Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Bucks	15%	86	92	103.4	89	94.3
	1	Spurs	85%	99	95	106.7	89	84.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 26	39.4	26	62%	8	2	2	0	1	2	2	6	6-6	100%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 23	36.7	6	27%	4	5	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bogut F · 7'0" 260 · 21	31.8	13	54%	10	1	1	1	0	4	4	6	1-5	20%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 28	31.6	10	63%	9	1	0	2	5	6	2	7	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 26	25.4	2	20%	3	2	1	0	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 23	34.6	18	60%	2	2	3	0	4	3	0	2	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-2	50%
Toni Kukoc F · 6'11" 235 · 37	19.6	8	57%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Jiri Welsch F · 6'7" 208 · 26	13.7	7	70%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Dan Gadzuric C · 6'11" 240 · 28	7.1	2	100%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jermaine Jackson G · 6'5" 204 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 38	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reece Gaines G · 6'6" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charlie Bell #42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joe Smith #8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ersan Ilyasova #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	53%	39	17	7	4	13	0	9	30	14-18	78%	36-67	54%	2-9	22%

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23 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Redd G · 6'6" 215 · 26	39.4	26	62%	8	2	2	0	1	2	2	6	6-6	100%	10-17	59%	0-1	0%
T.J. Ford G · 6'0" 165 · 23	36.7	6	27%	4	5	0	0	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Andrew Bogut F · 7'0" 260 · 21	31.8	13	54%	10	1	1	1	0	4	4	6	1-5	20%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 28	31.6	10	63%	9	1	0	2	5	6	2	7	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Bobby Simmons F · 6'6" 235 · 26	25.4	2	20%	3	2	1	0	1	6	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%

Mo Williams G · 6'1" 198 · 23	34.6	18	60%	2	2	3	0	4	3	0	2	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-2	50%
Toni Kukoc F · 6'11" 235 · 37	19.6	8	57%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Jiri Welsch F · 6'7" 208 · 26	13.7	7	70%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Dan Gadzuric C · 6'11" 240 · 28	7.1	2	100%	2	1	0	1	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jermaine Jackson G · 6'5" 204 · 30	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ervin Johnson C · 6'11" 245 · 38	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Reece Gaines G · 6'6" 205 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charlie Bell #42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Joe Smith #8 · F-C · 6'10" 225 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ersan Ilyasova #23 · F · 6'9" 235 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	53%	39	17	7	4	13	0	9	30	14-18	78%	36-67	54%	2-9	22%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	39.4	27	56%	9	1	0	1	2	1	0	9	9-12	75%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	37.0	18	64%	6	7	1	1	4	1	1	5	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	33.6	16	50%	5	7	2	1	2	1	0	5	5-6	83%	4-8	50%	1-6	17%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	31.3	2	100%	3	2	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	18.8	0	0%	3	0	1	2	1	3	2	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	27.2	21	75%	2	1	1	0	1	3	0	2	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	4-8	50%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	23.5	2	33%	5	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	11.6	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	11.0	7	70%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	6.7	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	\| DND - lower abdominal strain
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	34	22	5	6	14	0	5	29	25-32	78%	26-53	49%	6-17	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

1.06 52.9%

SAS

1.10 55.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

23

29

79%

SAS

14

20

70%

Midrange

MIL

13

38

34%

SAS

12

33

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

2

3.0

9

22%

33%

SAS

6

9.0

17

35%

53%

Free Throws

MIL

14

18

78%

SAS

25

32

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Redd	26	62%	13.0 / 21
M. Williams	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Bogut	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. Magloire	10	63%	5.0 / 8
T. Kukoc	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Welsch	7	70%	3.5 / 5
T. Ford	6	27%	3.0 / 11
B. Simmons	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Gadzuric	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	27	56%	13.5 / 24
M. Finley	21	75%	10.5 / 14
T. Parker	18	64%	9.0 / 14
M. Ginobili	16	50%	8.0 / 16
N. Van Exel	7	70%	3.5 / 5
B. Bowen	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Mohammed	2	33%	1.0 / 3
B. Barry	2	33%	1.0 / 3
R. Nesterovic	0	-	0.0 / 2
F. Oberto	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 105.9 10 107.1	MIL 103.4 SAS 106.7 +3.4
Pace	14 91.6 23 88.8	MIL 94.3 +10.0 SAS 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.6 4 16.9	MIL 15.3 −1.8 SAS 17.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 49.2% 3 51.3%	MIL 51.3% +1.3% SAS 50.0%
TO %	20 15.2% 14 14.8%	MIL 14.3% SAS 14.3%
ORB %	11 27.3% 20 26.0%	MIL 23.7% +9.4% SAS 14.3%
FTrt	20 32.2 27 29.8	MIL 23.7 SAS 45.7 +22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 59.4% 17 57.4%	MIL 44.7% SAS 68.8% +24.1%
STL %	14 7.9% 21 7.4%	MIL 7.9% +2.3% SAS 5.6%
BLK %	29 5.4% 9 8.4%	MIL 7.5% SAS 9.0% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 52.0% 7 53.1%	MIL 52.9% SAS 55.2% +2.3%
Rim FG%	27 54.9% 3 61.7%	MIL 79.3% +9.3% SAS 70.0%
Mid FG%	16 39.6% 21 39.0%	MIL 34.2% SAS 36.4% +2.2%
3P %	4 38.0% 2 38.5%	MIL 22.2% SAS 35.3% +13.1%
FT %	18 73.8% 28 70.2%	MIL 77.8% SAS 78.1% +0.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 39.7% 14 36.7%	MIL 38.2% +9.6% SAS 28.6%
Mid Att. %	5 40.0% 9 41.8%	MIL 50.0% SAS 47.1% −2.9%
3P Att. %	18 20.3% 15 21.5%	MIL 11.8% SAS 24.3% +12.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIL	SAS
Possessions	89	89
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	92	95
Rebounds	39	34
Assists	17	22
Steals	7	5
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (2)	5 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	29 (0)
Field Goals	38-76	32-70
At-the-Rim FG	23-29	14-20
Midrange FG	13-38	12-33
2-Point FG	36-67	26-53
3-Point FG	2-9	6-17
Free Throws	14-18	25-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg