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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers21%8894
3Pistons79%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.5
38.6
34.3
33
78%
5
1
2
1
3
4
2
3
11-12
92%
8-12
4-9
67%
45%
2-4
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.5
37.7
27.1
13
51%
15
2
1
1
3
2
1
14
3-4
75%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
2-4
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.8
32.3
18.5
12
56%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-2
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.6
29.5
23.5
10
56%
2
5
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
44%
0-0
-
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.4
24.3
20.1
8
57%
5
3
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.0
26.9
24.0
9
42%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-8
2-5
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
24.3
20.5
7
64%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
20.3
23.6
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 21.9
6.2
16.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.7
7.8
0
1-2
45%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.4
7.5
0
1-2
45%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
4.9
0
0-1
52%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.7
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.1
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.1
35.0
30.8
13
45%
5
7
2
1
1
1
0
5
2-3
67%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.1
33.4
28.8
9
38%
7
2
2
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.7
33.3
31.4
15
51%
4
4
1
1
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
48%
1-2
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.7
32.4
31.9
19
60%
5
3
0
1
1
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
20.8
14.4
6
50%
6
1
1
0
3
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.1
18.8
24.0
8
44%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.7
18.1
21.8
7
66%
4
0
0
1
1
2
3
1
3-3
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.5
16.1
21.4
8
40%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
42%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.3
15.6
5.7
10
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
50%
2-3
67%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.0
13.6
16.1
5
83%
0
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.6
3.1
13.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
0.4
0
0-0
45%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.