Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Hawks	28%	94	99	108.8	91	88.2
	10	Magic	72%	102	85	93.4	91	93.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maurice Evans F · 6'5" 220 · 30	41.9	8	36%	8	1	1	0	4	1	3	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	39.6	17	61%	10	1	4	5	0	3	2	8	4-7	57%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 27	35.4	25	60%	7	2	1	0	4	3	3	4	1-2	50%	9-15	60%	2-5	40%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 30	33.7	12	38%	3	4	2	0	3	2	0	3	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-6	0%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 22	29.3	10	50%	9	4	1	1	2	5	4	5	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	22.8	14	54%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-7	57%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	15.8	4	40%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	11.5	8	57%	8	1	0	0	0	5	6	2	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24	7.2	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 24	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 22	\| NWT - Suspended
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	49%	53	17	10	7	14	0	18	35	18-31	58%	33-66	50%	5-20	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Maurice Evans F · 6'5" 220 · 30	41.9	8	36%	8	1	1	0	4	1	3	5	0-0	-	1-6	17%	2-5	40%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	39.6	17	61%	10	1	4	5	0	3	2	8	4-7	57%	5-9	56%	1-2	50%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 27	35.4	25	60%	7	2	1	0	4	3	3	4	1-2	50%	9-15	60%	2-5	40%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 30	33.7	12	38%	3	4	2	0	3	2	0	3	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	0-6	0%
Al Horford C · 6'8" 240 · 22	29.3	10	50%	9	4	1	1	2	5	4	5	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	22.8	14	54%	3	2	1	0	1	2	0	3	4-7	57%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	15.8	4	40%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	11.5	8	57%	8	1	0	0	0	5	6	2	0-2	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 24	7.2	1	50%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 24	2.8	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 22	\| NWT - Suspended
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter #50 · · 6'8" 225 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	49%	53	17	10	7	14	0	18	35	18-31	58%	33-66	50%	5-20	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 23	39.5	22	61%	15	1	5	5	4	5	7	8	6-13	46%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Hedo Turkoglu F · 6'10" 220 · 30	39.3	13	36%	8	1	2	0	2	2	2	6	2-2	100%	4-12	33%	1-5	20%
Mickael Pietrus G · 6'6" 215 · 27	35.3	20	56%	3	1	0	1	1	2	2	1	4-4	100%	5-9	56%	2-7	29%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 27	32.4	8	33%	5	2	0	0	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-4	0%
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 29	29.3	11	46%	5	1	2	1	2	6	3	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-5	20%

JJ Redick G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24	18.9	2	20%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Anthony Johnson G · 6'3" 195 · 34	15.6	6	43%	1	3	0	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Keith Bogans G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28	13.4	2	50%	3	1	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Tony Battie C · 6'11" 240 · 33	10.5	1	13%	2	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1-4	25%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 25	5.8	0	0%	2	0	0	3	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Cook C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Richardson #32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Wilks #29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Adonal Foyle #31 · C · 6'10" 270 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	43%	45	10	9	11	15	0	17	28	17-27	63%	28-62	45%	4-25	16%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.98 49.0%

ORL

0.86 42.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

14

26

54%

ORL

23

37

62%

Midrange

ATL

19

40

48%

ORL

5

25

20%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

5

7.5

20

25%

38%

ORL

4

6.0

25

16%

24%

Free Throws

ATL

18

31

58%

ORL

17

27

63%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	25	60%	12.5 / 21
J. Smith	17	61%	8.5 / 14
R. Murray	14	54%	7.0 / 13
M. Bibby	12	38%	6.0 / 16
A. Horford	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Evans	8	36%	4.0 / 11
Z. Pachulia	8	57%	4.0 / 7
A. Law	4	40%	2.0 / 5
S. Jones	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Howard	22	61%	11.0 / 18
M. Pietrus	20	56%	10.0 / 18
H. Turkoglu	13	36%	6.5 / 18
R. Lewis	11	46%	5.5 / 12
J. Nelson	8	33%	4.0 / 12
A. Johnson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Redick	2	20%	1.0 / 5
K. Bogans	2	50%	1.0 / 2
T. Battie	1	13%	0.5 / 4
M. Gortat	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 109.2 11 109.0	ATL 108.8 +15.4 ORL 93.4
Pace	24 89.8 13 92.5	ATL 88.2 ORL 93.9 +5.7
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.9 18 15.5	ATL 16.3 ORL 15.3 −1.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 50.4% 3 52.0%	ATL 47.1% +8.0% ORL 39.1%
TO %	7 13.6% 15 14.6%	ATL 13.1% −0.1% ORL 13.2%
ORB %	19 26.0% 29 24.0%	ATL 39.1% +6.4% ORL 32.7%
FTrt	9 32.3 3 35.1	ATL 36.0 +5.0 ORL 31.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 56.1% 27 54.4%	ATL 44.7% +13.4% ORL 31.3%
STL %	9 8.2% 20 7.5%	ATL 11.0% +1.1% ORL 9.9%
BLK %	21 7.4% 13 8.0%	ATL 11.3% ORL 16.7% +5.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 53.2% 4 54.4%	ATL 49.0% +6.1% ORL 42.9%
Rim FG%	5 60.5% 4 60.9%	ATL 53.8% ORL 62.2% +8.4%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 23 39.3%	ATL 47.5% +27.5% ORL 20.0%
3P %	16 36.6% 7 38.1%	ATL 25.0% +9.0% ORL 16.0%
FT %	28 73.8% 30 71.5%	ATL 58.1% ORL 63.0% +4.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.2% 23 31.3%	ATL 30.2% ORL 42.5% +12.3%
Mid Att. %	14 42.4% 2 35.2%	ATL 46.5% ORL 28.7% −17.8%
3P Att. %	6 25.3% 1 33.5%	ATL 23.3% ORL 28.7% +5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	91	91
Possession Minutes	24.8	23.3
Points	99	85
Rebounds	53	45
Assists	17	10
Steals	10	9
Blocks	7	11
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (6)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (2)	28 (2)
Field Goals	38-86	32-87
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	23-37
Midrange FG	19-40	5-25
2-Point FG	33-66	28-62
3-Point FG	5-20	4-25
Free Throws	18-31	17-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg