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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Nuggets36%9494
9Jazz64%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.4
38.4
34.6
18
56%
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
6-7
86%
6-13
5-12
46%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.4
36.0
20.7
13
59%
5
2
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
1-3
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.8
33.2
26.1
18
54%
6
1
2
1
2
0
3
3
4-8
50%
7-12
4-7
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.1
26.0
19.8
11
60%
4
2
1
1
0
4
0
4
3-5
60%
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.8
21.2
24.2
4
23%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-4
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.1
35.1
23.3
17
61%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
3-7
43%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.3
21.1
9.1
5
64%
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
4
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
14.1
13.6
3
26%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
45%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.3
7.8
17.0
5
64%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.7
7.0
9.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.4
34.2
1
7-15
47%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.2
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
39.3
31.4
13
47%
10
2
1
1
1
0
3
7
3-4
75%
5-11
3-7
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.9
36.2
32.8
25
63%
14
1
1
1
1
2
3
11
3-4
75%
11-18
7-13
61%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
34.2
12.6
6
28%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-6
1-3
17%
45%
0-3
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.6
24.3
27.1
15
62%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
5-8
5-8
63%
56%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.6
13.0
15.2
4
40%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
35.0
29.7
16
74%
6
3
1
1
2
3
3
3
3-4
75%
5-8
3-6
63%
51%
1-1
100%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.6
24.4
20.3
11
71%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.7
20.2
23.1
4
31%
4
2
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-1
0%
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.0
13.4
18.7
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.7
11.4
0
1-3
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.9
9.7
0
1-1
43%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.7
5.8
0
1-1
47%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.4
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.