Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	46%	93	101	108.6	93	89.0
	4	Heat	54%	94	94	98.9	95	99.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	38.9	38	79%	4	5	2	0	3	1	1	3	10-13	77%	11-16	69%	2-2	100%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	38.5	14	44%	11	1	0	0	3	4	2	9	4-12	33%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	32.3	10	42%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	26.0	6	60%	5	0	2	3	0	6	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	19.9	8	67%	1	5	1	1	2	2	0	1	3-7	43%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	28.1	5	28%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	18.1	4	40%	4	0	0	1	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	13.1	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.1	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	7.0	3	38%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Horry #5 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	38	15	6	7	14	0	7	31	25-43	58%	26-51	51%	8-18	44%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	38.9	38	79%	4	5	2	0	3	1	1	3	10-13	77%	11-16	69%	2-2	100%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	38.5	14	44%	11	1	0	0	3	4	2	9	4-12	33%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	32.3	10	42%	2	2	1	0	1	1	1	1	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	26.0	6	60%	5	0	2	3	0	6	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 28	19.9	8	67%	1	5	1	1	2	2	0	1	3-7	43%	1-2	50%	1-1	100%

Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	28.1	5	28%	3	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	3-3	100%	1-4	25%	0-4	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	18.1	4	40%	4	0	0	1	2	3	2	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	13.1	6	75%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	12.1	7	88%	4	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	7.0	3	38%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	6.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Horry #5 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	56%	38	15	6	7	14	0	7	31	25-43	58%	26-51	51%	8-18	44%

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4 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 24	41.5	36	55%	4	1	3	0	5	3	2	2	7-8	88%	13-27	48%	1-2	50%
Jason Williams G · 6'1" 180 · 30	39.5	18	82%	3	3	1	0	4	4	0	3	1-2	50%	7-8	88%	1-3	33%
James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 29	39.1	0	0%	7	1	0	0	1	3	0	7	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Shaquille O'Neal C · 7'1" 325 · 34	30.8	23	64%	6	1	0	3	3	6	1	5	5-11	45%	9-14	64%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 26	19.1	2	17%	4	3	0	0	1	4	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-1	0%

Antoine Walker F · 6'9" 245 · 29	29.0	12	60%	7	1	0	0	1	3	1	6	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	1-4	25%
Gary Payton G · 6'4" 190 · 37	23.9	1	13%	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Alonzo Mourning C · 6'10" 261 · 36	17.1	2	25%	6	1	1	1	0	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Wayne Simien F · 6'9" 250 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Kapono F · 6'8" 215 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dorell Wright F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Michael Doleac C · 6'11" 262 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shandon Anderson #49 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Earl Barron #30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gerald Fitch #4 · G · 6'3" 188 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	94	52%	37	11	6	4	15	0	7	30	15-25	60%	35-67	52%	3-11	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.12 56.1%

MIA

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

11

20

55%

MIA

21

32

66%

Midrange

SAS

15

31

48%

MIA

14

35

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

18

44%

67%

MIA

3

4.5

11

27%

41%

Free Throws

SAS

25

43

58%

MIA

15

25

60%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	38	79%	19.0 / 24
T. Duncan	14	44%	7.0 / 16
B. Bowen	10	42%	5.0 / 12
M. Ginobili	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Barry	7	88%	3.5 / 4
R. Nesterovic	6	60%	3.0 / 5
N. Van Exel	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Finley	5	28%	2.5 / 9
F. Oberto	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Marks	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	36	55%	18.0 / 33
S. O'Neal	23	64%	11.5 / 18
J. Williams	18	82%	9.0 / 11
A. Walker	12	60%	6.0 / 10
U. Haslem	2	17%	1.0 / 6
A. Mourning	2	25%	1.0 / 4
G. Payton	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. Posey	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 107.1 8 108.0	SAS 108.6 +9.7 MIA 98.9
Pace	23 88.8 10 92.2	SAS 89.0 MIA 99.4 +10.4
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.9 13 15.9	SAS 16.2 MIA 14.5 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.3% 2 51.7%	SAS 55.1% +4.5% MIA 50.6%
TO %	14 14.8% 16 15.0%	SAS 13.7% −0.7% MIA 14.4%
ORB %	20 26.0% 17 26.7%	SAS 18.9% +0.5% MIA 18.4%
FTrt	27 29.8 6 36.3	SAS 62.3 +30.2 MIA 32.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.4% 19 55.7%	SAS 44.1% +15.2% MIA 28.9%
STL %	21 7.4% 29 6.9%	SAS 6.5% +0.2% MIA 6.3%
BLK %	9 8.4% 8 8.5%	SAS 10.4% +2.6% MIA 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.1% 2 53.9%	SAS 56.1% +4.5% MIA 51.6%
Rim FG%	3 61.7% 1 64.2%	SAS 55.0% MIA 65.6% +10.6%
Mid FG%	21 39.0% 22 38.9%	SAS 48.4% +8.4% MIA 40.0%
3P %	2 38.5% 20 34.5%	SAS 44.4% +17.1% MIA 27.3%
FT %	28 70.2% 29 70.0%	SAS 58.1% MIA 60.0% +1.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.7% 6 39.3%	SAS 29.0% MIA 41.0% +12.0%
Mid Att. %	9 41.8% 4 38.0%	SAS 44.9% MIA 44.9% −0.1%
3P Att. %	15 21.5% 10 22.7%	SAS 26.1% +12.0% MIA 14.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.67 and 2.67.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	93	95
Possession Minutes	25.1	22.9
Points	101	94
Rebounds	38	37
Assists	15	11
Steals	6	6
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (3)	7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (3)	30 (2)
Field Goals	34-69	38-78
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	21-32
Midrange FG	15-31	14-35
2-Point FG	26-51	35-67
3-Point FG	8-18	3-11
Free Throws	25-43	15-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg