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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings22%9391
1276ers78%103125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.5
34.2
27.8
15
59%
8
1
3
1
2
2
2
6
4-4
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
33.0
36.2
14
55%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
6-6
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
47%
0-4
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.9
30.3
35.0
11
50%
3
4
3
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.3
19.3
29.5
8
80%
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-8
80%
45%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.0
18.4
19.4
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.3
30.3
21.1
17
62%
6
5
0
1
0
4
1
5
1-4
25%
8-10
3-7
80%
46%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
26.1
17.7
10
56%
6
1
1
1
1
4
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.1
20.6
7.1
7
51%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
39%
1-2
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.5
19.6
14.5
9
45%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
1-2
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.6
8.1
16.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.6
9.7
0
1-2
46%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.3
7.2
0
1-1
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.8
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
30.5
28.8
18
64%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
6-12
5-8
50%
55%
2-2
100%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
29.1
36.2
15
55%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
5-11
8-14
45%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
23.9
33.3
12
79%
4
5
2
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
3-5
7-13
60%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
23.6
39.5
10
79%
5
3
2
2
1
2
1
4
2-3
67%
4-5
5-9
80%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
22.5
31.8
5
58%
6
0
1
1
0
4
2
4
1-3
33%
2-3
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.0
28.3
20.5
17
58%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-4
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
22.5
4.6
4
25%
2
2
2
0
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
1-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
16.4
20.9
16
98%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
1-1
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.5
13.9
14.9
4
44%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
4-8
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
13.3
6.2
10
125%
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
43%
2-2
100%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
8.0
4.5
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
8.0
3.4
12
120%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
4-5
80%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.