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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics44%94103
3Rockets56%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.1
44.5
35.5
13
39%
9
4
3
1
0
4
3
6
2-4
50%
4-11
4-9
36%
46%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.5
36.5
30.5
14
44%
11
1
0
1
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
6-15
6-13
40%
49%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.3
35.1
28.6
29
84%
5
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
5-5
100%
9-9
2-5
100%
45%
2-6
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.0
34.9
23.5
15
74%
7
0
0
0
4
3
3
4
1-5
20%
7-8
2-4
88%
54%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.7
29.1
27.5
10
50%
7
7
0
2
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
5-10
3-8
50%
45%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.5
19.5
19.0
8
59%
1
1
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
40%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.8
16.1
23.6
4
106%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.8
12.9
14.8
9
61%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
11.5
18.3
1
17%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
7.4
0
0-1
36%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.1
6.9
0
1-2
40%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.5
5.7
0
1-1
41%
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.7
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
37.0
38.6
15
38%
7
1
2
2
0
1
3
4
6-9
67%
0-6
6-13
0%
46%
3-10
30%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.5
36.8
32.6
26
60%
2
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
8-14
6-14
57%
45%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.5
35.9
22.3
21
64%
9
0
1
1
0
1
5
4
3-3
100%
9-15
4-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.3
29.8
31.1
4
29%
4
7
1
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-6
50%
41%
0-4
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.1
28.4
37.3
8
29%
7
0
0
0
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-14
7-14
29%
50%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.8
22.4
19.9
9
78%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.4
19.6
14.4
2
50%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.8
18.2
14.4
12
61%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.1
11.9
20.6
2
33%
3
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 24.9
3.1
0
0-1
45%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.3
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.2
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.