

37%

HOU

18

43

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAC

5

7.5

15

33%

50%

HOU

3

4.5

20

15%

23%

Free Throws

SAC

27

33

82%

HOU

9

17

53%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Bibby	19	48%	9.5 / 20
C. Williamson	19	56%	9.5 / 17
K. Thomas	14	78%	7.0 / 9
F. Garcia	12	86%	6.0 / 7
B. Miller	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Martin	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Hart	5	50%	2.5 / 5
P. Stojakovic	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Howard	24	44%	12.0 / 27
D. Wesley	17	53%	8.5 / 16
R. Alston	15	42%	7.5 / 18
D. Mutombo	8	67%	4.0 / 6
L. Head	8	31%	4.0 / 13
M. Norris	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Baxter	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Lucas III	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 106.2 29 101.4	SAC 101.1 +8.1 HOU 93.0
Pace	9 92.4 26 88.2	SAC 90.3 +7.4 HOU 82.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.3 11 16.1	SAC 15.9 −1.4 HOU 17.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 49.2% 27 47.1%	SAC 46.2% +4.9% HOU 41.3%
TO %	17 15.0% 22 15.4%	SAC 12.0% −1.0% HOU 13.0%
ORB %	26 25.4% 24 25.5%	SAC 15.0% HOU 33.9% +18.9%
FTrt	16 33.4 22 31.7	SAC 50.0 +30.2 HOU 19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 61.8% 11 58.3%	SAC 60.7% +22.5% HOU 38.2%
STL %	13 8.0% 11 8.1%	SAC 4.6% HOU 7.0% +2.4%
BLK %	28 5.5% 23 6.6%	SAC 7.6% +7.6% HOU 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 52.9% 26 50.3%	SAC 53.0% +10.4% HOU 42.6%
Rim FG%	4 60.4% 22 56.1%	SAC 69.2% +12.7% HOU 56.5%
Mid FG%	14 40.0% 19 39.3%	SAC 36.8% HOU 41.9% +5.1%
3P %	16 35.1% 27 33.2%	SAC 33.3% +18.3% HOU 15.0%
FT %	5 78.4% 8 75.9%	SAC 81.8% +28.9% HOU 52.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 32.1% 25 32.1%	SAC 19.7% HOU 26.7% +7.0%
Mid Att. %	21 46.3% 18 45.3%	SAC 57.6% HOU 50.0% −7.6%
3P Att. %	14 21.7% 11 22.6%	SAC 22.7% HOU 23.3% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAC	HOU
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.9
Points	88	80
Rebounds	43	53
Assists	17	13
Steals	4	6
Blocks	5	0
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (0)	19 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (0)	34 (2)
Field Goals	28-66	34-86
At-the-Rim FG	9-13	13-23
Midrange FG	14-38	18-43
2-Point FG	23-51	31-66
3-Point FG	5-15	3-20
Free Throws	27-33	9-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg