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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat41%9687
23Bobcats59%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.8
42.0
26.5
25
70%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
4-4
100%
9-14
4-9
64%
45%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.5
41.2
26.4
9
46%
8
1
0
1
3
2
5
3
0-2
0%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.4
38.3
24.7
16
89%
7
0
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
8-9
3-7
89%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.5
35.1
29.1
6
44%
2
8
2
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.8
29.9
31.3
19
46%
5
6
3
1
1
2
3
2
9-13
69%
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.5
24.2
25.2
3
19%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
1-7
14%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
13.2
20.4
7
60%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.1
11.3
10.6
2
35%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.9
3.3
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.2
1.5
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.9
8.4
0
1-2
47%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.2
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.1
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
43.4
31.7
34
74%
9
3
2
2
3
4
3
6
10-16
63%
9-14
4-8
64%
50%
2-2
100%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
39.2
30.5
23
64%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
8-14
4-9
57%
47%
2-3
67%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.1
37.4
33.7
18
72%
13
0
0
1
1
3
5
8
4-8
50%
7-9
5-10
78%
51%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.4
31.1
33.0
6
61%
6
8
0
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-4
4-10
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
28.4
14.2
6
50%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.0
20.5
23.9
4
29%
1
5
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
0-2
0%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.3
16.7
18.5
3
25%
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.9
12.8
5.2
4
69%
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.5
9.1
3.6
2
53%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.5
1.5
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.2
16.6
0
1-3
43%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.2
13.5
0
2-4
51%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.1
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.6
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.