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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bulls28%9493
9Magic72%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
39.0
31.6
14
44%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
7-16
5-12
44%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
31.4
27.5
21
61%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
9-16
4-9
56%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
25.8
33.1
1
6%
7
3
2
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
0-7
6-12
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
17.4
15.3
3
44%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
16.6
28.2
7
47%
6
0
0
1
1
4
2
4
1-1
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
42%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.8
34.2
25.4
4
40%
5
3
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
33.0
24.1
17
57%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
5-10
3-6
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.9
26.1
21.5
20
63%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
5-9
56%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
3-4
75%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
11.7
12.6
6
75%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
4.9
15.5
0
0%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
1.7
0
0-0
42%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.2
40.1
36.1
21
56%
11
2
1
1
0
1
2
9
5-6
83%
5-7
4-8
71%
50%
2-9
22%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.6
39.1
36.7
10
28%
7
7
1
1
0
4
1
6
3-4
75%
2-12
5-9
17%
48%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.9
38.5
38.0
22
55%
15
1
1
1
5
2
8
7
4-11
36%
9-15
7-11
60%
59%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 26.7
33.1
30.2
13
55%
3
3
3
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
15.3
25.9
10
102%
0
0
1
1
1
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.5
27.3
21.1
13
75%
5
1
1
1
0
2
2
3
5-6
83%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
20.0
3.9
2
17%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.1
14.9
16.5
3
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
11.8
15.7
2
33%
5
1
2
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.4
11.6
0
1-2
45%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.9
4.7
0
0-1
44%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
2.8
0
0-1
50%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.5
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.