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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers69%99117
27Clippers31%9379
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.3
33.0
32.4
13
50%
9
6
0
0
0
1
2
7
7-7
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
51%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
30.7
34.3
16
53%
8
3
2
1
0
5
2
6
6-7
86%
5-10
7-14
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.0
24.8
25.0
12
62%
9
0
1
0
3
2
3
6
4-6
67%
4-7
4-7
57%
56%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.2
21.7
25.0
15
63%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
3-6
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
18.4
22.8
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
2-3
67%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.9
26.3
23.2
15
84%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
23.3
30.6
6
60%
4
3
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
20.3
19.1
11
63%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-4
25%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.6
17.3
14.7
5
46%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
9.3
7.6
4
67%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.3
8.9
4.3
10
63%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
1-1
57%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
6.0
5.5
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.8
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.9
32.0
24.1
16
49%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
7-14
3-8
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
30.3
29.8
8
39%
5
2
0
1
1
4
2
3
2-3
67%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.5
28.4
34.5
11
40%
2
7
3
2
0
4
2
0
2-2
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
47%
1-5
20%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.2
27.6
26.1
11
58%
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
0-3
0%
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
19.5
23.1
11
41%
8
0
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-8
25%
3-7
2-5
43%
46%
1-3
33%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.4
26.7
8.6
2
50%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.1
23.7
29.3
5
50%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
1-4
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 19.8
13.8
23.0
2
20%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.4
13.8
8.7
6
50%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.5
11.8
6.8
4
50%
2
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 22.8
7.9
13.4
3
85%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.3
4.6
7.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.6
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.