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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers37%9292
6Hornets63%97104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
37.7
32.8
15
45%
7
13
3
1
0
5
2
5
3-4
75%
6-12
7-13
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.9
35.8
30.3
11
37%
2
4
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
1-5
20%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.4
31.2
29.3
18
71%
5
3
1
1
2
3
2
3
2-4
50%
8-11
5-10
73%
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
27.3
30.2
12
100%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
4-5
80%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.1
20.5
22.1
4
69%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.7
32.6
25.4
14
54%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
42%
2-5
40%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.1
25.4
22.6
4
45%
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-1
0%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
21.6
10.9
12
62%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
2-3
67%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.2
4.1
8.4
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
3.8
16.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.6
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.0
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.5
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
38.8
39.4
25
56%
5
2
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-5
100%
10-20
8-17
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.4
36.6
15.1
14
72%
4
3
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
3-5
60%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.5
35.7
37.3
24
67%
3
15
1
2
0
1
2
1
10-11
91%
7-12
7-14
58%
50%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
28.9
13.0
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
49%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.2
20.8
23.9
5
32%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.8
28.6
25.6
15
95%
6
2
4
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
17.3
8.9
7
55%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
3-3
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
44%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.5
17.0
12.0
6
51%
4
0
0
0
1
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.4
12.3
8.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
3.9
8.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.1
35.4
1
4-7
59%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
2.8
0
0-0
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.