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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Rockets51%9183
30Hawks49%9094
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 29.5
44.9
38.7
19
49%
0
5
0
2
0
2
0
0
2-5
40%
4-12
3-6
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 32.9
43.5
37.1
20
51%
6
1
1
1
0
5
1
5
4-6
67%
8-17
6-13
47%
47%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 35.2
41.3
36.8
10
47%
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
5-6
83%
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
1-4
25%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 39.6
32.9
23.8
14
83%
10
0
1
0
3
1
6
4
6-10
60%
4-4
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 30.2
17.2
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
44.8
35.2
16
70%
3
4
3
1
0
6
2
1
1-1
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
3-5
60%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 23.2
9.9
11.4
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lonny Baxter
F · 6'8" 260 · 27.0
5.6
17.1
2
100%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 26.7
13.0
0
3-6
48%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 26.2
11.3
0
2-4
49%
Jon Barry
G · 6'5" 210 · 36.5
4.2
0
0-0
46%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.5
2.9
0
0-1
41%
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 25.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.5
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.9
42.0
34.5
28
79%
5
2
0
1
0
4
0
5
4-4
100%
12-15
6-12
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.6
40.8
37.5
22
60%
4
10
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
7-13
5-12
54%
47%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.1
33.7
31.7
7
40%
11
0
0
1
3
4
6
5
1-4
25%
3-6
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.9
28.6
32.1
6
34%
7
2
1
1
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
45%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.1
14.5
11.8
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.6
27.2
22.5
10
63%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
27.2
14.2
11
43%
5
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
1-7
14%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.6
21.6
30.2
6
61%
1
3
2
1
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
1-2
50%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.5
4.3
4.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.7
14.6
0
2-4
47%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.4
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Tony Delk
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.0
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.