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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 20, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Cavaliers45%9979
15Warriors55%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.1
35.2
40.5
14
28%
9
6
0
2
0
6
1
8
4-6
67%
5-19
9-17
26%
51%
0-3
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
33.6
31.3
4
23%
5
5
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
2-8
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.6
25.8
33.6
13
45%
11
1
0
1
0
4
7
4
1-1
100%
6-14
7-13
43%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.3
22.4
26.5
16
90%
10
1
2
1
0
3
4
6
2-2
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
51%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.0
10.3
13.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.4
31.8
29.1
7
44%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
1-6
17%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.2
22.6
9.5
6
43%
4
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.7
22.0
23.9
8
58%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
12.0
20.1
6
61%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
10.1
6.4
0
0%
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 26.7
7.9
10.8
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
6.3
7.0
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Zendon Hamilton
F-C · 6'11" 254 · 30.7
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 19.9
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 31.4
42.3
25.6
17
54%
5
9
6
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
5-11
2-5
45%
42%
2-4
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 25.3
41.8
37.5
22
66%
6
4
3
1
0
2
1
5
4-6
67%
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.0
39.1
36.9
22
55%
5
5
3
1
0
4
1
4
5-7
71%
4-14
6-12
29%
49%
3-3
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 25.7
37.8
30.0
16
69%
11
3
0
1
1
0
1
10
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
45%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.9
26.2
22.0
2
23%
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
5
0-1
0%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
24.9
16.5
11
41%
4
1
1
1
0
2
3
1
2-8
25%
3-7
2-3
43%
51%
1-3
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 19.8
13.2
6.7
4
67%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
56%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
11.4
15.5
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 24.7
1.7
9.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 20.2
1.7
4.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 26.8
36.5
2
5-10
45%
Chris Taft
F · 6'10" 261 · 20.9
2.1
0
0-1
52%
Calbert Cheaney
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 34.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.