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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Spurs59%9399
23Trail Blazers41%90100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
41.9
34.7
27
65%
10
2
1
1
0
2
3
7
3-4
75%
12-19
8-16
63%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
38.6
34.8
24
58%
3
11
0
1
0
4
0
3
4-4
100%
10-19
8-16
53%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
34.0
26.6
16
65%
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
21.7
21.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
12.2
21.4
5
125%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.1
29.3
25.0
14
100%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
2-2
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
20.2
22.0
2
53%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
19.4
16.4
6
60%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
13.3
2.8
5
64%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
9.4
10.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
10.2
0
1-2
56%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
8.3
0
1-2
42%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.3
42.4
31.5
23
48%
5
3
1
1
2
1
2
3
2-4
50%
9-20
6-13
45%
48%
1-2
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.3
34.9
35.6
26
62%
5
7
3
1
0
1
1
4
5-7
71%
9-15
5-11
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.7
32.9
24.5
6
60%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
41%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.1
31.4
30.7
11
47%
4
1
3
1
1
0
0
4
6-6
100%
1-8
5-11
13%
44%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.1
24.5
24.1
3
80%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.6
29.5
23.7
6
39%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 19.9
21.8
7.4
12
64%
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
0
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.5
13.5
17.3
10
56%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
46%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.4
9.2
8.8
3
50%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
16.6
1
2-4
42%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
5.8
0
1-2
47%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.9
5.5
0
1-1
45%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.8
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.4
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.