FinalWin Prob.pScore
2320%88
94
380%98
100
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
97.996105.0
DET logo DET
103.19790.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET94
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDMISS Jack 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)94
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)94
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0INDMurphy 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)94
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)92
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 0:26.0DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0INDJack Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)89
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)87
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 1:01INDDaniels Traveling Turnover (P4.T22)87
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 1:15DETPrince 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)87
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 1:35INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)87
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 1:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 1:45DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 285
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 1:45DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)85
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 1:45DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 1:46DETMISS Wallace Layup85
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q4 - 2:09INDDaniels Layup (12 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)85
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 2:33DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)83
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q4 - 2:50INDGranger Driving Layup (28 PTS)83
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 3:07DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)81
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q4 - 3:13INDMISS Jack Layup81
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 3:19INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)81
8.0%
86
92.0%
Q4 - 3:20DETMISS Hamilton 17' Turnaround Jump Shot81
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 3:45INDHamilton STEAL (1 STL)81
6.5%
86
93.5%
Q4 - 3:57INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot81
8.3%
86
91.7%
Q4 - 4:17INDDaniels 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
6.2%
86
93.8%
Q4 - 4:27DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 4:42INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)79
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q4 - 4:42INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
2.8%
86
97.2%
Q4 - 5:04DETWallace Putback Dunk (8 PTS)77
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q4 - 5:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 5:07DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 5:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 5:22INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 277
4.4%
84
95.6%
Q4 - 5:22INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 277
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 5:32INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot77
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q4 - 5:55INDFord Foul Turnover (P4.T20)77
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 6:00DETWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)77
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:19DETPISTONS Rebound77
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 6:20INDMISS Granger 15' Jump Shot77
5.5%
84
94.5%
Q4 - 6:33DETHerrmann Layup (10 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)77
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 6:37INDWallace STEAL (2 STL)77
8.8%
82
91.2%
Q4 - 6:46INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)77
11.7%
82
88.3%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot77
10.7%
82
89.3%
Q4 - 7:02DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
9.3%
82
90.7%
Q4 - 7:02INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 277
9.6%
82
90.4%
Q4 - 7:02INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)77
11.4%
82
88.6%
Q4 - 7:04INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)76
9.5%
82
90.5%
Q4 - 7:05DETMISS Stuckey Layup76
8.7%
82
91.3%
Q4 - 7:19INDFord Layup (10 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)76
7.2%
82
92.8%
Q4 - 7:27DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)74
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q4 - 7:46INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)74
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q4 - 7:46INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)73
3.9%
82
96.1%
Q4 - 7:56INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 7:58DETMISS Herrmann 13' Jump Shot72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:22DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 8:23INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 272
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 8:23INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)72
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 8:40DETStuckey Layup (8 PTS)71
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 8:42DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 8:44DETMISS Maxiell Layup71
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 8:45DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 8:47DETMISS Stuckey Layup71
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 9:12INDMurphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)71
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q4 - 9:21DETAfflalo Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)68
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 9:34INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)68
2.2%
80
97.8%
Q4 - 9:59DETStuckey Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T10)68
2.7%
80
97.3%
Q4 - 10:08INDAfflalo STEAL (3 STL)68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 10:25DETMaxiell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)68
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 10:36INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)68
2.5%
80
97.5%
Q4 - 10:36INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)67
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 10:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)66
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q4 - 10:44DETMISS Stuckey Layup66
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 11:03INDGranger 8' Jump Bank Shot (23 PTS)66
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 11:16DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)64
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q4 - 11:26INDAfflalo STEAL (2 STL)64
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 11:41DETWallace 13' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND64
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)64
4.2%
75
95.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0DETPISTONS Rebound64
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 0:05.0INDBillups BLOCK (1 BLK)64
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETMISS Johnson 10' Hook Shot64
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0INDDaniels Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
6.9%
72
93.1%
Q3 - 1:15DETPrince 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)62
5.8%
72
94.2%
Q3 - 1:20DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 1:24INDMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)62
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 1:41DETPrince Dunk (12 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)62
10.0%
69
90.0%
Q3 - 1:44DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 1:45INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.8%
67
87.2%
Q3 - 1:55INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)62
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 1:56DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
13.6%
67
86.4%
Q3 - 2:14INDJack 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 2:26DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Prince 3 AST)60
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 2:42INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)60
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 2:49INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
14.3%
65
85.7%
Q3 - 2:50DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot60
13.6%
65
86.4%
Q3 - 3:04DETPISTONS Rebound60
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 3:04DETMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot60
13.5%
65
86.5%
Q3 - 3:17DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
12.0%
65
88.0%
Q3 - 3:19INDJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)60
12.7%
65
87.3%
Q3 - 3:28DETMcDyess Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)60
14.2%
65
85.8%
Q3 - 3:54INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)60
16.4%
63
83.6%
Q3 - 4:01INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 4:02DETMISS Prince Driving Layup58
13.7%
63
86.3%
Q3 - 4:10DETBillups Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)58
12.1%
63
87.9%
Q3 - 4:20INDBillups STEAL (2 STL)58
14.1%
62
85.9%
Q3 - 4:27DETPrince 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)58
16.7%
62
83.3%
Q3 - 4:42INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)58
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 4:42INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)57
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 4:54DETHamilton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T8)56
16.7%
60
83.3%
Q3 - 5:09INDGranger Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)56
14.1%
60
85.9%
Q3 - 5:21DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P4.T7)54
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 5:41INDFord Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 5:58DETJohnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)52
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q3 - 6:14INDGranger Foul Turnover (P3.T13)52
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 6:18INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q3 - 6:19DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot52
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 6:36DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 6:37DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot52
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q3 - 6:55INDNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)52
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q3 - 7:15DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)50
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q3 - 7:33INDFord 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q3 - 7:40INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
9.4%
56
90.6%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 7:58INDBillups STEAL (1 STL)48
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 8:24DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)48
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 8:30DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
10.8%
54
89.2%
Q3 - 8:32INDJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)48
11.2%
54
88.8%
Q3 - 8:47DETJohnson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)48
12.4%
54
87.6%
Q3 - 9:12INDGranger Dunk (15 PTS) (Nesterovic 2 AST)48
14.0%
52
86.0%
Q3 - 9:35INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q3 - 9:36DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q3 - 9:54INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)46
10.8%
52
89.2%
Q3 - 9:54INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)45
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 10:18DETJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)44
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q3 - 10:47INDMurphy Layup (7 PTS)44
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q3 - 10:58DETJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)42
9.6%
50
90.4%
Q3 - 11:13INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q3 - 11:13INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
8.2%
50
91.8%
Q3 - 11:24INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q3 - 11:25DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
7.2%
50
92.8%
Q3 - 11:42DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q3 - 11:47INDMISS Granger 3PT Jump Shot40
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)40
6.8%
50
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
7.5%
50
92.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
7.9%
49
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)40
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 10' Hook Shot40
9.3%
48
90.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
8.8%
48
91.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0INDMISS Jack 17' Jump Shot40
9.1%
48
90.9%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)40
9.7%
48
90.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 240
9.8%
47
90.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0DETPISTONS Rebound40
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot40
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 1:11DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
10.9%
47
89.1%
Q2 - 1:17DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 1:17DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot40
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 1:33DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 1:34INDMISS Rush 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
13.0%
45
87.0%
Q2 - 1:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)40
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot40
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 1:48INDWallace STEAL (1 STL)40
12.7%
45
87.3%
Q2 - 1:57DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)40
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 2:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
12.3%
45
87.7%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot40
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 2:18INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 2:19DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot40
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 2:33DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 2:34INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot40
12.8%
45
87.2%
Q2 - 2:45DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)40
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q2 - 2:45DETPISTONS Rebound40
12.4%
45
87.6%
Q2 - 2:46DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot40
13.4%
45
86.6%
Q2 - 3:12INDGranger Tip Shot (11 PTS)40
12.2%
45
87.8%
Q2 - 3:13INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 3:14INDMISS Jack Layup38
10.1%
45
89.9%
Q2 - 3:19DETHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)38
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 3:36INDRush Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)38
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 3:42DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)38
11.1%
45
88.9%
Q2 - 3:48DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
9.7%
45
90.3%
Q2 - 3:49DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot38
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 4:14INDRush Layup (7 PTS)38
9.8%
45
90.2%
Q2 - 4:24DETMaxiell Layup (2 PTS)36
8.8%
45
91.2%
Q2 - 4:45INDRush Driving Layup (5 PTS)36
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 5:01DETBillups 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 5:18INDJack Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)34
9.9%
41
90.1%
Q2 - 5:33DETHerrmann Layup (8 PTS)32
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 5:35DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 5:36DETMISS Herrmann 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 5:51DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 5:52INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot32
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 6:05DETAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)32
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q2 - 6:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
13.6%
36
86.4%
Q2 - 6:14INDMISS Daniels Tip Shot32
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 6:15INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 6:16INDMISS Nesterovic 20' Jump Shot32
14.1%
36
85.9%
Q2 - 6:39DETAfflalo Layup (2 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)32
15.3%
36
84.7%
Q2 - 6:42INDAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)32
16.6%
34
83.4%
Q2 - 6:44INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 6:45INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot32
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 6:50INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 6:51INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
17.1%
34
82.9%
Q2 - 6:58INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
18.5%
34
81.5%
Q2 - 6:59DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot32
17.9%
34
82.1%
Q2 - 7:18INDNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)32
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 7:24INDPacers Rebound30
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 7:24INDMISS Ford Layup30
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 7:28INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)30
14.9%
34
85.1%
Q2 - 7:29DETMISS Afflalo Layup30
14.5%
34
85.5%
Q2 - 7:39DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
13.5%
34
86.5%
Q2 - 7:49INDMISS Granger 11' Jump Shot30
13.9%
34
86.1%
Q2 - 7:49DETHerrmann 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)30
15.0%
34
85.0%
Q2 - 8:07INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
17.9%
31
82.1%
Q2 - 8:07INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
17.7%
31
82.3%
Q2 - 8:07INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
16.4%
31
83.6%
Q2 - 8:08DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot28
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 8:16DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:17INDMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)28
15.4%
31
84.6%
Q2 - 8:26INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 8:28DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot28
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 8:39INDGranger Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 8:50INDPacers Rebound28
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q2 - 8:50DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot28
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 9:14INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 9:14INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
14.6%
31
85.4%
Q2 - 9:23DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)26
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q2 - 9:35INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)26
14.8%
29
85.2%
Q2 - 9:40DETHerrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)26
16.2%
29
83.8%
Q2 - 9:54INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)26
19.3%
26
80.7%
Q2 - 9:54INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
19.0%
26
81.0%
Q2 - 10:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
17.8%
26
82.2%
Q2 - 10:08DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot24
17.3%
26
82.7%
Q2 - 10:30INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)24
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q2 - 10:41INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q2 - 10:42DETMISS Maxiell 15' Turnaround Jump Shot22
14.5%
26
85.5%
Q2 - 11:02INDRush Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)22
13.8%
26
86.2%
Q2 - 11:05INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
11.6%
26
88.4%
Q2 - 11:06DETMISS Stuckey 18' Jump Shot19
11.2%
26
88.8%
Q2 - 11:12DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.5%
26
89.5%
Q2 - 11:13INDMISS Ford Layup19
10.8%
26
89.2%
Q2 - 11:34DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
11.5%
26
88.5%
Q2 - 11:44INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)19
13.8%
23
86.2%
Q2 - 11:44INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)18
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND17
12.6%
23
87.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETPrince 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
12.4%
23
87.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDMISS Hibbert 11' Jump Shot17
14.1%
21
85.9%
Q1 - 0:43.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0DETMISS Stuckey Layup17
14.5%
21
85.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDStuckey STEAL (1 STL)17
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 1:01DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 1:14INDBrown STEAL (1 STL)17
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 1:27INDPacers Rebound17
17.3%
19
82.7%
Q1 - 1:29DETMISS Brown 10' Hook Shot17
17.0%
19
83.0%
Q1 - 1:44DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
16.4%
19
83.6%
Q1 - 1:45INDMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot17
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 2:01DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)17
17.4%
19
82.6%
Q1 - 2:18INDHibbert Reverse Layup (2 PTS)17
19.0%
17
81.0%
Q1 - 2:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 2:36DETMISS Brown Layup15
17.1%
17
82.9%
Q1 - 2:58DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q1 - 2:59INDMISS Jack Free Throw 2 of 215
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 2:59INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
17.5%
17
82.5%
Q1 - 3:04INDPacers Rebound14
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 3:04INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)14
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 3:16DETHamilton Driving Layup (9 PTS)14
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 3:37INDDaniels 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)14
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 3:54DETPrince Tip Shot (4 PTS)12
16.0%
15
84.0%
Q1 - 3:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
17.3%
13
82.7%
Q1 - 3:56DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot12
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 4:14DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot12
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 4:32INDFoster 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)12
17.0%
13
83.0%
Q1 - 4:54INDPacers Rebound12
18.4%
13
81.6%
Q1 - 4:55DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot12
17.9%
13
82.1%
Q1 - 5:13INDRush Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
17.1%
13
82.9%
Q1 - 5:28DETWallace 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)12
18.5%
13
81.5%
Q1 - 5:40INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)12
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 5:52DETHamilton Layup (7 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)12
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 5:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
22.5%
9
77.5%
Q1 - 5:56INDMISS Ford 20' Jump Shot12
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 6:14DETHamilton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)12
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 6:22DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 6:24DETMISS Billups Layup12
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 6:30DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 6:31INDMISS Jack Layup12
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 6:35INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 6:36DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot12
28.1%
6
71.9%
Q1 - 6:55INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)12
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 6:57INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
28.6%
6
71.4%
Q1 - 6:59INDJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)12
27.4%
6
72.6%
Q1 - 7:13DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 7:35DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 7:36INDMISS Daniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
26.9%
6
73.1%
Q1 - 7:55DETPrince Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)12
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:00DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
29.8%
4
70.2%
Q1 - 8:01DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot12
30.6%
4
69.4%
Q1 - 8:22INDNesterovic 7' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)12
29.4%
4
70.6%
Q1 - 8:42INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
27.7%
4
72.3%
Q1 - 8:43DETMISS Billups Layup10
27.2%
4
72.8%
Q1 - 8:51DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.0%
4
74.0%
Q1 - 8:52INDMISS Ford 15' Jump Shot10
26.5%
4
73.5%
Q1 - 9:02INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:03DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot10
26.4%
4
73.6%
Q1 - 9:21INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)10
25.5%
4
74.5%
Q1 - 9:28INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
22.4%
4
77.6%
Q1 - 9:29DETMISS Wallace 21' Jump Shot7
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:47DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 9:49DETMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot7
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 10:04INDFord Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
20.6%
4
79.4%
Q1 - 10:16INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
19.5%
4
80.5%
Q1 - 10:17DETMISS Johnson Layup5
19.2%
4
80.8%
Q1 - 10:35INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)5
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 10:51DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 11:09INDNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)2
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 11:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 11:22DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:28DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.1%
2
84.9%
Q1 - 11:30INDMISS Granger Layup0
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 11:42DETBillups 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
16.0%
2
84.0%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Johnson vs. Nesterovic: Tip to Billups0
16.9%
0
83.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.3%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
18
29
62%
DET
17
29
59%
Midrange
IND
11
26
42%
DET
17
49
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DET
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
IND
24
29
83%
DET
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger3375%16.5 / 22
T. Murphy1350%6.5 / 13
M. Daniels1255%6.0 / 11
T. Ford1056%5.0 / 9
J. Jack941%4.5 / 11
R. Nesterovic857%4.0 / 7
B. Rush770%3.5 / 5
R. Hibbert250%1.0 / 2
J. Foster0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Prince1959%9.5 / 16
R. Hamilton1550%7.5 / 15
C. Billups1346%6.5 / 14
W. Herrmann1083%5.0 / 6
R. Wallace938%4.5 / 12
A. McDyess844%4.0 / 9
R. Stuckey844%4.0 / 9
J. Maxiell770%3.5 / 5
A. Johnson650%3.0 / 6
A. Afflalo583%2.5 / 3
K. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
75
+8
-21
83
DET
83
+16
-14
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.11 55.3%
DET
1.01 50.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Season Averages
Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.8
IND 97.9 +5.2
DET 103.1
Pace
96.5
87.3
IND 105.0 +14.5
DET 90.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
17.1
IND 13.7 +2.2
DET 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
48.3%
IND 52.2% +4.9%
DET 47.3%
TO %
14.4%
12.7%
IND 21.6%
DET 13.3% +8.3%
ORB %
25.5%
27.9%
IND 15.6%
DET 29.8% +14.2%
FTrt
26.7
28.2
IND 43.3 +25.7
DET 17.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.7%
IND 54.5%
DET 57.5% +3.0%
STL %
7.2%
6.8%
IND 7.3%
DET 11.3% +4.0%
BLK %
8.1%
7.3%
IND 10.3%
DET 14.5% +4.2%
Season Averages
Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
51.0%
IND 55.3% +4.8%
DET 50.5%
Rim FG%
56.5%
58.7%
IND 62.1% +3.5%
DET 58.6%
Mid FG%
40.6%
41.2%
IND 42.3% +7.6%
DET 34.7%
3P %
37.8%
34.9%
IND 33.3%
DET 46.2% +12.9%
FT %
80.7%
75.1%
IND 82.8%
DET 87.5% +4.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
30.0%
IND 43.3% +11.4%
DET 31.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
53.5%
IND 38.8% +15.0%
DET 53.8%
3P Att. %
24.4%
16.5%
IND 17.9% +3.6%
DET 14.3%
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes21.925.7
Points94100
Rebounds3841
Assists1823
Steals711
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)14 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (3)27 (3)
Field Goals33-6740-91
At-the-Rim FG18-2917-29
Midrange FG11-2617-49
2-Point FG29-5534-78
3-Point FG4-126-13
Free Throws24-2914-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
38.6
33
75%
5
1
2
3
4
4
2
3
11-12
92%
8-12
67%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 245 · 28
37.7
13
50%
15
2
1
3
2
1
1
14
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
2-4
50%
G · 6'6" 200 · 28
32.3
12
55%
3
3
0
0
4
3
1
2
4-4
100%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
29.5
10
56%
2
5
0
0
4
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 255 · 32
24.3
8
57%
5
3
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
26.9
9
41%
2
2
1
0
1
4
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23
24.3
7
70%
2
1
1
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
20.3
0
0%
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
6.2
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 22
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
F · 6'10" 230 · 32
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 6'1" 175 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
55%
38
18
7
8
21
0
5
33
24-29
83%
29-55
53%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.