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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Spurs58%93129
27Timberwolves42%91125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
50.5
32.2
55
68%
7
10
0
1
0
4
0
7
9-10
90%
20-33
7-15
61%
51%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
48.0
38.9
30
52%
16
3
0
1
1
4
6
10
6-7
86%
12-26
8-17
46%
50%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
33.6
16.4
3
150%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
32.5
27.6
3
17%
5
1
2
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
6.4
18.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
44.4
28.2
26
70%
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
6-6
100%
7-12
2-5
58%
48%
2-4
50%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
30.7
12.0
2
50%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.2
21.0
16.9
8
74%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
47%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
12.8
15.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
10.1
12.3
2
27%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
10.4
0
1-2
42%
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
9.5
0
1-2
45%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.7
48.3
34.2
25
66%
7
6
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-12
3-6
42%
53%
5-7
71%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.8
47.2
32.8
30
48%
14
3
1
1
2
1
2
12
6-9
67%
12-27
8-15
44%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.1
44.5
29.7
11
50%
5
9
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-8
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.7
37.6
24.8
15
57%
4
0
2
1
1
2
2
2
5-5
100%
5-9
2-6
56%
42%
0-2
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.2
21.4
26.3
7
41%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.2
36.6
19.2
14
45%
9
2
0
1
3
0
4
5
5-6
83%
3-11
2-4
27%
48%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.4
30.1
11.2
8
58%
3
10
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
42%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
13.4
22.8
7
44%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.0
10.6
17.4
8
77%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
4-5
80%
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.9
0.2
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.6
7.0
0
1-2
46%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.9
6.7
0
0-1
43%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.8
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.