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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks72%10695
26Timberwolves28%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
36.3
37.3
14
44%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-13
7-15
46%
48%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
32.3
36.4
21
53%
6
0
0
1
0
1
0
6
4-6
67%
7-15
7-15
47%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.6
32.2
34.2
9
39%
9
7
4
2
0
1
1
8
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.3
19.7
22.2
7
64%
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
57%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.0
11.6
17.5
2
20%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.1
31.8
30.5
19
57%
2
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
5-6
83%
4-9
4-7
44%
50%
2-5
40%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.8
28.3
14.0
3
52%
6
4
1
0
3
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
16.4
6.0
9
90%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
1-1
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
15.8
6.1
5
83%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.5
15.6
22.7
6
44%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
13.0
0
1-2
47%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
0.8
0
0-0
43%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.7
41.3
29.4
13
51%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.8
35.9
32.0
14
41%
12
0
3
1
1
4
2
10
4-5
80%
5-14
8-16
36%
49%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.1
32.0
29.3
8
27%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-12
3-8
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.7
23.9
24.4
4
33%
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
41%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.2
23.1
28.6
6
30%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
26.6
24.9
18
81%
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
6-7
86%
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.2
22.5
19.9
9
54%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-3
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.8
20.1
9.3
7
105%
3
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.0
14.4
15.0
6
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.6
0.1
11.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.4
21.3
1
2-4
41%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
1.9
0
0-0
43%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.