Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, November 1, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	21	Trail Blazers	19%	92	96
	7	Suns	81%	104	107

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
POR	110.3	87	83.9
PHX	121.6	88	92.4

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+12

-10

PHX

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.07 53.3%

PHX

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	POR	PHX
Q4 - 0:00.0	PHX		96 0%	107 100%
Q4 - 0:05.0	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	96 0%	107 100%
Q4 - 0:07.0	POR	MISS Roy 26' 3PT Jump Shot	96 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0	PHX	Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	96 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0	PHX	Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)	96 0.1%	106 99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	96 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0	POR	MISS Blake 11' Jump Shot	96 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	PHX	Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	96 0.1%	105 99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0	PHX	Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	96 0.1%	104 99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0	POR	Fernandez 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Roy 4 AST)	96 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0	PHX	Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	94 0.1%	103 99.9%
Q4 - 0:41.0	PHX	Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	94 0.1%	102 99.9%
Q4 - 1:03	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	94 0.6%	101 99.4%
Q4 - 1:03	POR	Fernandez Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	93 0.5%	101 99.5%
Q4 - 1:03	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	92 0.3%	101 99.7%
Q4 - 1:03	PHX	MISS Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot	92 0.3%	101 99.7%
Q4 - 1:21	POR	Fernandez 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)	92 0.3%	101 99.7%
Q4 - 1:24	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	90 0.2%	101 99.8%
Q4 - 1:26	POR	MISS Outlaw 21' Jump Shot	90 0.1%	101 99.9%
Q4 - 1:49	PHX	Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)	90 0.4%	101 99.6%
Q4 - 2:13	POR	Fernandez 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Roy 3 AST)	90 0.9%	98 99.1%
Q4 - 2:25	PHX	Stoudemire Slam Dunk (23 PTS) (Barnes 3 AST)	87 0.4%	98 99.6%
Q4 - 2:47	POR	Outlaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)	87 0.5%	96 99.5%
Q4 - 3:00	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	84 0.3%	96 99.7%
Q4 - 3:03	PHX	MISS Nash 8' Jump Bank Shot	84 0.3%	96 99.7%
Q4 - 3:19	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	84 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 3:21	POR	MISS Roy 25' 3PT Jump Shot	84 0.2%	96 99.8%
Q4 - 3:34	PHX	Stoudemire Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)	84 0.7%	96 99.3%
Q4 - 3:48	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	84 0.5%	96 99.5%
Q4 - 3:50	POR	MISS Bayless 26' 3PT Jump Shot	84 0.5%	96 99.5%
Q4 - 4:09	PHX	Barnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	84 0.7%	96 99.3%
Q4 - 4:09	PHX	Barnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	84 0.7%	95 99.3%
Q4 - 4:19	POR	Roy Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	84 0.9%	94 99.1%
Q4 - 4:19	POR	Roy Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	83 0.9%	94 99.1%
Q4 - 4:37	POR	Bayless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	82 0.6%	94 99.4%
Q4 - 4:39	PHX	MISS Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot	82 0.6%	94 99.4%
Q4 - 5:01	POR	Roy 9' Running Bank Shot (18 PTS)	82 0.8%	94 99.2%
Q4 - 5:19	PHX	O'Neal 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)	80 0.6%	94 99.4%
Q4 - 5:34	POR	Barnes STEAL (1 STL)	80 0.8%	92 99.2%
Q4 - 5:46	PHX	O'Neal Reverse Layup (14 PTS)	80 1.1%	92 98.9%
Q4 - 6:01	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	80 2.0%	90 98.0%
Q4 - 6:02	POR	MISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot	80 2.2%	90 97.8%
Q4 - 6:24	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	80 2.7%	90 97.3%
Q4 - 6:24	PHX	MISS Barbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot	80 2.5%	90 97.5%
Q4 - 6:48	POR	Aldridge 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)	80 2.0%	90 98.0%
Q4 - 7:04	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	78 1.9%	90 98.1%
Q4 - 7:06	POR	MISS Roy 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 1.5%	90 98.5%
Q4 - 7:26	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	78 1.8%	90 98.2%
Q4 - 7:29	PHX	MISS Hill 11' Jump Shot	78 1.7%	90 98.3%
Q4 - 7:40	PHX	SUNS Rebound	78 1.4%	90 98.6%
Q4 - 7:41	PHX	MISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	78 1.7%	90 98.3%
Q4 - 8:04	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	78 1.7%	90 98.3%
Q4 - 8:06	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	78 1.9%	90 98.1%
Q4 - 8:19	PHX	Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	78 2.2%	90 97.8%
Q4 - 8:19	PHX	Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	78 2.3%	89 97.7%
Q4 - 8:31	PHX	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	78 2.8%	88 97.2%
Q4 - 8:32	POR	MISS Batum 19' Jump Shot	78 3.1%	88 96.9%
Q4 - 8:56	PHX	Diaw 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)	78 3.6%	88 96.4%
Q4 - 9:28	POR	Fernandez Reverse Layup (11 PTS)	78 5.3%	86 94.7%
Q4 - 9:39	PHX	Barnes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	76 4.2%	86 95.8%
Q4 - 9:43	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	76 3.3%	86 96.7%
Q4 - 9:45	POR	MISS Outlaw 4' Jump Shot	76 3.6%	86 96.4%
Q4 - 10:03	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	76 4.6%	86 95.4%
Q4 - 10:03	PHX	MISS Diaw 7' Hook Shot	76 4.3%	86 95.7%
Q4 - 10:16	PHX	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	76 3.7%	86 96.3%
Q4 - 10:18	POR	MISS Outlaw 16' Jump Shot	76 4.0%	86 96.0%
Q4 - 10:32	PHX	Diaw Driving Layup (7 PTS)	76 4.6%	86 95.4%
Q4 - 10:45	POR	Frye Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	76 5.7%	84 94.3%
Q4 - 10:45	POR	Frye Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	75 5.5%	84 94.5%
Q4 - 10:49	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	74 4.6%	84 95.4%
Q4 - 10:51	POR	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	74 3.9%	84 96.1%
Q4 - 11:01	PHX	Barbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	74 5.0%	84 95.0%
Q4 - 11:01	PHX	MISS Barbosa Free Throw 1 of 2	74 5.2%	83 94.8%
Q4 - 11:22	POR	Outlaw 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	74 5.1%	83 94.9%
Q4 - 11:38	PHX	Barnes 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)	72 4.1%	83 95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0	POR		72 6.2%	80 93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHX	SUNS Rebound	72 6.2%	80 93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	PHX	MISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot	72 7.0%	80 93.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0	PHX	Barnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	72 6.7%	80 93.3%
Q3 - 0:05.0	PHX	MISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1	72 7.7%	80 92.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	72 9.7%	78 90.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0	POR	Fernandez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	72 11.3%	78 88.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0	POR	MISS Fernandez Tip Shot	72 10.2%	78 89.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0	POR	MISS Roy 11' Jump Bank Shot	72 10.1%	78 89.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0	POR	Batum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	72 11.3%	78 88.7%
Q3 - 0:23.0	POR	MISS Roy 25' 3PT Jump Shot	72 10.1%	78 89.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	72 11.3%	78 88.7%
Q3 - 0:43.0	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)	72 11.7%	77 88.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0	POR	Roy Driving Layup (16 PTS)	72 13.8%	76 86.2%
Q3 - 1:02	PHX	Bell 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)	70 11.5%	76 88.5%
Q3 - 1:25	POR	Roy 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)	70 13.9%	74 86.1%
Q3 - 1:45	PHX	Barbosa Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	68 11.5%	74 88.5%
Q3 - 1:49	PHX	Barbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	68 9.8%	74 90.2%
Q3 - 1:51	POR	MISS Fernandez 21' Jump Shot	68 10.3%	74 89.7%
Q3 - 2:13	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	68 11.7%	74 88.3%
Q3 - 2:14	PHX	MISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2	68 11.4%	74 88.6%
Q3 - 2:14	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)	68 10.2%	74 89.8%
Q3 - 2:14	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	68 11.7%	73 88.3%
Q3 - 2:15	POR	MISS Roy 19' Jump Shot	68 12.3%	73 87.7%
Q3 - 2:25	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	68 13.8%	73 86.2%
Q3 - 2:26	PHX	MISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot	68 13.1%	73 86.9%
Q3 - 2:35	POR	Roy 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)	68 11.7%	73 88.3%
Q3 - 2:55	PHX	Bell Layup (11 PTS)	65 8.3%	73 91.7%
Q3 - 2:58	PHX	Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	65 9.9%	71 90.1%
Q3 - 3:00	POR	MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot	65 10.4%	71 89.6%
Q3 - 3:10	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	65 11.6%	71 88.4%
Q3 - 3:13	POR	MISS Aldridge 8' Hook Shot	65 10.3%	71 89.7%
Q3 - 3:23	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	65 11.6%	71 88.4%
Q3 - 3:25	PHX	MISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot	65 11.0%	71 89.0%
Q3 - 3:54	POR	Aldridge Dunk (14 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)	65 9.8%	71 90.2%
Q3 - 4:01	PHX	Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	63 8.7%	71 91.3%
Q3 - 4:32	POR	Przybilla 7' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Outlaw 4 AST)	63 9.9%	69 90.1%
Q3 - 4:49	PHX	Barnes Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)	61 8.7%	69 91.3%
Q3 - 4:53	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	61 9.9%	67 90.1%
Q3 - 4:54	POR	MISS Blake 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 10.4%	67 89.6%
Q3 - 5:07	PHX	Bell 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	61 11.8%	67 88.2%
Q3 - 5:31	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	61 13.5%	65 86.5%
Q3 - 5:32	POR	MISS Blake 21' Jump Shot	61 14.1%	65 85.9%
Q3 - 5:57	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)	61 15.8%	65 84.2%
Q3 - 6:07	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	61 20.1%	62 79.9%
Q3 - 6:09	POR	MISS Aldridge 24' 3PT Jump Shot	61 21.0%	62 79.0%
Q3 - 6:23	PHX	Nash Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)	61 23.0%	62 77.0%
Q3 - 6:23	PHX	Nash Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)	61 23.3%	61 76.7%
Q3 - 6:30	POR	Bell STEAL (2 STL)	61 25.8%	60 74.2%
Q3 - 6:44	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	61 29.3%	60 70.7%
Q3 - 6:46	PHX	MISS Bell 18' Jump Shot	61 28.2%	60 71.8%
Q3 - 7:03	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	61 25.1%	60 74.9%
Q3 - 7:05	POR	MISS Przybilla Free Throw 2 of 2	61 25.5%	60 74.5%
Q3 - 7:05	POR	Przybilla Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	61 27.0%	60 73.0%
Q3 - 7:19	PHX	Barnes 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	60 25.3%	60 74.7%
Q3 - 7:38	POR	Aldridge 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	60 28.2%	58 71.8%
Q3 - 8:00	PHX	Stoudemire Slam Dunk (11 PTS)	58 25.3%	58 74.7%
Q3 - 8:16	PHX	SUNS Rebound	58 27.6%	56 72.4%
Q3 - 8:17	POR	MISS Roy 19' Jump Shot	58 28.6%	56 71.4%
Q3 - 8:38	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	58 31.0%	56 69.0%
Q3 - 8:42	PHX	MISS O'Neal 8' Hook Shot	58 30.0%	56 70.0%
Q3 - 9:06	POR	Outlaw Traveling Turnover (P3.T9)	58 27.2%	56 72.8%
Q3 - 9:23	PHX	Bell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	58 30.3%	56 69.7%
Q3 - 9:36	POR	Bell STEAL (1 STL)	58 27.3%	56 72.7%
Q3 - 9:50	PHX	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	58 30.4%	56 69.6%
Q3 - 10:05	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	58 35.7%	53 64.3%
Q3 - 10:05	POR	Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	57 35.0%	53 65.0%
Q3 - 10:12	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 32.5%	53 67.5%
Q3 - 10:14	PHX	MISS Bell 22' Jump Shot	56 31.6%	53 68.4%
Q3 - 10:28	POR	Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Outlaw 3 AST)	56 29.5%	53 70.5%
Q3 - 10:52	PHX	Stoudemire Slam Dunk (9 PTS)	53 23.9%	53 76.1%
Q3 - 10:56	POR	Stoudemire STEAL (1 STL)	53 26.6%	51 73.4%
Q3 - 11:13	PHX	Stoudemire 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	53 28.8%	51 71.2%
Q3 - 11:35	POR	Blake 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Roy 2 AST)	53 31.6%	49 68.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0	PHX		50 26.1%	49 73.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0	PHX	SUNS Rebound	50 23.3%	49 76.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0	PHX	MISS Bell 49' 3PT Jump Shot	50 25.2%	49 74.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0	POR	Roy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)	50 23.4%	49 76.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0	PHX	Stoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)	47 18.4%	49 81.6%
Q2 - 0:29.0	POR	Outlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	47 17.0%	49 83.0%
Q2 - 0:49.0	PHX	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	47 18.5%	49 81.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0	PHX	O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	47 19.4%	48 80.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	47 21.1%	47 78.9%
Q2 - 0:55.0	POR	MISS Roy 19' Jump Shot	47 21.6%	47 78.4%
Q2 - 1:04	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	47 22.5%	47 77.5%
Q2 - 1:06	PHX	MISS Bell Layup	47 22.0%	47 78.0%
Q2 - 1:18	PHX	Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	47 20.9%	47 79.1%
Q2 - 1:21	POR	MISS Aldridge 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	47 21.4%	47 78.6%
Q2 - 1:38	PHX	Bell Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)	47 22.5%	47 77.5%
Q2 - 1:42	POR	Nash STEAL (1 STL)	47 25.6%	45 74.4%
Q2 - 2:02	PHX	Nash 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	47 27.0%	45 73.0%
Q2 - 2:10	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	47 29.5%	43 70.5%
Q2 - 2:11	PHX	MISS Stoudemire Layup	47 31.4%	43 68.6%
Q2 - 2:27	POR	Fernandez 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	47 29.5%	43 70.5%
Q2 - 2:42	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	45 27.0%	43 73.0%
Q2 - 2:44	PHX	MISS Bell 18' Jump Shot	45 26.2%	43 73.8%
Q2 - 2:52	POR	Hill STEAL (1 STL)	45 24.5%	43 75.5%
Q2 - 3:07	PHX	Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot (5 PTS)	45 26.5%	43 73.5%
Q2 - 3:20	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 28.6%	41 71.4%
Q2 - 3:22	POR	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 29.6%	41 70.4%
Q2 - 3:39	PHX	O'Neal 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)	45 31.7%	41 68.3%
Q2 - 3:53	PHX	Nash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 34.1%	39 65.9%
Q2 - 3:55	POR	MISS Aldridge 9' Jump Shot	45 35.1%	39 64.9%
Q2 - 4:22	PHX	Hill 8' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)	45 36.2%	39 63.8%
Q2 - 4:26	PHX	Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	45 38.8%	37 61.2%
Q2 - 4:28	POR	MISS Outlaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 39.8%	37 60.2%
Q2 - 4:46	PHX	SUNS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)	45 42.0%	37 58.0%
Q2 - 4:46	PHX	SUNS Rebound	45 38.9%	37 61.1%
Q2 - 4:46	PHX	MISS Nash 14' Jump Shot	45 41.1%	37 58.9%
Q2 - 5:13	POR	Fernandez Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Rodriguez 4 AST)	45 38.1%	37 61.9%
Q2 - 5:34	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	43 35.3%	37 64.7%
Q2 - 5:34	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)	43 35.8%	36 64.2%
Q2 - 5:34	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	43 38.1%	35 61.9%
Q2 - 5:37	PHX	MISS Hill 8' Jump Bank Shot	43 40.0%	35 60.0%
Q2 - 5:58	POR	Outlaw Driving Layup (6 PTS)	43 38.1%	35 61.9%
Q2 - 6:15	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 34.9%	35 65.1%
Q2 - 6:17	PHX	MISS Hill 8' Hook Shot	41 34.0%	35 66.0%
Q2 - 6:39	POR	Fernandez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rodriguez 3 AST)	41 31.9%	35 68.1%
Q2 - 6:45	PHX	Dragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	38 27.5%	35 72.5%
Q2 - 6:59	POR	Outlaw 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)	38 24.9%	35 75.1%
Q2 - 7:14	PHX	Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)	36 22.5%	35 77.5%
Q2 - 7:31	POR	Rodriguez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)	36 20.5%	35 79.5%
Q2 - 7:51	PHX	Diaw Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	33 17.2%	35 82.8%
Q2 - 8:03	POR	Trail Blazers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	33 20.3%	32 79.7%
Q2 - 8:03	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	33 22.1%	32 77.9%
Q2 - 8:03	POR	Diaw BLOCK (1 BLK)	33 20.9%	32 79.1%
Q2 - 8:04	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	33 22.1%	32 77.9%
Q2 - 8:06	POR	Amundson BLOCK (1 BLK)	33 20.9%	32 79.1%
Q2 - 8:25	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 22.1%	32 77.9%
Q2 - 8:27	PHX	MISS Barbosa 3PT Jump Shot	33 21.6%	32 78.4%
Q2 - 8:31	PHX	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 20.3%	32 79.7%
Q2 - 8:33	POR	MISS Outlaw Dunk	33 20.9%	32 79.1%
Q2 - 8:40	PHX	Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	33 22.1%	32 77.9%
Q2 - 8:57	POR	Batum Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Rodriguez 2 AST)	33 20.3%	32 79.7%
Q2 - 9:15	PHX	Diaw Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	31 18.3%	32 81.7%
Q2 - 9:34	POR	Frye 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Outlaw 2 AST)	31 16.8%	32 83.2%
Q2 - 9:50	PHX	Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	29 15.3%	32 84.7%
Q2 - 9:50	PHX	MISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2	29 15.6%	31 84.4%
Q2 - 9:59	PHX	Barbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	29 15.3%	31 84.7%
Q2 - 10:01	POR	MISS Frye 19' Jump Shot	29 15.8%	31 84.2%
Q2 - 10:15	PHX	Diaw 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)	29 16.8%	31 83.2%
Q2 - 10:30	POR	Rodriguez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	29 18.3%	29 81.7%
Q2 - 10:42	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	27 16.8%	29 83.2%
Q2 - 10:42	PHX	MISS Hill 21' Jump Shot	27 16.4%	29 83.6%
Q2 - 10:56	POR	Fernandez 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	27 15.3%	29 84.7%
Q2 - 11:16	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	25 14.2%	29 85.8%
Q2 - 11:18	PHX	MISS Stoudemire 17' Jump Shot	25 13.9%	29 86.1%
Q2 - 11:46	POR	Frye 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rodriguez 1 AST)	25 13.0%	29 87.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHX		23 11.9%	29 88.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHX	SUNS Rebound	23 10.9%	29 89.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0	PHX	MISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot	23 11.6%	29 88.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0	PHX	Dragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	23 11.0%	29 89.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0	PHX	MISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot	23 11.5%	29 88.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0	POR	Batum Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	23 11.0%	29 89.0%
Q1 - 0:26.0	POR	Batum Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	22 10.8%	29 89.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0	PHX	Bell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	21 9.9%	29 90.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0	POR	Roy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	21 9.2%	29 90.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0	POR	Roy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	20 9.1%	29 90.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0	PHX	Nash 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)	19 8.3%	29 91.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0	POR	Roy Driving Layup (4 PTS)	19 9.2%	27 90.8%
Q1 - 1:10	POR	Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q1 - 1:12	PHX	MISS Stoudemire 19' Jump Shot	17 8.2%	27 91.8%
Q1 - 1:31	PHX	Diaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 7.9%	27 92.1%
Q1 - 1:34	POR	MISS Batum Reverse Layup	17 8.0%	27 92.0%
Q1 - 1:40	POR	Frye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q1 - 1:42	PHX	MISS Nash 18' Jump Shot	17 8.2%	27 91.8%
Q1 - 2:01	PHX	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	17 8.0%	27 92.0%
Q1 - 2:03	POR	MISS Fernandez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	17 8.2%	27 91.8%
Q1 - 2:14	PHX	Nash Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	17 8.6%	27 91.4%
Q1 - 2:21	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	17 8.0%	27 92.0%
Q1 - 2:23	POR	MISS Roy 19' Jump Shot	17 8.2%	27 91.8%
Q1 - 2:41	POR	Roy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 8.6%	27 91.4%
Q1 - 2:42	PHX	MISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot	17 8.4%	27 91.6%
Q1 - 3:01	POR	Roy 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	17 7.9%	27 92.1%
Q1 - 3:13	PHX	Barnes Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)	15 7.3%	27 92.7%
Q1 - 3:16	POR	O'Neal STEAL (1 STL)	15 7.9%	25 92.1%
Q1 - 3:31	PHX	O'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)	15 8.6%	25 91.4%
Q1 - 3:56	POR	Aldridge 7' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)	15 9.4%	23 90.6%
Q1 - 3:58	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	13 8.6%	23 91.4%
Q1 - 4:00	POR	O'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)	13 8.1%	23 91.9%
Q1 - 4:22	PHX	O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)	13 8.6%	23 91.4%
Q1 - 4:22	PHX	MISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2	13 8.9%	22 91.1%
Q1 - 4:36	POR	Outlaw 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	13 8.6%	22 91.4%
Q1 - 4:53	PHX	Barnes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)	11 7.9%	22 92.1%
Q1 - 5:02	PHX	Stoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	11 9.5%	19 90.5%
Q1 - 5:03	POR	MISS Aldridge 7' Jump Shot	11 9.8%	19 90.2%
Q1 - 5:25	PHX	Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)	11 10.4%	19 89.6%
Q1 - 5:45	POR	Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Roy 1 AST)	11 12.0%	16 88.0%
Q1 - 6:06	POR	Aldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8 10.2%	16 89.8%
Q1 - 6:07	POR	MISS Aldridge 9' Jump Shot	8 9.6%	16 90.4%
Q1 - 6:33	PHX	Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)	8 10.2%	16 89.8%
Q1 - 6:40	PHX	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	8 11.8%	13 88.2%
Q1 - 6:41	POR	MISS Roy 12' Jump Shot	8 12.1%	13 87.9%
Q1 - 6:58	PHX	Nash 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	8 12.8%	13 87.2%
Q1 - 7:09	POR	Blake 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)	8 13.4%	11 86.6%
Q1 - 7:29	PHX	Nash 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	6 12.6%	11 87.4%
Q1 - 7:42	POR	Blake Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	6 13.5%	9 86.5%
Q1 - 7:52	PHX	O'Neal Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)	6 14.6%	9 85.4%
Q1 - 8:02	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	6 15.4%	7 84.6%
Q1 - 8:04	POR	MISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot	6 15.7%	7 84.3%
Q1 - 8:20	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	6 16.5%	7 83.5%
Q1 - 8:23	PHX	MISS Stoudemire 5' Jump Shot	6 16.1%	7 83.9%
Q1 - 8:33	POR	Aldridge 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)	6 15.4%	7 84.6%
Q1 - 8:49	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4 14.3%	7 85.7%
Q1 - 8:50	POR	MISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot	4 13.6%	7 86.4%
Q1 - 9:10	PHX	Barnes 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)	4 14.3%	7 85.7%
Q1 - 9:18	PHX	Barnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 16.5%	4 83.5%
Q1 - 9:20	POR	MISS Roy 18' Jump Shot	4 16.8%	4 83.2%
Q1 - 9:40	PHX	Bell 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)	4 17.5%	4 82.5%
Q1 - 9:56	POR	Aldridge 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4 18.8%	2 81.2%
Q1 - 10:09	POR	Przybilla REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2 17.3%	2 82.7%
Q1 - 10:11	POR	MISS Outlaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2 16.6%	2 83.4%
Q1 - 10:29	POR	Blake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 17.3%	2 82.7%
Q1 - 10:31	PHX	MISS Nash 14' Jump Shot	2 17.0%	2 83.0%
Q1 - 10:41	PHX	O'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2 16.3%	2 83.7%
Q1 - 10:43	POR	MISS Blake 15' Jump Shot	2 16.6%	2 83.4%
Q1 - 11:02	PHX	Barnes Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 16.8%	2 83.2%
Q1 - 11:33	POR	Aldridge 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)	2 17.8%	0 82.2%
Q1 - 11:48	POR	Trail Blazers Rebound	0 16.9%	0 83.1%
Q1 - 11:48	PHX	MISS O'Neal Layup	0 16.6%	0 83.4%
Q1 - 12:00	PHX	Jump Ball O'Neal vs. Przybilla: Tip to Bell	0 15.9%	0 84.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.07 53.3%

PHX

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

58%

PHX

75%

Midrange

POR

45%

PHX

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13.5

41%

61%

PHX

9.0

35%

53%

Free Throws

POR

93%

PHX

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Roy	20	50%	10.0 / 20
R. Fernandez	20	71%	10.0 / 14
L. Aldridge	16	42%	8.0 / 19
T. Outlaw	11	46%	5.5 / 12
S. Blake	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Frye	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Rodriguez	5	125%	2.5 / 2
N. Batum	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Przybilla	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Bayless	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Stoudemire	23	72%	11.5 / 16
M. Barnes	21	75%	10.5 / 14
S. Nash	20	77%	10.0 / 13
S. O'Neal	16	80%	8.0 / 10
R. Bell	13	54%	6.5 / 12
B. Diaw	9	90%	4.5 / 5
G. Hill	4	29%	2.0 / 7
L. Barbosa	1	13%	0.5 / 4
G. Dragic	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR

+12

-10

PHX

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.07 53.3%

PHX

1.24 62.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	113.3 113.8	POR 110.3 PHX 121.6 +11.2
Pace	87.1 95.8	POR 83.9 PHX 92.4 +8.6
Avg. Poss. Time	17.2 14.5	POR 17.2 PHX 15.6 +1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.1% 54.5%	POR 51.2% PHX 59.4% +8.2%
TO %	13.8% 16.0%	POR 11.2% +1.5% PHX 12.7%
ORB %	32.6% 27.7%	POR 22.0% +4.6% PHX 17.4%
FTrt	30.6 33.6	POR 17.3 PHX 43.5 +26.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.2% 56.5%	POR 48.6% +3.9% PHX 44.7%
STL %	7.7% 7.4%	POR 8.0% PHX 8.0%
BLK %	8.0% 7.8%	POR 5.8% +0.7% PHX 5.1%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.6% 57.2%	POR 53.3% PHX 62.2% +8.9%
Rim FG%	59.5% 63.9%	POR 58.3% PHX 75.0% +16.7%
Mid FG%	40.8% 43.9%	POR 44.7% PHX 55.6% +10.9%
3P %	38.3% 38.3%	POR 40.9% +5.6% PHX 35.3%
FT %	76.6% 74.4%	POR 92.9% +9.6% PHX 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	33.3% 38.5%	POR 14.8% PHX 23.2% +8.4%
Mid Att. %	42.7% 39.9%	POR 58.0% PHX 52.2% +5.9%
3P Att. %	23.9% 21.6%	POR 27.2% +2.5% PHX 24.6%

Game Totals	POR	PHX
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	24.9	22.9
Points	96	107
Rebounds	28	36
Assists	18	17
Steals	7	7
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (3)	4 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (5)	32 (1)
Field Goals	37-81	38-69
At-the-Rim FG	7-12	12-16
Midrange FG	21-47	20-36
2-Point FG	28-59	32-52
3-Point FG	9-22	6-17
Free Throws	13-14	25-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 24	36.9	20	50%	1	4	0	2	3	4	0	1	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	2-6	33%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	36.8	11	46%	4	4	0	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	30.8	16	42%	6	2	0	1	0	4	3	3	2-2	100%	7-17	41%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	30.4	11	61%	1	3	2	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	27.7	3	75%	9	0	0	0	0	3	3	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	22.5	20	71%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'8" 230 · 20	18.1	4	40%	1	0	3	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 25	16.0	6	75%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 22	13.7	5	125%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	5.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	53%	28	18	7	3	10	0	9	19	13-14	93%	28-59	47%	9-22	41%

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21 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 24	36.9	20	50%	1	4	0	2	3	4	0	1	4-4	100%	5-12	42%	2-6	33%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	36.8	11	46%	4	4	0	0	3	2	0	4	0-0	-	4-9	44%	1-3	33%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 23	30.8	16	42%	6	2	0	1	0	4	3	3	2-2	100%	7-17	41%	0-1	0%
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 29	30.4	11	61%	1	3	2	0	2	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	3-5	60%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	27.7	3	75%	9	0	0	0	0	3	3	6	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	22.5	20	71%	1	0	1	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	2-5	40%
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'8" 230 · 20	18.1	4	40%	1	0	3	0	1	2	1	0	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 25	16.0	6	75%	4	0	1	0	0	3	1	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 22	13.7	5	125%	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	5.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	1.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25
Greg Oden #52 · C · 7'0" 273 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	53%	28	18	7	3	10	0	9	19	13-14	93%	28-59	47%	9-22	41%

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7 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire F · 6'10" 245 · 26	40.6	23	72%	13	2	1	0	2	1	2	11	7-10	70%	8-12	67%	0-0	-
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 29	36.0	21	75%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	3-8	38%
Raja Bell G · 6'5" 210 · 32	32.5	13	54%	0	0	2	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-3	33%
Steve Nash G · 6'3" 178 · 35	31.3	20	77%	3	7	1	0	1	0	0	3	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	2-2	100%
Shaquille O'Neal C · 7'1" 325 · 37	30.2	16	80%	8	1	1	1	0	3	0	8	4-5	80%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 27	21.8	9	90%	2	1	0	1	3	2	0	2	1-1	100%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Grant Hill F · 6'8" 225 · 36	19.7	4	29%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 26	17.7	1	13%	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 22	6.8	0	0%	1	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 26	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 21
Sean Singletary G · 6'0" 185 · 23
Alando Tucker #29 · F · 6'6" 205 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	62%	36	17	7	3	11	0	4	32	25-30	83%	32-52	62%	6-17	35%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.