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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets41%9495
18Wizards59%9685
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.8
34.0
34.5
21
57%
3
6
0
1
1
3
1
2
3-3
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
46%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.7
31.4
29.7
13
55%
5
5
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.0
31.3
20.5
17
72%
6
2
1
1
2
0
1
5
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
43%
2-2
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
22.8
24.8
4
100%
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.4
18.6
16.7
5
31%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-5
20%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.2
31.4
14.6
14
78%
5
2
3
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
2-3
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.6
25.2
18.3
8
43%
8
1
1
1
2
0
1
7
2-3
67%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.5
16.7
17.1
8
37%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
14.7
16.0
5
64%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.8
13.9
13.6
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
19.4
0
2-4
50%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.7
7.2
0
1-2
41%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.7
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.9
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.6
40.9
33.8
13
42%
11
5
0
2
0
4
3
8
7-10
70%
3-10
4-9
30%
48%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.4
37.6
32.9
14
38%
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
1-8
13%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.6
33.4
27.7
14
52%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
4-8
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.6
28.1
22.1
8
72%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-8
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
18.8
14.3
10
65%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
4-6
67%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.2
25.1
21.5
13
47%
6
0
0
1
1
5
2
4
1-2
50%
6-12
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.4
17.8
15.5
10
56%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 20.8
8.8
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.2
8.5
3.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.1
8.2
10.5
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.7
7.0
15.6
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
5.8
15.8
1
27%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.9
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.9
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.