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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings36%10177
21Heat64%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.5
33.7
28.0
9
41%
11
1
3
1
0
3
1
10
0-0
-
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
32.6
33.8
14
49%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.7
30.2
35.9
9
44%
1
0
0
1
1
5
0
1
5-5
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
21.5
30.2
2
14%
1
2
1
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
4-9
20%
45%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
17.8
21.2
4
106%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
24.9
9.7
6
52%
10
1
0
0
0
2
4
6
2-4
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
23.8
12.3
14
57%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
41%
1-4
25%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
18.9
19.3
10
50%
7
0
0
1
1
0
4
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
13.4
6.8
7
55%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
39%
0-3
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.6
13.3
17.8
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
9.9
10.1
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
18.0
1
2-4
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
29.9
28.3
3
34%
2
2
4
1
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
0-1
3-7
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.5
29.4
25.9
13
56%
10
3
4
1
3
2
5
5
4-6
67%
3-8
4-7
38%
56%
1-1
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
27.3
26.2
17
51%
9
0
1
1
1
0
3
6
3-4
75%
7-14
4-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.8
26.8
33.7
20
59%
4
8
4
2
4
5
1
3
6-11
55%
7-12
7-15
58%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
26.8
24.1
14
55%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.5
29.3
21.0
13
59%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
3-6
50%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.9
21.2
19.5
6
51%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.1
18.1
12.8
2
33%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.9
15.3
10.2
10
74%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
2-2
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.9
5.9
11.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
5.9
6.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
4.2
5.8
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.4
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.