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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons39%89100
10Raptors61%9393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.7
38.7
30.9
27
86%
9
3
1
1
2
0
1
8
5-6
83%
8-10
4-8
80%
46%
2-3
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.7
36.9
32.2
22
50%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
8-9
89%
7-16
6-12
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.1
36.0
30.2
11
43%
12
3
0
1
1
0
3
9
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.5
31.6
21.7
14
46%
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
6-14
3-7
43%
41%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.5
16.9
18.2
6
75%
3
1
3
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.7
20.9
20.6
6
50%
5
0
2
0
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.7
17.8
12.4
3
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.8
16.4
13.7
5
56%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.4
12.9
18.0
4
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.1
7.0
13.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.8
5.0
3.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.3
6.4
0
1-1
46%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.6
44.6
38.7
26
50%
13
1
1
1
0
2
4
9
4-5
80%
11-22
7-15
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.4
36.1
37.6
9
48%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
49%
2-3
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
35.7
37.5
24
75%
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
9-9
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.4
31.9
26.8
5
83%
4
0
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.1
29.0
28.6
8
35%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
2-3
67%
3-10
4-10
30%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.8
22.8
22.3
2
15%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
21.4
21.3
12
100%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
43%
2-2
100%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.3
12.3
3.7
4
67%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.4
5.2
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
1.1
3.9
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
8.9
0
1-2
44%
Hassan Adams
F · 6'4" 220 · 24.4
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.