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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers37%94100
4Mavericks63%9881
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
34.1
34.8
29
55%
8
3
2
1
1
1
2
6
13-15
87%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
0-2
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
33.9
28.4
14
104%
4
5
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
3-4
75%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.9
33.6
32.0
14
56%
4
6
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.4
31.9
30.0
17
54%
11
2
0
1
2
1
3
8
1-2
50%
8-15
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.1
21.6
21.1
0
0%
13
0
1
1
1
3
8
5
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.1
25.4
23.9
2
26%
6
1
4
1
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.7
25.2
28.0
7
35%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
19.8
16.2
10
73%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
4.5
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
3.4
10.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.2
3.3
6.5
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.6
3.3
3.2
4
72%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.0
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.5
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
33.2
36.3
18
50%
5
2
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-7
57%
7-12
6-14
58%
47%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
31.7
34.0
8
34%
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-11
7-13
27%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.6
31.6
32.4
9
65%
2
6
2
2
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
41%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.3
23.6
20.9
5
87%
8
1
0
0
2
1
3
5
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
21.2
8.7
10
57%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.1
25.3
30.8
5
28%
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
4-7
0%
50%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.8
23.9
21.3
4
45%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
16.4
9.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
16.3
10.1
10
63%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.5
12.3
19.0
8
44%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
4.5
0.9
4
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.0
14.2
0
1-3
43%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.2
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.