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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings17%92103
10Magic83%104121
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.7
43.1
33.1
31
66%
4
4
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-8
75%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
3-6
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
39.8
32.9
12
47%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
36.4
25.7
11
59%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
3-7
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.5
24.3
30.7
14
61%
4
2
0
1
1
4
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
20.4
19.3
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
24.1
19.6
12
76%
5
3
1
0
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
18.4
17.4
11
72%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
43%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.6
17.0
15.4
4
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
9.1
18.2
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
7.2
7.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
12.5
0
1-3
46%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
10.1
0
1-2
39%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
39.9
37.6
29
75%
14
2
0
1
5
1
6
8
7-12
58%
11-14
7-11
79%
59%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
38.9
35.4
26
60%
7
6
1
1
0
4
4
3
3-4
75%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
3-8
38%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.6
35.8
38.0
21
67%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
6-6
100%
6-9
5-10
67%
49%
1-4
25%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
31.5
23.0
20
83%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
7-7
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
52%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.7
30.5
30.5
12
61%
2
5
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
19.5
22.4
4
40%
6
1
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.1
17.5
16.4
7
70%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
17.2
14.5
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
9.2
12.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
5.9
0
1-1
46%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
3.8
0
1-1
52%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.