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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 22, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Grizzlies51%9393
11Wizards49%9282
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
37.0
26.6
11
47%
6
2
0
1
1
0
3
3
3-4
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.9
36.4
35.3
8
31%
6
9
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
47%
2-8
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.4
28.4
30.8
5
53%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.5
27.0
40.6
13
55%
4
4
0
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-10
7-15
50%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.3
26.4
34.2
13
57%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 25.9
36.0
31.7
30
75%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
8-12
3-6
67%
52%
4-7
57%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.5
15.6
8.0
9
58%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
13.3
5.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 25.9
11.6
13.0
2
100%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.1
6.7
11.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.3
1.7
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.4
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
47.0
41.3
24
49%
8
8
3
2
0
1
1
7
6-8
75%
6-14
6-13
43%
47%
2-7
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
44.3
37.4
25
63%
10
2
0
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
8-16
6-13
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 25.9
37.7
39.0
16
55%
4
1
2
2
0
2
1
3
6-6
100%
5-12
6-14
42%
45%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.2
28.6
30.0
3
31%
5
5
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.2
26.9
26.7
4
26%
10
0
0
1
3
2
5
5
2-6
33%
1-5
3-6
20%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.8
34.1
26.0
8
41%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.0
13.3
15.0
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
5.2
5.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.5
2.9
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.4
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 28.8
1.4
0
0-0
46%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.7
0.3
0
0-0
44%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.5
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.