Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Nuggets	37%	90	89	96.7	92	96.1
	7	Spurs	63%	94	85	91.4	93	89.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	41.5	15	50%	7	10	5	1	3	1	1	6	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	38.3	20	38%	8	1	1	1	2	1	3	5	12-15	80%	4-18	22%	0-1	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	36.3	13	65%	6	0	2	0	2	4	1	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	32.9	12	50%	7	0	2	1	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	21.8	8	57%	1	3	2	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 30	26.2	2	50%	6	1	0	0	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 30	24.7	19	73%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	3-4	75%
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	18.2	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Camby #23 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	39	20	13	4	11	0	7	32	16-22	73%	32-68	47%	3-9	33%

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12 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 30	41.5	15	50%	7	10	5	1	3	1	1	6	3-4	75%	6-13	46%	0-0	-
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 22	38.3	20	38%	8	1	1	1	2	1	3	5	12-15	80%	4-18	22%	0-1	0%
Francisco Elson C · 7'0" 240 · 30	36.3	13	65%	6	0	2	0	2	4	1	5	1-2	50%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 28	32.9	12	50%	7	0	2	1	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 27	21.8	8	57%	1	3	2	0	2	3	0	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-2	0%

Eduardo Najera F · 6'8" 235 · 30	26.2	2	50%	6	1	0	0	1	5	1	5	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Earl Boykins G · 5'5" 133 · 30	24.7	19	73%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-1	0%	5-9	56%	3-4	75%
Greg Buckner G · 6'4" 210 · 29	18.2	0	0%	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DerMarr Johnson F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Voshon Lenard G · 6'4" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julius Hodge G · 6'7" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Marcus Camby #23 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bryon Russell #9 · G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #31 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	48%	39	20	13	4	11	0	7	32	16-22	73%	32-68	47%	3-9	33%

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7 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	38.4	14	50%	13	4	1	1	6	3	2	11	4-7	57%	5-11	45%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	37.8	13	43%	2	7	1	0	3	0	0	2	5-8	63%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	32.1	3	25%	7	3	1	0	1	1	1	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	28.8	12	50%	1	3	1	0	4	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	2-9	22%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	15.8	2	50%	2	1	1	1	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	30.1	17	65%	12	1	0	0	1	3	4	8	7-9	78%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	26.6	7	35%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	19.3	9	56%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-4	25%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	11.3	8	80%	3	0	1	0	0	3	2	1	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Melvin Sanders G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Robert Horry #5 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	49%	44	21	6	2	17	0	9	35	21-29	72%	26-49	53%	4-23	17%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.97 48.4%

SAS

0.98 48.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

15

28

54%

SAS

13

21

62%

Midrange

DEN

17

40

43%

SAS

13

28

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

3

4.5

9

33%

50%

SAS

4

6.0

23

17%

26%

Free Throws

DEN

16

22

73%

SAS

21

29

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	20	38%	10.0 / 26
E. Boykins	19	73%	9.5 / 13
A. Miller	15	50%	7.5 / 15
F. Elson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
K. Martin	12	50%	6.0 / 12
E. Watson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
E. Najera	2	50%	1.0 / 2
G. Buckner	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Mohammed	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Duncan	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Parker	13	43%	6.5 / 15
B. Barry	12	50%	6.0 / 12
N. Van Exel	9	56%	4.5 / 8
F. Oberto	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Finley	7	35%	3.5 / 10
B. Bowen	3	25%	1.5 / 6
R. Nesterovic	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 105.6 10 107.1	DEN 96.7 +5.3 SAS 91.4
Pace	2 93.9 23 88.8	DEN 96.1 +6.4 SAS 89.7
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.7 4 16.9	DEN 15.0 −1.1 SAS 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 48.8% 3 51.3%	DEN 47.4% +3.0% SAS 44.4%
TO %	19 15.1% 14 14.8%	DEN 13.9% −2.8% SAS 16.7%
ORB %	16 26.8% 20 26.0%	DEN 16.7% SAS 22.0% +5.3%
FTrt	10 34.7 27 29.8	DEN 28.6 SAS 40.3 +11.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.4% 17 57.4%	DEN 57.1% SAS 70.0% +12.9%
STL %	2 8.9% 21 7.4%	DEN 14.1% +7.6% SAS 6.5%
BLK %	7 8.8% 9 8.4%	DEN 8.2% +5.3% SAS 2.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.3% 7 53.1%	DEN 48.4% SAS 48.9% +0.5%
Rim FG%	5 59.2% 3 61.7%	DEN 53.6% SAS 61.9% +8.3%
Mid FG%	15 39.7% 21 39.0%	DEN 42.5% SAS 46.4% +3.9%
3P %	30 32.5% 2 38.5%	DEN 33.3% +15.9% SAS 17.4%
FT %	16 74.4% 28 70.2%	DEN 72.7% +0.3% SAS 72.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 38.8% 14 36.7%	DEN 36.4% +7.2% SAS 29.2%
Mid Att. %	17 45.1% 9 41.8%	DEN 51.9% SAS 38.9% −13.1%
3P Att. %	23 16.1% 15 21.5%	DEN 11.7% SAS 31.9% +20.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	SAS
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	23.0	24.9
Points	89	85
Rebounds	39	44
Assists	20	21
Steals	13	6
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	11 (3)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	35 (1)
Field Goals	35-77	30-72
At-the-Rim FG	15-28	13-21
Midrange FG	17-40	13-28
2-Point FG	32-68	26-49
3-Point FG	3-9	4-23
Free Throws	16-22	21-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg