Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 31, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	11	Spurs	59%	93	99
	23	Trail Blazers	41%	90	100

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	120.7	82	88.6
POR	120.5	83	77.2

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-14

POR

+18

-6

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.29 64.3%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	POR
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS		99 0%	100 100%
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	99 7.5%	100 92.5%
Q4 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Finley 15' Jump Shot	99 1.3%	100 98.7%
Q4 - 0:05.0	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	99 15.7%	100 84.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0	POR	MISS Outlaw Driving Layup	99 29.0%	100 71.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	99 25.8%	100 74.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	98 22.2%	100 77.8%
Q4 - 0:34.0	POR	Aldridge 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Roy 7 AST)	97 13.6%	100 86.4%
Q4 - 1:00	POR	Jump Ball Przybilla vs. Duncan: Tip to Aldridge	97 33.8%	98 66.2%
Q4 - 1:04	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	97 50.7%	98 49.3%
Q4 - 1:04	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	97 39.2%	98 60.8%
Q4 - 1:16	POR	Roy Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)	97 52.0%	98 48.0%
Q4 - 1:16	POR	Roy Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)	97 54.7%	97 45.3%
Q4 - 1:29	SAS	Parker Reverse Layup (22 PTS)	97 64.4%	96 35.6%
Q4 - 1:39	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	95 52.5%	96 47.5%
Q4 - 1:39	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	95 52.5%	96 47.5%
Q4 - 1:39	POR	MISS Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 2	95 55.6%	95 44.4%
Q4 - 1:39	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	95 51.0%	95 49.0%
Q4 - 1:41	POR	MISS Roy 19' Jump Shot	95 60.7%	95 39.3%
Q4 - 1:55	SAS	Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	95 50.9%	95 49.1%
Q4 - 2:18	POR	Roy 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)	93 41.5%	95 58.5%
Q4 - 2:26	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	93 48.6%	93 51.4%
Q4 - 2:27	SAS	MISS Udoka 17' Jump Shot	93 54.1%	93 45.9%
Q4 - 2:44	SAS	Spurs Rebound	93 66.1%	93 33.9%
Q4 - 2:44	POR	MISS Aldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot	93 61.0%	93 39.0%
Q4 - 3:00	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (20 PTS)	93 51.1%	93 48.9%
Q4 - 3:11	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	91 43.3%	93 56.7%
Q4 - 3:11	POR	MISS Roy Free Throw 2 of 2	91 41.2%	93 58.8%
Q4 - 3:11	POR	Roy Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)	91 34.3%	93 65.7%
Q4 - 3:24	SAS	Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)	91 39.1%	92 60.9%
Q4 - 3:45	POR	Aldridge 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Roy 6 AST)	88 27.5%	92 72.5%
Q4 - 4:10	SAS	Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)	88 43.8%	89 56.2%
Q4 - 4:24	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	85 26.8%	89 73.2%
Q4 - 4:25	POR	MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	85 24.4%	89 75.6%
Q4 - 4:33	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	85 19.3%	89 80.7%
Q4 - 4:33	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	85 21.4%	89 78.6%
Q4 - 4:50	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	85 26.7%	89 73.3%
Q4 - 4:51	POR	MISS Outlaw 18' Jump Shot	85 24.2%	89 75.8%
Q4 - 5:10	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	85 23.4%	89 76.6%
Q4 - 5:12	SAS	MISS Duncan Layup	85 25.3%	89 74.7%
Q4 - 5:43	POR	Roy Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	85 30.0%	89 70.0%
Q4 - 5:43	POR	Roy Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	85 31.4%	88 68.6%
Q4 - 6:02	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)	85 40.4%	87 59.6%
Q4 - 6:02	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)	84 38.4%	87 61.6%
Q4 - 6:18	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	83 33.5%	87 66.5%
Q4 - 6:19	POR	MISS Fernandez 27' 3PT Jump Shot	83 31.4%	87 68.6%
Q4 - 6:40	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	83 26.7%	87 73.3%
Q4 - 6:40	SAS	MISS Parker 7' Running Jump Shot	83 28.7%	87 71.3%
Q4 - 7:00	POR	Blake 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	83 33.3%	87 66.7%
Q4 - 7:25	SAS	Udoka 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)	83 42.1%	85 57.9%
Q4 - 7:45	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	80 29.7%	85 70.3%
Q4 - 7:45	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2	80 28.9%	85 71.1%
Q4 - 7:45	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	80 26.2%	85 73.8%
Q4 - 7:45	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	80 29.3%	84 70.7%
Q4 - 7:45	POR	MISS Fernandez 10' Pullup Jump Shot	80 33.8%	84 66.2%
Q4 - 8:01	SAS	Duncan Layup (25 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)	80 32.4%	84 67.6%
Q4 - 8:17	POR	Rodriguez Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	78 26.6%	84 73.4%
Q4 - 8:30	SAS	Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)	78 22.0%	84 78.0%
Q4 - 8:49	POR	Batum Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)	75 14.2%	84 85.8%
Q4 - 9:09	SAS	Udoka 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)	75 13.6%	84 86.4%
Q4 - 9:19	POR	Frye Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)	72 8.7%	84 91.3%
Q4 - 9:30	POR	Rodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 10.9%	82 89.1%
Q4 - 9:30	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	72 11.6%	82 88.4%
Q4 - 9:43	POR	Frye 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)	72 13.3%	82 86.7%
Q4 - 9:51	POR	Rodriguez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	72 16.5%	80 83.5%
Q4 - 9:51	SAS	MISS Parker Driving Layup	72 17.5%	80 82.5%
Q4 - 10:05	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	72 21.9%	80 78.1%
Q4 - 10:05	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2	72 21.4%	80 78.6%
Q4 - 10:05	POR	MISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2	72 19.0%	80 81.0%
Q4 - 10:21	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	72 18.3%	80 81.7%
Q4 - 10:21	SAS	MISS Parker 23' Jump Shot	72 19.3%	80 80.7%
Q4 - 10:44	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	72 21.8%	80 78.2%
Q4 - 10:44	POR	Frye Tip Shot (6 PTS)	72 21.8%	80 78.2%
Q4 - 10:45	POR	MISS Batum 26' 3PT Jump Shot	72 29.1%	78 70.9%
Q4 - 11:07	SAS	Mason Jr. Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)	72 27.8%	78 72.2%
Q4 - 11:23	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	70 23.5%	78 76.5%
Q4 - 11:23	POR	MISS Frye 20' Jump Shot	70 22.4%	78 77.6%
Q4 - 11:38	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	70 20.0%	78 80.0%
Q4 - 11:39	POR	MISS Frye 4' Jump Shot	70 22.3%	78 77.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		70 19.9%	78 80.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR	Roy 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS)	70 23.4%	78 76.6%
Q3 - 0:10.0	SAS	Parker 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)	70 29.2%	76 70.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0	POR	Batum Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Roy 5 AST)	68 24.7%	76 75.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0	SAS	Frye STEAL (1 STL)	68 29.1%	74 70.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 33.0%	74 67.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	68 31.8%	74 68.2%
Q3 - 1:03	SAS	Thomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	68 29.9%	74 70.1%
Q3 - 1:03	SAS	Thomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	67 28.9%	74 71.1%
Q3 - 1:30	POR	Roy 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	66 25.5%	74 74.5%
Q3 - 1:47	SAS	Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	66 29.8%	72 70.2%
Q3 - 2:09	SAS	Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	63 23.6%	72 76.4%
Q3 - 2:11	POR	MISS Aldridge Layup	63 22.6%	72 77.4%
Q3 - 2:16	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	63 20.4%	72 79.6%
Q3 - 2:19	SAS	MISS Farmer 3PT Jump Shot	63 21.3%	72 78.7%
Q3 - 2:37	POR	Roy 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	63 23.5%	72 76.5%
Q3 - 2:58	SAS	Duncan 4' Jump Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Mason Jr. 4 AST)	63 27.1%	70 72.9%
Q3 - 3:15	POR	Batum Layup (10 PTS) (Roy 4 AST)	61 25.4%	70 74.6%
Q3 - 3:18	SAS	Roy STEAL (3 STL)	61 28.7%	68 71.3%
Q3 - 3:32	POR	Roy 9' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS)	61 32.8%	68 67.3%
Q3 - 3:51	SAS	Mason Jr. Driving Layup (4 PTS)	61 36.5%	66 63.5%
Q3 - 4:15	POR	Przybilla Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	59 33.7%	66 66.3%
Q3 - 4:34	SAS	Bonner 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason Jr. 3 AST)	59 29.3%	66 70.7%
Q3 - 4:38	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	57 26.3%	66 73.7%
Q3 - 4:39	SAS	MISS Mason Jr. 22' Jump Shot	57 23.7%	66 76.3%
Q3 - 4:50	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	57 26.3%	66 73.7%
Q3 - 4:50	POR	MISS Roy 11' Fadeaway Jumper	57 25.1%	66 74.9%
Q3 - 5:13	SAS	Bonner Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	57 23.8%	66 76.2%
Q3 - 5:26	POR	Aldridge 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (18 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)	57 27.3%	66 72.7%
Q3 - 5:40	SAS	Mason Jr. 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	57 30.3%	64 69.7%
Q3 - 5:54	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	55 27.3%	64 72.7%
Q3 - 5:54	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	55 28.0%	63 72.0%
Q3 - 6:05	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	55 31.7%	62 68.3%
Q3 - 6:06	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	55 32.9%	62 67.1%
Q3 - 6:28	POR	Przybilla Dunk (2 PTS)	55 35.5%	62 64.5%
Q3 - 6:29	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	55 39.0%	60 61.0%
Q3 - 6:30	POR	MISS Roy 17' Jump Shot	55 41.9%	60 58.1%
Q3 - 6:42	SAS	Finley 10' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)	55 39.0%	60 61.0%
Q3 - 6:53	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 35.5%	60 64.5%
Q3 - 6:54	POR	MISS Aldridge 6' Jump Hook Shot	53 34.3%	60 65.7%
Q3 - 7:23	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	53 32.7%	60 67.3%
Q3 - 7:23	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	53 33.7%	60 66.3%
Q3 - 7:43	POR	Outlaw 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)	53 36.3%	60 63.7%
Q3 - 8:02	SAS	Outlaw STEAL (3 STL)	53 43.8%	57 56.2%
Q3 - 8:12	POR	Aldridge Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	53 47.8%	57 52.2%
Q3 - 8:29	SAS	Parker 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Finley 4 AST)	53 43.8%	57 56.2%
Q3 - 8:45	POR	Blake 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	51 40.4%	57 59.6%
Q3 - 9:16	SAS	Duncan Layup (21 PTS)	51 44.5%	55 55.5%
Q3 - 9:17	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	49 40.9%	55 59.1%
Q3 - 9:17	SAS	MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot	49 38.4%	55 61.6%
Q3 - 9:33	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	49 40.9%	55 59.1%
Q3 - 9:33	POR	MISS Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot	49 39.8%	55 60.2%
Q3 - 9:49	SAS	Parker 22' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	49 37.3%	55 62.7%
Q3 - 10:19	POR	Aldridge 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Roy 3 AST)	47 35.0%	55 65.0%
Q3 - 10:34	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	47 38.2%	53 61.8%
Q3 - 10:34	SAS	MISS Finley 18' Jump Shot	47 39.2%	53 60.8%
Q3 - 10:50	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	47 41.7%	53 58.3%
Q3 - 10:50	POR	MISS Blake 9' Turnaround Jump Shot	47 40.6%	53 59.4%
Q3 - 11:04	SAS	Outlaw STEAL (2 STL)	47 39.2%	53 60.8%
Q3 - 11:23	POR	Aldridge 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)	47 42.7%	53 57.3%
Q3 - 11:43	SAS	Duncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)	47 45.9%	51 54.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		45 42.7%	51 57.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	POR	Roy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)	45 42.7%	51 57.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	45 50.6%	48 49.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0	SAS	Batum BLOCK (2 BLK)	45 51.4%	48 48.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0	POR	Roy Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)	45 53.1%	48 46.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0	SAS	Farmer 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	45 50.5%	48 49.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0	POR	Roy Driving Layup (8 PTS)	42 43.1%	48 56.9%
Q2 - 1:04	SAS	Roy STEAL (2 STL)	42 47.8%	46 52.2%
Q2 - 1:29	POR	Aldridge Layup (12 PTS)	42 50.2%	46 49.8%
Q2 - 1:31	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	42 54.3%	44 45.7%
Q2 - 1:31	POR	MISS Roy 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot	42 56.0%	44 44.0%
Q2 - 1:46	SAS	Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	42 54.3%	44 45.7%
Q2 - 2:02	POR	Roy 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	39 48.0%	44 52.0%
Q2 - 2:21	SAS	Duncan Dunk (17 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	39 51.0%	42 49.0%
Q2 - 2:26	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	37 47.9%	42 52.1%
Q2 - 2:26	SAS	MISS Farmer 3PT Jump Shot	37 45.7%	42 54.3%
Q2 - 2:49	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	37 47.9%	42 52.1%
Q2 - 2:49	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	37 48.6%	41 51.4%
Q2 - 3:13	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	37 51.3%	40 48.7%
Q2 - 3:13	SAS	MISS Finley 17' Jump Shot	37 52.5%	40 47.5%
Q2 - 3:24	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	37 55.0%	40 45.0%
Q2 - 3:24	POR	MISS Aldridge 6' Running Hook Shot	37 53.9%	40 46.1%
Q2 - 3:43	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	37 51.3%	40 48.7%
Q2 - 3:43	SAS	MISS Finley 3' Hook Shot	37 52.4%	40 47.6%
Q2 - 3:54	POR	Fernandez Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	37 54.9%	40 45.1%
Q2 - 4:06	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	37 51.9%	40 48.1%
Q2 - 4:06	SAS	MISS Duncan 5' Hook Shot	37 52.9%	40 47.1%
Q2 - 4:29	POR	Aldridge 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)	37 55.1%	40 44.9%
Q2 - 4:46	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (12 PTS)	37 57.9%	38 42.1%
Q2 - 4:50	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	35 55.1%	38 44.9%
Q2 - 4:51	POR	MISS Outlaw 6' Jump Shot	35 54.1%	38 45.9%
Q2 - 5:11	SAS	Parker 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	35 52.7%	38 47.3%
Q2 - 5:33	POR	Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	33 49.6%	38 50.4%
Q2 - 5:46	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	33 55.6%	35 44.4%
Q2 - 5:47	POR	MISS Outlaw 5' Running Bank Shot	33 57.5%	35 42.5%
Q2 - 6:03	SAS	Duncan 11' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	33 55.3%	35 44.7%
Q2 - 6:29	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	31 53.0%	35 47.0%
Q2 - 6:29	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	31 53.6%	34 46.4%
Q2 - 6:46	SAS	Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	31 55.4%	33 44.6%
Q2 - 7:01	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	28 50.4%	33 49.6%
Q2 - 7:01	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	28 51.1%	32 48.9%
Q2 - 7:02	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	28 53.2%	31 46.8%
Q2 - 7:02	SAS	MISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot	28 54.1%	31 45.9%
Q2 - 7:24	POR	Batum Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	28 56.0%	31 44.0%
Q2 - 7:26	SAS	Batum STEAL (1 STL)	28 61.4%	28 38.6%
Q2 - 7:41	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	28 64.2%	28 35.8%
Q2 - 7:42	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	28 63.3%	28 36.7%
Q2 - 7:52	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	28 61.4%	28 38.6%
Q2 - 7:52	POR	MISS Rodriguez 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28 63.3%	28 36.7%
Q2 - 8:06	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	28 61.6%	28 38.4%
Q2 - 8:06	POR	MISS Outlaw 17' Fadeaway Jumper	28 63.3%	28 36.7%
Q2 - 8:26	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	28 61.6%	28 38.4%
Q2 - 8:26	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	27 61.0%	28 39.0%
Q2 - 8:40	SAS	Spurs Rebound	26 58.9%	28 41.1%
Q2 - 8:40	POR	MISS Batum 21' Jump Shot	26 58.1%	28 41.9%
Q2 - 8:57	SAS	Duncan Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)	26 56.3%	28 43.7%
Q2 - 9:08	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	24 53.6%	28 46.4%
Q2 - 9:09	POR	MISS Rodriguez 18' Jump Shot	24 52.7%	28 47.3%
Q2 - 9:26	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	24 50.9%	28 49.1%
Q2 - 9:26	POR	MISS Fernandez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	24 52.7%	28 47.3%
Q2 - 9:44	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	24 50.9%	28 49.1%
Q2 - 9:45	SAS	Outlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 51.7%	28 48.3%
Q2 - 10:05	POR	Batum Reverse Layup (2 PTS)	24 53.9%	28 46.1%
Q2 - 10:12	POR	Jump Ball Fernandez vs. Duncan: Tip to	24 56.3%	26 43.7%
Q2 - 10:24	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	24 59.0%	26 41.0%
Q2 - 10:24	POR	Outlaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	24 59.5%	25 40.5%
Q2 - 10:46	SAS	Duncan 3' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)	24 61.4%	24 38.6%
Q2 - 10:48	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	22 59.0%	24 41.0%
Q2 - 10:49	SAS	MISS Parker 15' Jump Shot	22 57.1%	24 42.9%
Q2 - 11:04	POR	Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Przybilla 1 AST)	22 58.9%	24 41.1%
Q2 - 11:07	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	22 63.7%	21 36.3%
Q2 - 11:08	POR	MISS Outlaw 22' Jump Shot	22 65.3%	21 34.7%
Q2 - 11:23	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	22 63.7%	21 36.3%
Q2 - 11:23	POR	MISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22 65.3%	21 34.7%
Q2 - 11:46	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22 63.7%	21 36.3%
Q2 - 11:47	SAS	Batum BLOCK (1 BLK)	22 64.4%	21 35.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR		22 66.1%	21 33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	22 63.7%	21 36.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0	POR	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	22 65.4%	21 34.6%
Q1 - 0:22.0	SAS	Farmer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	22 63.9%	21 36.1%
Q1 - 0:22.0	SAS	Farmer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	21 63.3%	21 36.7%
Q1 - 0:22.0	SAS	Spurs Rebound	20 61.0%	21 39.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0	POR	MISS Aldridge 13' Jump Shot	20 60.5%	21 39.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (6 PTS)	20 59.2%	21 40.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0	POR	Rodriguez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)	18 56.2%	21 43.8%
Q1 - 1:11	POR	TRAIL BLAZERS Rebound	18 61.9%	18 38.1%
Q1 - 1:12	POR	MISS Frye 18' Jump Shot	18 62.9%	18 37.1%
Q1 - 1:31	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18 61.9%	18 38.1%
Q1 - 1:32	SAS	MISS Duncan Layup	18 62.3%	18 37.7%
Q1 - 1:54	POR	Aldridge Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)	18 63.4%	18 36.6%
Q1 - 1:59	POR	Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 66.2%	16 33.8%
Q1 - 2:00	POR	MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot	18 67.2%	16 32.8%
Q1 - 2:22	SAS	Duncan 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)	18 66.1%	16 33.9%
Q1 - 2:36	POR	Roy 13' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	18 67.7%	16 32.3%
Q1 - 2:56	SAS	Vaughn Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	18 70.1%	14 29.9%
Q1 - 3:19	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	18 72.0%	14 28.0%
Q1 - 3:20	POR	MISS Batum Dunk	18 71.4%	14 28.6%
Q1 - 3:29	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	18 70.1%	14 29.9%
Q1 - 3:29	POR	MISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18 71.4%	14 28.6%
Q1 - 3:32	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	18 70.1%	14 29.9%
Q1 - 3:32	POR	MISS Roy 3PT Jump Shot	18 71.4%	14 28.6%
Q1 - 3:53	SAS	Duncan 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)	18 70.1%	14 29.9%
Q1 - 4:17	POR	Frye 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16 68.0%	14 32.0%
Q1 - 4:37	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	16 69.8%	12 30.2%
Q1 - 4:37	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1	16 70.1%	12 29.9%
Q1 - 4:50	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	14 68.0%	12 32.0%
Q1 - 4:50	POR	MISS Roy 18' Jump Shot	14 67.4%	12 32.6%
Q1 - 5:05	SAS	Finley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	14 65.4%	12 34.6%
Q1 - 5:05	SAS	Finley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	13 65.2%	12 34.8%
Q1 - 5:14	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 63.8%	12 36.2%
Q1 - 5:14	POR	MISS Roy Free Throw 1 of 1	12 63.5%	12 36.5%
Q1 - 5:29	SAS	Parker 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)	12 65.5%	10 34.5%
Q1 - 5:47	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 63.8%	10 36.2%
Q1 - 5:47	POR	MISS Aldridge 6' Turnaround Jump Shot	10 63.1%	10 36.9%
Q1 - 6:02	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	10 61.8%	10 38.2%
Q1 - 6:02	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	10 62.4%	10 37.6%
Q1 - 6:21	POR	Frye 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Roy 2 AST)	10 63.8%	10 36.2%
Q1 - 6:32	SAS	Duncan Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	10 65.7%	8 34.3%
Q1 - 6:42	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 63.8%	8 36.2%
Q1 - 6:42	POR	MISS Frye 19' Jump Shot	8 63.2%	8 36.8%
Q1 - 7:04	SAS	Outlaw STEAL (1 STL)	8 61.8%	8 38.2%
Q1 - 7:09	SAS	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8 64.0%	8 36.0%
Q1 - 7:10	POR	MISS Aldridge 5' Jump Shot	8 63.4%	8 36.6%
Q1 - 7:26	SAS	Aldridge STEAL (1 STL)	8 61.8%	8 38.2%
Q1 - 7:37	SAS	Finley Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)	8 64.0%	8 36.0%
Q1 - 7:53	POR	Outlaw 4' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Roy 1 AST)	7 62.0%	8 38.0%
Q1 - 8:08	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 64.1%	6 35.9%
Q1 - 8:08	SAS	MISS Duncan 23' Jump Shot	7 64.7%	6 35.3%
Q1 - 8:16	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	7 66.0%	6 34.0%
Q1 - 8:19	POR	MISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot	7 65.4%	6 34.6%
Q1 - 8:34	SAS	Roy STEAL (1 STL)	7 64.1%	6 35.9%
Q1 - 8:47	POR	Blake Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)	7 66.0%	6 34.0%
Q1 - 8:49	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	7 67.8%	4 32.2%
Q1 - 8:51	SAS	Aldridge BLOCK (2 BLK)	7 68.4%	4 31.6%
Q1 - 9:03	SAS	Spurs Rebound	7 69.7%	4 30.3%
Q1 - 9:05	POR	MISS Outlaw 17' Jump Shot	7 69.2%	4 30.8%
Q1 - 9:18	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	7 68.1%	4 31.9%
Q1 - 9:29	SAS	Spurs Rebound	4 64.4%	4 35.6%
Q1 - 9:30	SAS	Aldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)	4 63.2%	4 36.8%
Q1 - 9:36	SAS	Bonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 64.4%	4 35.6%
Q1 - 9:36	POR	MISS Roy 18' Jump Shot	4 63.9%	4 36.1%
Q1 - 9:57	SAS	Parker Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	4 62.7%	4 37.3%
Q1 - 10:22	POR	Aldridge 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	2 61.1%	4 38.9%
Q1 - 10:46	SAS	Finley 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	2 62.7%	2 37.3%
Q1 - 11:10	POR	Aldridge 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	0 61.3%	2 38.7%
Q1 - 11:27	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 62.8%	0 37.2%
Q1 - 11:28	SAS	MISS Duncan 19' Jump Bank Shot	0 63.3%	0 36.7%
Q1 - 11:43	SAS	Spurs Rebound	0 64.4%	0 35.6%
Q1 - 11:44	POR	MISS Aldridge 14' Jump Shot	0 63.9%	0 36.1%
Q1 - 12:00	POR	Jump Ball Przybilla vs. Duncan: Tip to Aldridge	0 62.8%	0 37.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.29 64.3%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

62%

POR

70%

Midrange

SAS

50%

POR

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

13.5

56%

84%

POR

9.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

SAS

93%

POR

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	27	68%	13.5 / 20
T. Parker	24	57%	12.0 / 21
M. Finley	16	67%	8.0 / 12
R. Mason Jr.	14	100%	7.0 / 7
I. Udoka	6	60%	3.0 / 5
M. Bonner	5	125%	2.5 / 2
D. Farmer	5	63%	2.5 / 4
K. Thomas	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Roy	26	62%	13.0 / 21
L. Aldridge	23	48%	11.5 / 24
N. Batum	12	67%	6.0 / 9
T. Outlaw	11	46%	5.5 / 12
C. Frye	10	56%	5.0 / 9
S. Blake	6	60%	3.0 / 5
R. Fernandez	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Przybilla	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Rodriguez	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

-14

POR

+18

-6

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.29 64.3%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	108.3 113.3	SAS 120.7 +0.2 POR 120.5
Pace	88.7 87.1	SAS 88.6 +11.4 POR 77.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.5 17.2	SAS 16.2 +2.4 POR 18.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.3% 51.1%	SAS 62.5% +12.5% POR 50.0%
TO %	12.4% 13.8%	SAS 15.8% POR 6.1% +9.7%
ORB %	22.2% 32.6%	SAS 17.2% POR 33.3% +16.1%
FTrt	25.1 30.6	SAS 22.1 POR 29.3 +7.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.1% 55.2%	SAS 63.2% +18.5% POR 44.7%
STL %	6.5% 7.7%	SAS 1.2% POR 13.3% +12.1%
BLK %	6.1% 8.0%	SAS 0.0% POR 9.6% +9.6%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.4% 53.6%	SAS 64.3% +11.1% POR 53.2%
Rim FG%	58.8% 59.5%	SAS 61.5% POR 70.0% +8.5%
Mid FG%	42.7% 40.8%	SAS 50.0% +10.0% POR 40.0%
3P %	38.6% 38.3%	SAS 56.3% +21.0% POR 35.3%
FT %	76.2% 76.6%	SAS 93.3% +18.3% POR 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	30.3% 33.3%	SAS 38.2% +13.8% POR 24.4%
Mid Att. %	44.9% 42.7%	SAS 38.2% +16.6% POR 54.9%
3P Att. %	24.8% 23.9%	SAS 23.5% +2.8% POR 20.7%

Game Totals	SAS	POR
Possessions	82	83
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	99	100
Rebounds	31	37
Assists	24	17
Steals	1	11
Blocks	0	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (2)	13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (5)	24 (0)
Field Goals	38-68	38-82
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	14-20
Midrange FG	13-26	18-45
2-Point FG	29-52	32-65
3-Point FG	9-16	6-17
Free Throws	14-15	18-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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11 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	41.9	27	68%	10	2	1	0	2	5	3	7	3-4	75%	12-19	63%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 26	38.6	24	57%	3	11	0	0	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	10-19	53%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 36	34.0	16	67%	2	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	21.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	12.2	5	125%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	29.3	14	100%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	20.2	2	50%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	19.4	6	60%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Desmon Farmer G · 6'5" 220 · 27	13.3	5	63%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	9.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 22
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Tolliver #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	64%	31	24	1	0	14	0	5	26	14-15	93%	29-52	56%	9-16	56%

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11 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 33	41.9	27	68%	10	2	1	0	2	5	3	7	3-4	75%	12-19	63%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 26	38.6	24	57%	3	11	0	0	4	2	0	3	4-4	100%	10-19	53%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 36	34.0	16	67%	2	4	0	0	2	0	1	1	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-5	60%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	21.7	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 29	12.2	5	125%	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 28	29.3	14	100%	2	4	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-2	100%
Kurt Thomas F · 6'9" 240 · 36	20.2	2	50%	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	5	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31	19.4	6	60%	3	1	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Desmon Farmer G · 6'5" 220 · 27	13.3	5	63%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 34	9.4	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 34
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 22
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Anthony Tolliver #35 · F · 6'8" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	64%	31	24	1	0	14	0	5	26	14-15	93%	29-52	56%	9-16	56%

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23 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	42.4	23	48%	5	3	1	2	1	2	2	3	2-4	50%	9-20	45%	1-2	50%
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 24	34.9	26	62%	5	7	3	0	1	2	1	4	5-7	71%	9-15	60%	1-3	33%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	32.9	6	60%	2	2	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	31.4	11	46%	4	1	3	1	0	2	0	4	6-6	100%	1-8	13%	1-1	100%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	24.5	3	75%	7	1	1	0	1	5	4	3	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	29.5	6	38%	8	0	0	0	1	1	4	4	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'8" 230 · 20	21.8	12	67%	1	1	1	2	1	2	1	0	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	1-3	33%
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 25	13.5	10	56%	3	0	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 22	9.2	3	50%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	53%	37	17	11	5	6	0	13	24	18-24	75%	32-65	49%	6-17	35%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.