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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Grizzlies26%8986
18Bulls74%9796
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.0
43.0
33.3
16
53%
4
1
1
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
5-13
4-9
38%
41%
2-2
100%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.2
34.2
39.6
20
46%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
3-6
50%
7-15
7-16
47%
47%
1-4
25%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.8
24.5
25.1
3
22%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-6
4-8
17%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.1
17.7
26.8
6
51%
3
2
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.6
13.2
24.5
4
42%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
43%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.3
35.4
24.9
18
61%
7
2
1
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.6
30.3
21.2
12
79%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-6
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.4
22.9
15.4
7
35%
9
0
1
0
1
1
1
8
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.5
18.8
14.7
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.9
14.0
1
1-2
42%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.1
4.1
0
0-1
46%
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.5
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
37.3
22.8
7
36%
20
2
0
1
3
1
7
13
3-4
75%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
37.1
28.7
26
60%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
11-19
4-9
58%
45%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.5
35.3
32.2
11
34%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
3-7
43%
4-13
6-12
31%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
26.1
30.4
3
22%
5
0
1
1
5
3
2
3
3-4
75%
0-5
4-10
0%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
12.4
17.2
8
68%
1
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.9
28.8
15.7
10
51%
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
2-6
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.8
25.1
26.0
18
67%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
5-7
71%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
20.4
27.0
11
47%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
10.6
14.2
2
53%
4
0
0
0
1
0
3
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
7.0
22.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
50%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.