Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls24%8993
9Cavaliers76%98107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
40
30
18
7
0
2
1
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
47%
2-4
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
39
34
20
0
7
1
1
0
3
0
0
5-6
83%
6-13
5-13
46%
41%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
37
29
11
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
4-13
5-10
31%
45%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
18
16
0
4
4
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
15
23
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
3-7
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
31
28
31
3
5
0
1
1
2
0
3
4-5
80%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
5-9
56%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.9
26
23
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.8
21
29
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
9
11
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
4
12
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
41%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
41%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.3
37
30
16
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
3-6
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
36
34
41
9
6
4
1
0
5
2
7
15-16
94%
13-21
7-14
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.9
33
32
13
0
4
1
1
0
4
0
0
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.2
29
21
0
14
0
2
1
1
0
6
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.4
24
31
15
10
0
0
1
2
2
3
7
2-2
100%
5-15
5-11
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.1
28
25
9
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.7
24
27
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.7
22
18
8
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.0
2
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.2
2
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.0
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.6
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.0
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.5
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.